arXiv subjects

Stanislav Babak

Publications and source records attributed to Stanislav Babak.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

arXiv2023

Computation of stochastic background from extreme mass ratio inspiral populations for LISA

Extreme mass ratio inspirals (EMRIs) are among the primary targets for the Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA). The extreme mass ratios of these systems result in relatively weak GW signals, that can be individually resolved only for cosmologically nearby sources (up to $z\approx2$). The incoherent piling up of the signal emitted by unresolved EMRIs generate a confusion noise, that can be formally treated as a stochastic GW background (GWB). In this paper, we estimate the level of this background considering a collection of astrophysically motivated EMRI models, spanning the range of uncertainties affecting EMRI formation. To this end, we employed the innovative Augmented Analytic Kludge waveforms and used the full LISA response function. For each model, we compute the GWB SNR and the number of resolvable sources. Compared to simplified computations of the EMRI signals from the literature, we find that for a given model the GWB SNR is lower by a factor of $\approx 2$ whereas the number of resolvable sources drops by a factor 3-to-5. Nonetheless, the vast majority of the models result in potentially detectable GWB which can also significantly contribute to the overall LISA noise budget in the 1-10 mHz frequency range.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2022

Observing the inspiral of coalescing massive black hole binaries with LISA in the era of Multi-Messenger Astrophysics

Massive black hole binaries (MBHBs) of $10^5 \, \rm M_\odot - 3 \times 10^7 \, \rm M_\odot $ merging in low redshift galaxies ($z\le4$) are sufficiently loud to be detected weeks before coalescence with the Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA). This allows us to perform the parameter estimation $on$ $the$ $fly$, i.e. as a function of the time to coalescence during the inspiral phase, relevant for early warning of the planned LISA protected periods and for searches of electromagnetic signals. In this work, we study the evolution of the sky position, luminosity distance, chirp mass and mass ratio uncertainties as function of time left before merger. Overall, light systems with total intrinsic mass $\rm M_{\rm tot} = 3 \times 10^5 \, \rm M_\odot$ are characterized by smaller uncertainties than heavy ones ($\rm M_{\rm tot} = 10^7 \, \rm M_\odot$) during the inspiral. Luminosity distance, chirp mass and mass ratio are well constrained at the end of the inspiral. Concerning sky position, at $z=1$, MBHBs with $\rm M_{\rm tot} = 3 \times 10^5 \, \rm M_\odot$ can be localized with a median precision of $\simeq 10^2 \, \rm deg^2 (\simeq 1 \, \rm deg^2)$ at 1 month (1 hour) from merger, while the sky position of heavy MBHBs can be determined to $10 \, \rm deg^2$ only 1 hour before merger. However the uncertainty around the median values broadens with time, ranging in between 0.04 -- 20 $\rm deg^2$ (0.3 -- 3 $\times 10^3 \, \rm deg^2$) for light (heavy) systems at 1 hour before merger. At merger the sky localization improves down to $\simeq 10^{-1} \, \rm deg^2$ for all masses. For the benefit of the observer community, we provide the full set of data from our simulations and simple and ready-to-use analytical fits to describe the time evolution of uncertainties in the aforementioned parameters, valid for systems with total mass between $10^5$--$10^7 \, \rm M_\odot$ and redshift $0.3$--$3$.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2022

Detectability and parameter estimation of GWTC-3 events with LISA

Multiband observations of coalescing stellar-mass black holes binaries could deliver valuable information on the formation of those sources and potential deviations from General Relativity. Some of these binaries might be first detected by the space-based detector LISA and, then, several years later, observed with ground-based detectors. Due to large uncertainties in astrophysical models, it is hard to predict the population of such binaries that LISA could observe. In this work, we assess the ability of LISA to detect the events of the third catalogue of gravitational wave sources released by the LIGO/Virgo/KAGRA collaboration. We consider the possibility of directly detecting the source with LISA and performing archival searches in the LISA data stream, after the event has been observed with ground-based detectors. We also assess how much could LISA improve the determination of source parameters. We find that it is not guaranteed that any event other than GW150914 would have been detected. Nevertheless, if any event is detected by LISA, even with a very low signal-to-noise ratio, the measurement of source parameters would improve by combining observations of LISA and ground based detectors, in particular for the chirp mass.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2022

