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Stefaan Poedts

Publications and source records attributed to Stefaan Poedts.

At least 73 records · Page 4Linked to original sources

The role of plasma beta in global coronal models: Bringing balance back to the force

COCONUT is a global coronal magnetohydrodynamic model recently developed. In order to achieve robustness and fast convergence to steady-state, several assumptions have been made during its development, such as prescribing filtered photospheric magnetic maps for representing the magnetic field in the lower corona. This filtering leads to smoothing and lower magnetic field values at the inner boundary, resulting in an unrealistically high plasma beta.In this paper, we examine the effects of prescribing such filtered magnetograms and formulate a method for achieving more realistic plasma beta values without losing computational performance. We demonstrate the effects of the highly pre-processed magnetic maps and the resulting high plasma beta on the features in the domain. Then, in our new approach, we shift the inner boundary to 2 Rs and preserve the prescribed highly filtered magnetic map. This effectively reduces the prescribed plasma beta and leads to a more realistic setup. The method is applied on a magnetic dipole, a minimum (2008) and a maximum (2012) solar activity case, to demonstrate its effects. The results obtained with the proposed approach show significant improvements in the resolved density and radial velocity profiles, and far more realistic values of the plasma \{beta} at the boundary and inside the computational domain. This is also demonstrated via synthetic white light imaging and with the validation against tomography. The computational performance comparison shows similar convergence to a limit residual on the same grid when compared to the original setup. Considering that the grid can be further coarsened with this new setup, the operational performance can be additionally increased if needed. The newly developed method is thus deemed as a good potential replacement of the original setup for operational purposes.

astro-ph.SR↗

Exploring the effects of numerical methods and slope limiters in heliospheric modeling

Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are large eruptions close to the solar surface, where plasma is ejected outwards into space at large speeds. When directed towards Earth, they interfere with Earth's magnetic fields and cause strong geo-effective storms. In order to mitigate the potential damage, forecasting tools are implemented. Recently, a novel heliospheric modelling tool, Icarus, has been implemented, which exploits the open-source framework MPI-AMRVAC as its core MHD solver. This new model efficiently performs 3D MHD simulations of the solar wind and the evolution of interplanetary CMEs with the help of advanced techniques, such as adaptive mesh refinement and gradual radial grid stretching. The numerical methods applied in the simulations can have significant effects on the simulation results and on the efficiency of the model. In this study, the effect of different combinations of numerical schemes and slope limiters, for reconstructing edge-based variabes used in fluxes, is considered. We explore frequently exploited combinations from the available numerical schemes in MPI-AMRVAC: TVDLF, HLL and HLLC along with the slope limiters 'woodward', 'minmod', 'vanleer', and 'koren'. For analysis purposes, we selected one particular solar wind configuration and studied the influence on variables at 1 AU in the equatorial plane. The goal is to find the optimal combination to produce accurate results fast and in a robust way so that the model can be reliable for day-to-day use by space weather scientists. As a conclusion, the best result assessed with these two criteria is the combination of the TVDLF scheme with the 'woodward' limiter.

astro-ph.SR↗

The effect of the ambient solar wind medium on a CME-driven shock and the associated gradual solar energetic particle event

We present simulation results of a gradual solar energetic particle (SEP) event detected on 2021 October 9 by multiple spacecraft, including BepiColombo (Bepi) and near-Earth spacecraft such as the Advanced Composition Explorer (ACE). A peculiarity of this event is that the presence of a high speed stream (HSS) affected the low-energy ion component ($\lesssim 5$ MeV) of the gradual SEP event at both Bepi and ACE, despite the HSS having only a modest solar wind speed increase. Using the EUHFORIA (European Heliospheric FORecasting Information Asset) magnetohydrodynamic model, we replicate the solar wind during the event and the coronal mass ejection (CME) that generated it. We then combine these results with the energetic particle transport model PARADISE (PArticle Radiation Asset Directed at Interplanetary Space Exploration). We find that the structure of the CME-driven shock was affected by the non-uniform solar wind, especially near the HSS, resulting in a shock wavefront with strong variations in its properties such as its compression ratio and obliquity. By scaling the emission of energetic particles from the shock to the solar wind compression at the shock, an excellent match between the PARADISE simulation and in-situ measurements of $\lesssim 5$ MeV ions is obtained. Our modelling shows that the intricate intensity variations observed at both ACE and Bepi were influenced by the non-uniform emission of energetic particles from the deformed shock wave and demonstrates the influence of even modest background solar wind structures on the development of SEP events.

