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Shuyang Bai

Publications and source records attributed to Shuyang Bai.

32 records · Page 2Linked to original sources
arXiv2017

How the instability of ranks under long memory affects large-sample inference

Under long memory, the limit theorems for normalized sums of random variables typically involve a positive integer called "Hermite rank". There is a different limit for each Hermite rank. From a statistical point of view, however, we argue that a rank other than one is unstable, whereas, a rank equal to one is stable. We provide empirical evidence supporting this argument. This has important consequences. Assuming a higher-order rank when it is not really there usually results in underestimating the order of the fluctuations of the statistic of interest. We illustrate this through various examples involving the sample variance, the empirical processes and the Whittle estimator.

math.ST↗
arXiv2016

On the validity of resampling methods under long memory

For long-memory time series, inference based on resampling is of crucial importance, since the asymptotic distribution can often be non-Gaussian and is difficult to determine statistically. However due to the strong dependence, establishing the asymptotic validity of resampling methods is nontrivial. In this paper, we derive an efficient bound for the canonical correlation between two finite blocks of a long-memory time series. We show how this bound can be applied to establish the asymptotic consistency of subsampling procedures for general statistics under long memory. It allows the subsample size $b$ to be $o(n)$, where $n$ is the sample size, irrespective of the strength of the memory. We are then able to improve many results found in the literature. We also consider applications of subsampling procedures under long memory to the sample covariance, M-estimation and empirical processes.

math.ST↗
arXiv2016

Behavior of the generalized Rosenblatt process at extreme critical exponent values

The generalized Rosenblatt process is obtained by replacing the single critical exponent characterizing the Rosenblatt process by two different exponents living in the interior of a triangular region. What happens to that generalized Rosenblatt process as these critical exponents approach the boundaries of the triangle? We show by two different methods that on each of the two symmetric boundaries, the limit is non-Gaussian. On the third boundary, the limit is Brownian motion. The rates of convergence to these boundaries are also given. The situation is particularly delicate as one approaches the corners of the triangle, because the limit process will depend on how these corners are approached. All limits are in the sense of weak convergence in $C[0,1]$. These limits cannot be strengthened to convergence in $L^2(Ω)$.

math.PR↗
arXiv2016

The impact of the diagonals of polynomial forms on limit theorems with long memory

We start with an i.i.d. sequence and consider the product of two polynomial-forms moving averages based on that sequence. The coefficients of the polynomial forms are asymptotically slowly decaying homogeneous functions so that these processes have long memory. The product of these two polynomial forms is a stationary nonlinear process. Our goal is to obtain limit theorems for the normalized sums of this product process in three cases: exclusion of the diagonal terms of the polynomial form, inclusion, or the mixed case (one polynomial form excludes the diagonals while the other one includes them). In any one of these cases, if the product has long memory, then the limits are given by Wiener chaos. But the limits in each of the cases are quite different. If the diagonals are excluded, then the limit is expressed as in the product formula of two Wiener-Itô integrals. When the diagonals are included, the limit stochastic integrals are typically due to a single factor of the product, namely the one with the strongest memory. In the mixed case, the limit stochastic integral is due to the polynomial form without the diagonals irrespective of the strength of the memory.

math.PR↗
arXiv2016

A unified approach to self-normalized block sampling

The inference procedure for the mean of a stationary time series is usually quite different under various model assumptions because the partial sum process behaves differently depending on whether the time series is short or long-range dependent, or whether it has a light or heavy-tailed marginal distribution. In the current paper, we develop an asymptotic theory for the self-normalized block sampling, and prove that the corresponding block sampling method can provide a unified inference approach for the aforementioned different situations in the sense that it does not require the {\em a priori} estimation of auxiliary parameters. Monte Carlo simulations are presented to illustrate its finite-sample performance. The R function implementing the method is available from the authors.

math.ST↗
arXiv2015

Short-range dependent processes subordinated to the Gaussian may not be strong mixing

There are all kinds of weak dependence. For example, strong mixing. Short-range dependence (SRD) is also a form of weak dependence. It occurs in the context of processes that are subordinated to the Gaussian. Is a SRD process strong mixing if the underlying Gaussian process is long-range dependent? We show that this is not necessarily the case.

math.PR↗
arXiv2015

The universality of homogeneous polynomial forms and critical limits

Nourdin et al. [9] established the following universality result: if a sequence of off-diagonal homogeneous polynomial forms in i.i.d. standard normal random variables converges in distribution to a normal, then the convergence also holds if one replaces these i.i.d. standard normal random variables in the polynomial forms by any independent standardized random variables with uniformly bounded third absolute moment. The result, which was stated for polynomial forms with a finite number of terms, can be extended to allow an infinite number of terms in the polynomial forms. Based on a contraction criterion derived from this extended universality result, we prove a central limit theorem for a strongly dependent nonlinear processes, whose memory parameter lies at the boundary between short and long memory.