Observing GW190521-like binary black holes and their environment with LISA

Binaries of relatively massive black holes like GW190521 have been proposed to form in dense gas environments, such as the disks of Active Galactic Nuclei (AGNs), and they might be associated with transient electromagnetic counterparts. The interactions of this putative environment with the binary could leave a significant imprint at the low gravitational wave frequencies observable with the Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA). We show that LISA will be able to detect up to ten GW190521-like black hole binaries, with sky position errors $\lesssim1$ deg$^2$. Moreover, it will measure directly various effects due to the orbital motion around the supermassive black hole at the center of the AGN, especially the Doppler modulation and the Shapiro time delay. Thanks to a careful treatment of their frequency domain signal, we were able to perform the full parameter estimation of Doppler and Shapiro-modulated binaries as seen by LISA. We find that the Doppler and Shapiro effects will allow for measuring the AGN parameters (radius and inclination of the orbit around the AGN, central black hole mass) with up to percent-level precision. Properly modeling these low-frequency environmental effects is crucial to determine the binary formation history, as well as to avoid biases in the reconstruction of the source parameters and in tests of general relativity with gravitational waves.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2022

Adaptive Kernel Density Estimation proposal in gravitational wave data analysis

Markov Chain Monte Carlo approach is frequently used within Bayesian framework to sample the target posterior distribution. Its efficiency strongly depends on the proposal used to build the chain. The best jump proposal is the one that closely resembles the unknown target distribution, therefore we suggest an adaptive proposal based on Kernel Density Estimation (KDE). We group parameters of the model according to their correlation and build KDE based on the already accepted points for each group. We adapt the KDE-based proposal until it stabilizes. We argue that such a proposal could be helpful in applications where the data volume is increasing and in the hyper-model sampling. We tested it on several astrophysical datasets (IPTA and LISA) and have shown that in some cases KDE-based proposal also helps to reduce the autocorrelation length of the chains. The efficiency of this proposal is reduces in case of the strong correlations between a large group of parameters.

astro-ph.IM↗

arXiv2022

Known unknowns: assessing the impact of instrumental calibration uncertainty on LISA science

The primary scientific results of the future space-based gravitational wave interferometer LISA will come from the parameter inference of a large variety of gravitational wave sources. However, the presence of calibration errors could potentially degrade the measurement precision of the system parameters. Here, we assess the impact of calibration uncertainties on parameter estimation for individual sources, focusing on massive black holes, extreme-mass-ratio inspirals (EMRIs), galactic binaries, and stellar origin black hole binaries. Using a Fisher matrix formalism, we investigate how the measurement precision of source parameters degrades as a function of the size of the assumed calibration uncertainties. If we require that parameter measurements are degraded by no more than a factor of two relative to their value in the absence of calibration error, we find that calibration errors should be smaller than a few tenths of a percent in amplitude and $10^{-3}$ in phase. We also investigate the possibility of using verification binaries and EMRIs to constrain calibration uncertainties. Verification binaries can constrain amplitude calibration uncertainties at the level of a few percent, while both source types can provide constrain phase calibration at the level of a few$\times10^{-2}$.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2022

The Effect of Mission Duration on LISA Science Objectives

The science objectives of the LISA mission have been defined under the implicit assumption of a 4 yr continuous data stream. Based on the performance of LISA Pathfinder, it is now expected that LISA will have a duty cycle of $\approx 0.75$, which would reduce the effective span of usable data to 3 yr. This paper reports the results of a study by the LISA Science Group, which was charged with assessing the additional science return of increasing the mission lifetime. We explore various observational scenarios to assess the impact of mission duration on the main science objectives of the mission. We find that the science investigations most affected by mission duration concern the search for seed black holes at cosmic dawn, as well as the study of stellar-origin black holes and of their formation channels via multi-band and multi-messenger observations. We conclude that an extension to 6 yr of mission operations is recommended.