physics.space-ph↗

Rotation and interaction of the September 8 and 10, 2014 CMEs tested with EUHFORIA

Solar coronal mass ejections (CMEs) can catch up and interact with preceding CMEs and solar wind structures to undergo rotation and deflection during their propagation. We aim to show how interactions undergone by a CME in the corona and heliosphere can play a significant role in altering its geoeffectiveness predicted at the time of its eruption. We consider a case study of two successive CMEs launched from the active region NOAA 12158 in early September 2014. The second CME was predicted to be extensively geoeffective based on the remote-sensing observations of the source region. However, in situ measurements at 1~au recorded only a short-lasting weak negative Bz component followed by a prolonged positive Bz component. The EUropean Heliosphere FORecasting Information Asset (EUHFORIA) is used to perform a self-consistent 3D MHD simulation of the two CMEs in the heliosphere. The initial conditions of the CMEs are determined by combining observational insights near the Sun, fine-tuned to match the in situ observations near 1~au, and additional numerical experiments of each individual CME. By introducing CME1 before CME2 in the EUHFORIA simulation, we modelled the negative Bz component in the sheath region ahead of CME2 whose formation can be attributed to the interaction between CME1 and CME2. To reproduce the positive Bz component in the magnetic ejecta of CME2, we had to initialise CME2 with an orientation determined at 0.1~au and consistent with the orientation interpreted at 1~au, instead of the orientation observed during its eruption. EUHFORIA simulations suggest the possibility of a significant rotation of CME2 in the low corona in order to explain the in situ observations at 1~au. Coherent magnetic field rotations, potentially geoeffective, can be formed in the sheath region as a result of CME-CME interactions in the heliosphere even if the individual CMEs are not geoeffective.

astro-ph.SR↗

On the seed population of solar energetic particles in the inner heliosphere

Particles measured in large gradual solar energetic particle (SEP) events are believed to be predominantly accelerated at shocks driven by coronal mass ejections (CMEs). Ion charge state and composition analyses suggest that the origin of the seed particle population for the mechanisms of particle acceleration at CME-driven shocks is not the bulk solar wind thermal material, but rather a suprathermal population present in the solar wind. This suprathermal population could result from remnant material accelerated in prior solar flares and/or preceding CME-driven shocks. In this work, we examine the distribution of this suprathermal particle population in the inner heliosphere by combining a magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) simulation of the solar wind and a Monte-Carlo simulation of particle acceleration and transport. Assuming that the seed particles are uniformly distributed near the Sun by solar flares of various magnitudes, we study the longitudinal distribution of the seed population at multiple heliocentric distances. We consider a non-uniform background solar wind, consisting of fast and slow streams that lead to compression and rarefaction regions within the solar wind. Our simulations show that the seed population at a particular location (e.g., 1 au) is strongly modulated by the underlying solar wind configuration. Corotating interaction regions (CIRs) and merged interactions regions (MIRs) can strongly alter the energy spectra of the seed particle populations. In addition, cross-field diffusion plays an important role in mitigating strong variations of the seed population in both space and energy.

physics.space-ph↗

Thermodynamic and Magnetic Topology Evolution of the X1.0 Flare on 2021 October 28 Simulated by a Data-driven Radiative Magnetohydrodynamic Model

Solar filament eruptions, flares and coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are manifestations of drastic release of energy in the magnetic field, which are related to many eruptive phenomena from the Earth magnetosphere to black hole accretion disks. With the availability of high-resolution magnetograms on the solar surface, observational data-based modelling is a promising way to quantitatively study the underlying physical mechanisms behind observations. By incorporating thermal conduction and radiation losses in the energy equation, we develop a new data-driven radiative magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) model, which has the capability to capture the thermodynamic evolution compared to our previous zero-\b{eta} model. Our numerical results reproduce major observational characteristics of the X1.0 flare on 2021 October 28 in NOAA active region (AR) 12887, including the morphology of the eruption, kinematic of flare ribbons, extreme-ultraviolet (EUV) radiations, and two components of the EUV waves predicted by the magnetic stretching model, i.e., a fast-mode shock wave and a slower apparent wave due to successive stretching of magnetic field lines. Moreover, some intriguing phenomena are revealed in the simulation. We find that flare ribbons separate initially and ultimately stop at the outer stationary quasi-separatrix layers (QSLs). Such outer QSLs correspond to the border of the filament channel and determine the final positions of flare ribbons, which can be used to predict the size and the lifetime of a flare before it occurs. In addition, the side view of the synthesized EUV and white-light images exhibit typical three-part structures of CMEs, where the bright leading front is roughly cospatial with the non-wave component of the EUV wave, reinforcing the magnetic stretching model for the slow component of EUV waves.