math.PR↗
arXiv2015

Convergence of long-memory discrete $k$-th order Volterra processes

We obtain limit theorems for a class of nonlinear discrete-time processes $X(n)$ called the $k$-th order Volterra processes of order $k$. These are moving average $k$-th order polynomial forms: \[ X(n)=\sum_{0<i_1,\ldots,i_k<\infty}a(i_1,\ldots,i_k)ε_{n-i_1}\ldotsε_{n-i_k}, \] where $\{ε_i\}$ is i.i.d.\ with $\mathbb{E} ε_i=0$, $\mathbb{E} ε_i^2=1$, where $a(\cdot)$ is a nonrandom coefficient, and where the diagonals are included in the summation. We specify conditions for $X(n)$ to be well-defined in $L^2(Ω)$, and focus on central and non-central limit theorems. We show that normalized partial sums of centered $X(n)$ obey the central limit theorem if $a(\cdot)$ decays fast enough so that $X(n)$ has short memory. We prove a non-central limit theorem if, on the other hand, $a(\cdot)$ is asymptotically some slowly decaying homogeneous function so that $X(n)$ has long memory. In the non-central case the limit is a linear combination of Hermite-type processes of different orders. This linear combination can be expressed as a centered multiple Wiener-Stratonovich integral.

math.PR↗
arXiv2014

Generalized Hermite processes, discrete chaos and limit theorems

We introduce a broad class of self-similar processes $\{Z(t),t\ge 0\}$ called generalized Hermite process. They have stationary increments, are defined on a Wiener chaos with Hurst index $H\in (1/2,1)$, and include Hermite processes as a special case. They are defined through a homogeneous kernel $g$, called "generalized Hermite kernel", which replaces the product of power functions in the definition of Hermite processes. The generalized Hermite kernels $g$ can also be used to generate long-range dependent stationary sequences forming a discrete chaos process $\{X(n)\}$. In addition, we consider a fractionally-filtered version $Z^β(t)$ of $Z(t)$, which allows $H\in (0,1/2)$. Corresponding non-central limit theorems are established. We also give a multivariate limit theorem which mixes central and non-central limit theorems.

math.PR↗
arXiv2014

Structure of the third moment of the generalized Rosenblatt distribution

The Rosenblatt distribution appears as limit in non-central limit theorems. The generalized Rosenblatt distribution is obtained by allowing different power exponents in the kernel that defines the usual Rosenblatt distribution. We derive an explicit formula for its third moment, correcting the one in \citet{maejima:tudor:2012:selfsimilar} and \citet{tudor:2013:analysis}. Evaluating this formula numerically, we are able to confirm that the class of generalized Hermite processes is strictly richer than the class of Hermite processes.

math.PR↗
arXiv2013

Multivariate limits of multilinear polynomial-form processes with long memory

We consider the multilinear polynomial-form process \[X(n)=\sum_{1\le i_1<\ldots<i_k<\infty}a_{i_1}\ldots a_{i_k}ε_{n-i_1}\ldotsε_{n-i_k},\] obtained by applying a multilinear polynomial-form filter to i.i.d.\ sequence $\{ε_i\}$ where $\{a_i\}$ is regularly varying. The resulting sequence $\{X(n)\}$ will then display either short or long memory. Now consider a vector of such X(n), whose components are defined through different $\{a_i\}$'s, that is, through different multilinear polynomial-form filters, but using the same $\{ε_i\}$. What is the limit of the normalized partial sums of the vector? We show that the resulting limit is either a) a multivariate Gaussian process with Brownian motion as marginals, or b) a multivariate Hermite process, or c) a mixture of the two. We also identify the independent components of the limit vectors.

math.PR↗
arXiv2013

Multivariate limit theorems in the context of long-range dependence

We study the limit law of a vector made up of normalized sums of functions of long-range dependent stationary Gaussian series. Depending on the memory parameter of the Gaussian series and on the Hermite ranks of the functions, the resulting limit law may be (a) a multivariate Gaussian process involving dependent Brownian motion marginals, or (b) a multivariate process involving dependent Hermite processes as marginals, or (c) a combination. We treat cases (a), (b) in general and case (c) when the Hermite components involve ranks 1 and 2. We include a conjecture about case (c) when the Hermite ranks are arbitrary.

math.PR↗