astro-ph.IM↗

arXiv2021

Gravitational wave cosmology with extreme mass-ratio inspirals

The Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA) will open the mHz frequency window of the gravitational wave (GW) landscape. Among all the new GW sources expected to emit in this frequency band, extreme mass-ratio inspirals (EMRIs) constitute a unique laboratory for astrophysics and fundamental physics. Here we show that EMRIs can also be used to extract relevant cosmological information, complementary to both electromagnetic (EM) and other GW observations. By using the loudest EMRIs (SNR$>$100) detected by LISA as dark standard sirens, statistically matching their sky localisation region with mock galaxy catalogs, we find that constraints on $H_0$ can reach $\sim$1.1% ($\sim$3.6%) accuracy, at the 90% credible level, in our best (worst) case scenario. By considering a dynamical dark energy (DE) cosmological model, with $Λ$CDM parameters fixed by other observations, we further show that in our best (worst) case scenario $\sim$5.9% ($\sim$12.3%) relative uncertainties at the 90% credible level can be obtained on $w_0$, the DE equation of state parameter. Besides being relevant in their own right, EMRI measurements will be affected by different systematics compared to both EM and ground-based GW observations. Cross validation with complementary cosmological measurements will therefore be of paramount importance, especially if convincing evidence of physics beyond $Λ$CDM emerges from future observations.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2021

Discriminating between different scenarios for the formation and evolution of massive black holes with LISA

Electromagnetic observations have provided strong evidence for the existence of massive black holes in the center of galaxies, but their origin is still poorly known. Different scenarios for the formation and evolution of massive black holes lead to different predictions for their properties and merger rates. LISA observations of coalescing massive black hole binaries could be used to reverse engineer the problem and shed light on these mechanisms. In this paper, we introduce a pipeline based on hierarchical Bayesian inference to infer the mixing fraction between different theoretical models by comparing them to LISA observations of massive black hole mergers. By testing this pipeline against simulated LISA data, we show that it allows us to accurately infer the properties of the massive black hole population as long as our theoretical models provide a reliable description of the Universe. We also show that measurement errors, including both instrumental noise and weak lensing errors, have little impact on the inference.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2021

On the matrix formulation of time-delay interferometry

Time-delay interferometry (TDI) is a processing step essential for the scientific exploitation of LISA, as it reduces the otherwise overwhelming laser noise in the interferometric measurements. The fundamental idea is to define new laser-noise-free observables by combining appropriately time-shifted measurements. First- and second-generation TDI combinations cancel laser noise under the assumption that the LISA armlengths are constant or evolve linearly with time, respectively. We recently extended TDI by solving for the laser-noise-free combinations implicitly, writing the likelihood of the data directly in terms of the basic measurements, and using a discretized representation of the delays that can accommodate any time dependence of the armlengths. We named the resulting formalism "TDI-infinity'' [PRD 103, 082001 (2021)]. According to Tinto, Dhurandhar, and Joshi [arXiv/2105.02054], our matrix-based approach is invalidated by the simplified start-up conditions assumed for the design matrix that connects the time series of laser-noise fluctuations to the time series of interferometric measurements along the LISA arms. Here we respond that, if those boundary conditions are indeed unrealistic, they do not invalidate the algorithm, since one can simply truncate the design matrix to exclude "incomplete'' measurements, or set them to zero. Our formalism then proceeds unmodified, except that the length of the laser-noise canceling time series is reduced by the number of excluded measurements. Tinto and colleagues further claim that the matrix formulation is merely a finite representation of the polynomial ring of delay operators introduced by Dhurandar, Nayak, and Vinet to formalize TDI. We show that this is only true if all interferometric delays are exact multiples of the sampling interval, which will not be possible in practical contexts such as LISA.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2021

Modeling gravitational waves from exotic compact objects

Exotic compact objects can be difficult to distinguish from black holes in the inspiral phase of the binaries observed by gravitational-wave detectors, but significant differences may be present in the merger and post-merger signal. We introduce a toy model capturing the salient features of binaries of exotic compact objects with compactness below $0.2$, which do not collapse promptly following the merger. We use it to assess their detectability with current and future detectors, and whether they can be distinguished from black hole binaries. We find that the Einstein Telescope (LISA) could observe exotic binaries with total mass $\mathcal{O}(10^2) \ M_{\odot}$ ($10^4-10^6 \ M_{\odot}$), and potentially distinguish them from black hole binaries, throughout the observable Universe, as compared to $z\lesssim 1$ for Advanced LIGO. Moreover, we show that using standard black hole templates for detection could lead to a loss of up to $60\%$ in the signal-to-noise ratio, greatly reducing our chances of observing these signals. Finally, we estimate that if the loudest events in the O1/O2 catalog released by the LIGO/Virgo collaboration were ECO binaries as the ones considered in this paper, they would have left a post-merger signal detectable with model-agnostic searches, making this hypothesis unlikely.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2021

