arXiv subjects

Sebastian Junges

Publications and source records attributed to Sebastian Junges.

At least 55 records · Page 3Linked to original sources

arXiv2023

Search and Explore: Symbiotic Policy Synthesis in POMDPs

This paper marries two state-of-the-art controller synthesis methods for partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs), a prominent model in sequential decision making under uncertainty. A central issue is to find a POMDP controller - that solely decides based on the observations seen so far - to achieve a total expected reward objective. As finding optimal controllers is undecidable, we concentrate on synthesising good finite-state controllers (FSCs). We do so by tightly integrating two modern, orthogonal methods for POMDP controller synthesis: a belief-based and an inductive approach. The former method obtains an FSC from a finite fragment of the so-called belief MDP, an MDP that keeps track of the probabilities of equally observable POMDP states. The latter is an inductive search technique over a set of FSCs, e.g., controllers with a fixed memory size. The key result of this paper is a symbiotic anytime algorithm that tightly integrates both approaches such that each profits from the controllers constructed by the other. Experimental results indicate a substantial improvement in the value of the controllers while significantly reducing the synthesis time and memory footprint.

cs.LO↗

arXiv2023

Efficient Sensitivity Analysis for Parametric Robust Markov Chains

We provide a novel method for sensitivity analysis of parametric robust Markov chains. These models incorporate parameters and sets of probability distributions to alleviate the often unrealistic assumption that precise probabilities are available. We measure sensitivity in terms of partial derivatives with respect to the uncertain transition probabilities regarding measures such as the expected reward. As our main contribution, we present an efficient method to compute these partial derivatives. To scale our approach to models with thousands of parameters, we present an extension of this method that selects the subset of $k$ parameters with the highest partial derivative. Our methods are based on linear programming and differentiating these programs around a given value for the parameters. The experiments show the applicability of our approach on models with over a million states and thousands of parameters. Moreover, we embed the results within an iterative learning scheme that profits from having access to a dedicated sensitivity analysis.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2023

Probabilistic Program Verification via Inductive Synthesis of Inductive Invariants

Essential tasks for the verification of probabilistic programs include bounding expected outcomes and proving termination in finite expected runtime. We contribute a simple yet effective inductive synthesis approach for proving such quantitative reachability properties by generating inductive invariants on source-code level. Our implementation shows promise: It finds invariants for (in)finite-state programs, can beat state-of-the-art probabilistic model checkers, and is competitive with modern tools dedicated to invariant synthesis and expected runtime reasoning.

cs.LO↗

arXiv2023

A Practitioner's Guide to MDP Model Checking Algorithms

Model checking undiscounted reachability and expected-reward properties on Markov decision processes (MDPs) is key for the verification of systems that act under uncertainty. Popular algorithms are policy iteration and variants of value iteration; in tool competitions, most participants rely on the latter. These algorithms generally need worst-case exponential time. However the problem can equally be formulated as a linear program, solvable in polynomial time. In this paper, we give a detailed overview of today's state-of-the-art algorithms for MDP model checking with a focus on performance and correctness. We highlight their fundamental differences, and describe various optimisations and implementation variants. We experimentally compare floating-point and exact-arithmetic implementations of all algorithms on three benchmark sets using two probabilistic model checkers. Our results show that (optimistic) value iteration is a sensible default, but other algorithms are preferable in specific settings. This paper thereby provides a guide for MDP verification practitioners -- tool builders and users alike.

cs.LO↗

arXiv2022

COOL-MC: A Comprehensive Tool for Reinforcement Learning and Model Checking

This paper presents COOL-MC, a tool that integrates state-of-the-art reinforcement learning (RL) and model checking. Specifically, the tool builds upon the OpenAI gym and the probabilistic model checker Storm. COOL-MC provides the following features: (1) a simulator to train RL policies in the OpenAI gym for Markov decision processes (MDPs) that are defined as input for Storm, (2) a new model builder for Storm, which uses callback functions to verify (neural network) RL policies, (3) formal abstractions that relate models and policies specified in OpenAI gym or Storm, and (4) algorithms to obtain bounds on the performance of so-called permissive policies. We describe the components and architecture of COOL-MC and demonstrate its features on multiple benchmark environments.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2022

Safe Reinforcement Learning via Shielding under Partial Observability

Safe exploration is a common problem in reinforcement learning (RL) that aims to prevent agents from making disastrous decisions while exploring their environment. A family of approaches to this problem assume domain knowledge in the form of a (partial) model of this environment to decide upon the safety of an action. A so-called shield forces the RL agent to select only safe actions. However, for adoption in various applications, one must look beyond enforcing safety and also ensure the applicability of RL with good performance. We extend the applicability of shields via tight integration with state-of-the-art deep RL, and provide an extensive, empirical study in challenging, sparse-reward environments under partial observability. We show that a carefully integrated shield ensures safety and can improve the convergence rate and final performance of RL agents. We furthermore show that a shield can be used to bootstrap state-of-the-art RL agents: they remain safe after initial learning in a shielded setting, allowing us to disable a potentially too conservative shield eventually.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2022