Characterization of the stochastic signal originating from compact binaries populations as measured by LISA

The Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA) mission, scheduled for launch in the early 2030s, is a gravitational wave observatory in space designed to detect sources emitting in the milli-Hertz band. In contrast to the present ground based detectors, the LISA data are expected to be a signaldominated, with strong and weak gravitational wave signals overlapping in time and in frequency. Astrophysical population models predict a sufficient number of signals in the LISA band to blend together and form an irresolvable foreground noise. In this work, we present a generic method for characterizing the foreground signals originating from a given astrophysical population of coalescing compact binaries. Assuming idealized detector conditions and perfect data analysis technique capable of identifying and removing the bright sources, we apply an iterative procedure which allows us to predict the different levels of foreground noise.

astro-ph.IM↗

arXiv2021

Detectable environmental effects in GW190521-like black-hole binaries with LISA

GW190521 is the compact binary with the largest masses observed to date, with at least one in the pair-instability gap. This event has also been claimed to be associated with an optical flare observed by the Zwicky Transient Facility in an Active Galactic Nucleus (AGN), possibly due to the post-merger motion of the merger remnant in the AGN gaseous disk. We show that the Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA) will detect up to ten of such gas-rich black hole binaries months to years before their detection by LIGO/Virgo-like interferometers, localizing them in the sky within $\approx1$ deg$^2$. LISA will also measure directly deviations from purely vacuum and stationary waveforms, arising from gas accretion, dynamical friction, and orbital motion around the AGN's massive black hole (acceleration, strong lensing, and Doppler modulation). LISA will therefore be crucial to alert and point electromagnetic telescopes ahead of time on this novel class of gas-rich sources, to gain direct insight on their physics, and to disentangle environmental effects from corrections to General Relativity that may also appear in the waveforms at low frequencies.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2021

Tests of general relativity with stellar-mass black hole binaries observed by LISA

We consider the observation of stellar-mass black holes binaries with the Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA). Preliminary results based on Fisher information matrix analyses have suggested that gravitational waves from those sources could be very sensitive to possible deviations from the theory of general relativity and from the strong equivalence principle during the low-frequency binary inspiral. We perform a full Markov Chain Monte Carlo Bayesian analysis to quantify the sensitivity of these signals to two phenomenological modifications of general relativity, namely a putative gravitational dipole emission and a non-zero mass for the graviton, properly accounting for the detector's response. Moreover, we consider a scenario where those sources could be observed also with Earth-based detectors, which should measure the coalescence time with precision better than $1 \ {\rm ms}$. This constraint on the coalescence time further improves the bounds that we can set on those phenomenological deviations from general relativity. We show that tests of dipole radiation and the graviton's mass should improve respectively by seven and half an order(s) of magnitude over current bounds. Finally, we discuss under which conditions one may claim the detection of a modification to general relativity.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2021

Parameter estimation of stellar-mass black hole binaries with LISA

Stellar-mass black hole binaries (SBHBs), like those currently being detected with the ground-based gravitational-wave (GW) observatories LIGO and Virgo, are also an anticipated GW source for LISA. LISA will observe them during the early inspiral stage of evolution; some of them will chirp through the LISA band and reappear some time later in the band of $3^{rd}$ generation ground-based detectors. SBHBs could serve as laboratories for testing the theory of General Relativity and inferring the astrophysical properties of the underlying population. In this study, we assess LISA's ability to infer the parameters of those systems, a crucial first step in understanding and interpreting the observation of those binaries and their use in fundamental physics and astrophysics. We simulate LISA observations for several fiducial sources and perform a full Bayesian analysis. We demonstrate and explain degeneracies in the parameters of some systems. We show that the redshifted chirp mass and the sky location are always very well determined, with typical errors below $10^{-4}$ (fractional) and $0.4 \ {\rm deg^2}$. The luminosity distance to the source is typically measured within $40-60\%$, resulting in a measurement of the chirp mass in the source frame of $\mathcal{O}(1 \%)$. The error on the time to coalescence improves from $\mathcal{O}(1 \ {\rm day})$ to $\mathcal{O}(30 \ {\rm s})$ as we observe the systems closer to their merger. We introduce an augmented Fisher-matrix analysis which gives reliable predictions for the intrinsic parameters compared to the full Bayesian analysis. Finally, we show that combining the use of the long-wavelength approximation for the LISA instrumental response together with the introduction of a degradation function at high frequencies yields reliable results for the posterior distribution when used self-consistently, but not in the analysis of real LISA data.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2020

TDI-infinity: time-delay interferometry without delays

The space-based gravitational-wave observatory LISA relies on a form of synthetic interferometry (time-delay interferometry, or TDI) where the otherwise overwhelming laser phase noise is canceled by linear combinations of appropriately delayed phase measurements. These observables grow in length and complexity as the realistic features of the LISA orbits are taken into account. In this paper we outline an implicit formulation of TDI where we write the LISA likelihood directly in terms of the basic phase measurements, and we marginalize over the laser phase noises in the limit of infinite laser-noise variance. Equivalently, we rely on TDI observables that are defined numerically (rather than algebraically) from a discrete-filter representation of the laser propagation delays. Our method generalizes to any time dependence of the armlengths; it simplifies the modeling of gravitational-wave signals; and it allows a straightforward treatment of data gaps and missing measurements.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2020

GPU-accelerated massive black hole binary parameter estimation with LISA

The Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA) is slated for launch in the early 2030s. A main target of the mission is massive black hole binaries that have an expected detection rate of $\sim20$ yr$^{-1}$. We present a parameter estimation analysis for a variety of massive black hole binaries. This analysis is performed with a graphics processing unit (GPU) implementation comprising the phenomhm waveform with higher-order harmonic modes and aligned spins; a fast frequency-domain LISA detector response function; and a GPU-native likelihood computation. The computational performance achieved with the GPU is shown to be 500 times greater than with a similar CPU implementation, which allows us to analyze full noise-infused injections at a realistic Fourier bin width for the LISA mission in a tractable and efficient amount of time. With these fast likelihood computations, we study the effect of adding aligned spins to an analysis with higher-order modes by testing different configurations of spins in the injection, as well as the effect of varied and fixed spins during sampling. Within these tests, we examine three different binaries with varying mass ratios, redshifts, sky locations, and detector-frame total masses ranging over three orders of magnitude. We discuss varied correlations between the total masses and mass ratios; unique spin posteriors for the larger mass binaries; and the constraints on parameters when fixing spins during sampling, allowing us to compare to previous analyses that did not include aligned spins.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2020

Gravitational-wave detection and parameter estimation for accreting black-hole binaries and their electromagnetic counterpart

We study the impact of gas accretion on the orbital evolution of black-hole binaries initially at large separation in the band of the planned Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA). We focus on two sources: (i)~stellar-origin black-hole binaries~(SOBHBs) that can migrate from the LISA band to the band of ground-based gravitational-wave observatories within weeks/months; and (ii) intermediate-mass black-hole binaries~(IMBHBs) in the LISA band only. Because of the large number of observable gravitational-wave cycles, the phase evolution of these systems needs to be modeled to great accuracy to avoid biasing the estimation of the source parameters. Accretion affects the gravitational-wave phase at negative ($-4$) post-Newtonian order, and is therefore dominant for binaries at large separations. If accretion takes place at the Eddington or at super-Eddington rate, it will leave a detectable imprint on the dynamics of SOBHBs. In optimistic astrophysical scenarios, a multiwavelength strategy with LISA and a ground-based interferometer can detect about $10$ (a few) SOBHB events for which the accretion rate can be measured at $50\%$ ($10\%$) level. In all cases the sky position can be identified within much less than $0.4\,{\rm deg}^2$ uncertainty. Likewise, accretion at $\gtrsim 10\%$ ($\gtrsim 100\%$) of the Eddington rate can be measured in IMBHBs up to redshift $z\approx 0.1$ ($z\approx 0.5$), and the position of these sources can be identified within less than $0.01\,{\rm deg}^2$ uncertainty. Altogether, a detection of SOBHBs or IMBHBs would allow for targeted searches of electromagnetic counterparts to black-hole mergers in gas-rich environments with future X-ray detectors (such as Athena) and radio observatories (such as SKA).

astro-ph.HE↗