Parameter Synthesis in Markov Models: A Gentle Survey

This paper surveys the analysis of parametric Markov models whose transitions are labelled with functions over a finite set of parameters. These models are symbolic representations of uncountable many concrete probabilistic models, each obtained by instantiating the parameters. We consider various analysis problems for a given logical specification $φ$: do all parameter instantiations within a given region of parameter values satisfy $φ$?, which instantiations satisfy $φ$ and which ones do not?, and how can all such instantiations be characterised, either exactly or approximately? We address theoretical complexity results and describe the main ideas underlying state-of-the-art algorithms that established an impressive leap over the last decade enabling the fully automated analysis of models with millions of states and thousands of parameters.

cs.LO↗

arXiv2022

Sampling-Based Verification of CTMCs with Uncertain Rates

We employ uncertain parametric CTMCs with parametric transition rates and a prior on the parameter values. The prior encodes uncertainty about the actual transition rates, while the parameters allow dependencies between transition rates. Sampling the parameter values from the prior distribution then yields a standard CTMC, for which we may compute relevant reachability probabilities. We provide a principled solution, based on a technique called scenario-optimization, to the following problem: From a finite set of parameter samples and a user-specified confidence level, compute prediction regions on the reachability probabilities. The prediction regions should (with high probability) contain the reachability probabilities of a CTMC induced by any additional sample. To boost the scalability of the approach, we employ standard abstraction techniques and adapt our methodology to support approximate reachability probabilities. Experiments with various well-known benchmarks show the applicability of the approach.

cs.LO↗

arXiv2022

Scenario-Based Verification of Uncertain Parametric MDPs

We consider parametric Markov decision processes (pMDPs) that are augmented with unknown probability distributions over parameter values. The problem is to compute the probability to satisfy a temporal logic specification with any concrete MDP that corresponds to a sample from these distributions. As solving this problem precisely is infeasible, we resort to sampling techniques that exploit the so-called scenario approach. Based on a finite number of samples of the parameters, the proposed method yields high-confidence bounds on the probability of satisfying the specification. The number of samples required to obtain a high confidence on these bounds is independent of the number of states and the number of random parameters. Experiments on a large set of benchmarks show that several thousand samples suffice to obtain tight and high-confidence lower and upper bounds on the satisfaction probability.

cs.LO↗

arXiv2022

Abstraction-Refinement for Hierarchical Probabilistic Models

Markov decision processes are a ubiquitous formalism for modelling systems with non-deterministic and probabilistic behavior. Verification of these models is subject to the famous state space explosion problem. We alleviate this problem by exploiting a hierarchical structure with repetitive parts. This structure not only occurs naturally in robotics, but also in probabilistic programs describing, e.g., network protocols. Such programs often repeatedly call a subroutine with similar behavior. In this paper, we focus on a local case, in which the subroutines have a limited effect on the overall system state. The key ideas to accelerate analysis of such programs are (1) to treat the behavior of the subroutine as uncertain and only remove this uncertainty by a detailed analysis if needed, and (2) to abstract similar subroutines into a parametric template, and then analyse this template. These two ideas are embedded into an abstraction-refinement loop that analyses hierarchical MDPs. A prototypical implementation shows the efficacy of the approach.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2022

Inductive Synthesis of Finite-State Controllers for POMDPs

We present a novel learning framework to obtain finite-state controllers (FSCs) for partially observable Markov decision processes and illustrate its applicability for indefinite-horizon specifications. Our framework builds on oracle-guided inductive synthesis to explore a design space compactly representing available FSCs. The inductive synthesis approach consists of two stages: The outer stage determines the design space, i.e., the set of FSC candidates, while the inner stage efficiently explores the design space. This framework is easily generalisable and shows promising results when compared to existing approaches. Experiments indicate that our technique is (i) competitive to state-of-the-art belief-based approaches for indefinite-horizon properties, (ii) yields smaller FSCs than existing methods for several models, and (iii) naturally treats multi-objective specifications.

cs.LO↗

arXiv2021

Querying Labelled Data with Scenario Programs for Sim-to-Real Validation

Simulation-based testing of autonomous vehicles (AVs) has become an essential complement to road testing to ensure safety. Consequently, substantial research has focused on searching for failure scenarios in simulation. However, a fundamental question remains: are AV failure scenarios identified in simulation meaningful in reality, i.e., are they reproducible on the real system? Due to the sim-to-real gap arising from discrepancies between simulated and real sensor data, a failure scenario identified in simulation can be either a spurious artifact of the synthetic sensor data or an actual failure that persists with real sensor data. An approach to validate simulated failure scenarios is to identify instances of the scenario in a corpus of real data, and check if the failure persists on the real data. To this end, we propose a formal definition of what it means for a labelled data item to match an abstract scenario, encoded as a scenario program using the SCENIC probabilistic programming language. Using this definition, we develop a querying algorithm which, given a scenario program and a labelled dataset, finds the subset of data matching the scenario. Experiments demonstrate that our algorithm is accurate and efficient on a variety of realistic traffic scenarios, and scales to a reasonable number of agents.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2021

Gradient-Descent for Randomized Controllers under Partial Observability

Randomization is a powerful technique to create robust controllers, in particular in partially observable settings. The degrees of randomization have a significant impact on the system performance, yet they are intricate to get right. The use of synthesis algorithms for parametric Markov chains (pMCs) is a promising direction to support the design process of such controllers. This paper shows how to define and evaluate gradients of pMCs. Furthermore, it investigates varieties of gradient descent techniques from the machine learning community to synthesize the probabilities in a pMC. The resulting method scales to significantly larger pMCs than before and empirically outperforms the state-of-the-art, often by at least one order of magnitude.

cs.LO↗

arXiv2021

Model Checking Finite-Horizon Markov Chains with Probabilistic Inference

We revisit the symbolic verification of Markov chains with respect to finite horizon reachability properties. The prevalent approach iteratively computes step-bounded state reachability probabilities. By contrast, recent advances in probabilistic inference suggest symbolically representing all horizon-length paths through the Markov chain. We ask whether this perspective advances the state-of-the-art in probabilistic model checking. First, we formally describe both approaches in order to highlight their key differences. Then, using these insights we develop Rubicon, a tool that transpiles Prism models to the probabilistic inference tool Dice. Finally, we demonstrate better scalability compared to probabilistic model checkers on selected benchmarks. All together, our results suggest that probabilistic inference is a valuable addition to the probabilistic model checking portfolio -- with Rubicon as a first step towards integrating both perspectives.

cs.LO↗

arXiv2021

Convex Optimization for Parameter Synthesis in MDPs

Probabilistic model checking aims to prove whether a Markov decision process (MDP) satisfies a temporal logic specification. The underlying methods rely on an often unrealistic assumption that the MDP is precisely known. Consequently, parametric MDPs (pMDPs) extend MDPs with transition probabilities that are functions over unspecified parameters. The parameter synthesis problem is to compute an instantiation of these unspecified parameters such that the resulting MDP satisfies the temporal logic specification. We formulate the parameter synthesis problem as a quadratically constrained quadratic program (QCQP), which is nonconvex and is NP-hard to solve in general. We develop two approaches that iteratively obtain locally optimal solutions. The first approach exploits the so-called convex-concave procedure (CCP), and the second approach utilizes a sequential convex programming (SCP) method. The techniques improve the runtime and scalability by multiple orders of magnitude compared to black-box CCP and SCP by merging ideas from convex optimization and probabilistic model checking. We demonstrate the approaches on a satellite collision avoidance problem with hundreds of thousands of states and tens of thousands of parameters and their scalability on a wide range of commonly used benchmarks.

math.OC↗

arXiv2021

Entropy-Guided Control Improvisation

High level declarative constraints provide a powerful (and popular) way to define and construct control policies; however, most synthesis algorithms do not support specifying the degree of randomness (unpredictability) of the resulting controller. In many contexts, e.g., patrolling, testing, behavior prediction,and planning on idealized models, predictable or biased controllers are undesirable. To address these concerns, we introduce the \emph{Entropic Reactive Control Improvisation} (ERCI) framework and algorithm which supports synthesizing control policies for stochastic games that are declaratively specified by (i) a \emph{hard constraint} specifying what must occur, (ii) a \emph{soft constraint} specifying what typically occurs, and (iii) a \emph{randomization constraint} specifying the unpredictability and variety of the controller, as quantified using causal entropy. This framework, extends the state of the art by supporting arbitrary combinations of adversarial and probabilistic uncertainty in the environment. ERCI enables a flexible modeling formalism which we argue, theoretically and empirically, remains tractable.

cs.RO↗

arXiv2021

Model Repair Revamped: On the Automated Synthesis of Markov Chains

This paper outlines two approaches|based on counterexample-guided abstraction refinement (CEGAR) and counterexample-guided inductive synthesis (CEGIS), respectively to the automated synthesis of finite-state probabilistic models and programs. Our CEGAR approach iteratively partitions the design space starting from an abstraction of this space and refines this by a light-weight analysis of verification results. The CEGIS technique exploits critical subsystems as counterexamples to prune all programs behaving incorrectly on that input. We show the applicability of these synthesis techniques to sketching of probabilistic programs, controller synthesis of POMDPs, and software product lines.

cs.PL↗

arXiv2021

Runtime Monitoring for Markov Decision Processes

We investigate the problem of monitoring partially observable systems with nondeterministic and probabilistic dynamics. In such systems, every state may be associated with a risk, e.g., the probability of an imminent crash. During runtime, we obtain partial information about the system state in form of observations. The monitor uses this information to estimate the risk of the (unobservable) current system state. Our results are threefold. First, we show that extensions of state estimation approaches do not scale due the combination of nondeterminism and probabilities. While convex hull algorithms improve the practical runtime, they do not prevent an exponential memory blowup. Second, we present a tractable algorithm based on model checking conditional reachability probabilities. Third, we provide prototypical implementations and manifest the applicability of our algorithms to a range of benchmarks. The results highlight the possibilities and boundaries of our novel algorithms.

cs.LO↗