astro-ph.SR↗

Assessing inner boundary conditions for global coronal modeling of solar maxima

Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD)-based global solar coronal simulations are slowly making their way into the space weather modeling toolchains to replace the semi-empirical methods such as the Wang-Sheeley-Arge (WSA) model. However, since they are based on CFD, if the assumptions in them are too strong, these codes might experience issues with convergence and unphysical solutions. Particularly the magnetograms corresponding to solar maxima can pose problems as they contain active regions with strong magnetic fields, resulting in large gradients. Combined with the approximate way in which the inner boundary is often treated, this can lead to non-physical features or even a complete divergence of the simulation in these cases. Here, we show some of the possible approaches to handle this inner boundary in our global coronal model COolfluid COrona uNstrUcTured (COCONUT) in a way that improves both convergence and accuracy. Since we know that prescribing the photospheric magnetic field for a region that represents the lower corona is not entirely physical, first, we look at the ways in which we can adjust the input magnetograms to remove the highest magnitudes and gradients. Secondly, since in the default setup we also assume a constant density, here we experiment with changing these values locally and globally to see the effect on the results. We conclude, through comparison with observations and convergence analysis, that modifying the density locally in active regions is the best way to improve the performance both in terms of convergence and physical accuracy from the tested approaches.

astro-ph.SR↗

Characteristic Scales of Complexity and Coherence within Interplanetary Coronal Mass Ejections: Insights from Spacecraft Swarms in Global Heliospheric Simulations

Many aspects of the three-dimensional (3-D) structure and evolution of interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs) remain unexplained. Here, we investigate two main topics: (1) the coherence scale of magnetic fields inside ICMEs, and (2) the dynamic nature of ICME magnetic complexity. We simulate ICMEs interacting with different solar winds using the linear force-free spheromak model incorporated into the EUHFORIA model. We place a swarm of ~20000 spacecraft in the 3-D simulation domain and characterize ICME magnetic complexity and coherence at each spacecraft based on simulated time series. Our simulations suggest that ICMEs retain a lower complexity and higher coherence along their magnetic axis, but that a characterization of their global complexity requires crossings along both the axial and perpendicular directions. For an ICME of initial half angular width of $45^\circ$ that does not interact with other large-scale solar wind structures, global complexity can be characterized by as little as 7-12 spacecraft separated by $25^\circ$, but the minimum number of spacecraft rises to 50-65 (separated by $10^\circ$) if interactions occur. Without interactions, ICME coherence extends for $45^\circ$, $20^\circ$-$30^\circ$, $15^\circ$-$30^\circ$, and $0^\circ$-$10^\circ$ for $B$, $B_ϕ$, $B_θ$, and $B_r$, respectively. Coherence is also lower in the ICME west flank compared to the east flank due to Parker spiral effects. Moreover, coherence is reduced by a factor of 3-6 by interactions with solar wind structures. Our findings help constrain some of the critical scales that control the evolution of ICMEs and aid in the planning of future dedicated multi-spacecraft missions.

astro-ph.SR↗

Improving CME evolution and arrival predictions with AMR and grid stretching in Icarus

Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) are one of the main drivers of disturbances in the interplanetary space. Strong CMEs, when directed towards the Earth, cause geo-magnetic storms upon interacting with the magnetic field of the Earthand can cause significant damage to our planet and affect everyday life. As such, efficient space weather prediction tools are necessary to forecast the arrival and impact of CME eruptions. Recently, a new heliospheric model Icarus was developed based on MPI-AMRVAC, which is a 3D ideal MHD model for the solar wind and CME propagation, and it introduces advanced numerical techniques to make the simulations more efficient. A cone model is used to study the evolution of the CME through the background solar wind and its arrival and impact at Earth. Grid stretching and AMR are combined in the simulations by using multiple refinement criteria. We compare simulation results to the EUFHORIA model. As a result, the simulations were sped up by a factor of 17 for the most optimal configuration in Icarus. For the cone CME model, we found that limiting the AMR to the region around the CME-driven shock yields the best results. The results modelled by the simulations with radial grid stretching and AMR level 4 are similar to the results provided by the original EUHFORIA and Icarus simulations with the 'standard' resolution and equidistant grids. The simulations with 5 AMR levels yielded better results than the simulations with an equidistant grid and standard resolution. Solution AMR is flexible and provides the user the freedom to modify and locally increase the grid resolution according to the purpose of the simulation. The advanced techniques implemented in Icarus can be further used to improve the forecasting procedures, since the reduced simulation time is essential to make physics-based forecasts less computationally expensive.

astro-ph.SR↗

Successive interacting coronal mass ejections: How to create a perfect storm?

Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are the largest type of eruptions on the Sun and the main driver of severe space weather at the Earth. In this study, we implement a force-free spheromak CME description within 3-D magnetohydrodynamic simulations to parametrically evaluate successive interacting CMEs within a representative heliosphere. We explore CME-CME interactions for a range of orientations, launch time variations and CME handedness and quantify their geo-effectiveness via the primary solar wind variables and empirical measures of the disturbance storm time index and subsolar magnetopause standoff distance. We show how the interaction of two moderate CMEs between the Sun and the Earth can translate into extreme conditions at the Earth and how CME-CME interactions at different radial distances can maximise different solar wind variables that induce different geophysical impacts. In particular, we demonstrate how the orientation and handedness of a given CME can have a significant impact on the conservation and loss of magnetic flux, and consequently B$_z$, due to magnetic reconnection with the interplanetary magnetic field. This study thus implicates identification of CME chirality in the solar corona as an early diagnostic for forecasting geomagnetic storms involving multiple CMEs.

astro-ph.SR↗

Modelling the 2020 November 29 solar energetic particle event using the EUHFORIA and the iPATH model

We present the implementation of coupling the EUropean Heliospheric FORcasting Information Asset (EUHFORIA) and the improved Particle Acceleration and Transport in the Heliosphere (iPATH) model and simulate the widespread solar energetic particle (SEP) event of 2020 November 29. We compare the simulated time intensity profiles with measurements at Parker Solar Probe (PSP), the Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory (STEREO)-A, SOlar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) and Solar Orbiter (SolO). We focus on the influence of the history of shock acceleration on the varying SEP time intensity profiles and investigate the underlying causes in the origin of this widespread SEP event. The temporal evolution of shock parameters and particle fluxes during this event are examined. We find that adopting a realistic solar wind background can significantly impact the expansion of the shock and consequently the shock parameters. Time intensity profiles with an energetic storm particle event at PSP are well reproduced from the simulation. In addition, the simulated and observed time intensity profiles of protons show a similar two-phase enhancement at STA. These results illustrate that modelling a shock using a realistic solar wind is crucial in determining the characteristics of SEP events. The decay phase of the modelled time intensity profiles at Earth agrees well with observations, indicating the importance of perpendicular diffusion in widespread SEP events. Taking into account the possible large curved magnetic field line connecting to SolO, the modelled time intensity profiles show good agreement with the observation. We suggest that the largely distorted magnetic field lines due to a stream interaction region may be a key factor in understanding the observed SEPs at SolO in this event.

physics.space-ph↗

COCONUT, a novel fast-converging MHD model for solar corona simulations: II. Assessing the impact of the input magnetic map on space-weather forecasting at minimum of activity

This paper is dedicated to the new implicit unstructured coronal code COCONUT, which aims at providing fast and accurate inputs for space weather forecast as an alternative to empirical models. We use all 20 available magnetic maps of the solar photosphere covering the date of the 2nd of July 2019 which corresponds to a solar eclipse on Earth. We use the same standard pre-processing on all maps, then perform coronal MHD simulations with the same numerical and physical parameters. In the end, we quantify the performance for each map using three indicators from remote-sensing observations: white-light total solar eclipse images for the streamers' edges, EUV synoptic maps for coronal holes and white-light coronagraph images for the heliospheric current sheet. We discuss the performance for space weather forecasts and we show that the choice of the input magnetic map has a strong impact. We find performances between 24% to 85% for the streamers' edges, 24% to 88% for the coronal hole boundaries and a mean deviation between 4 to 12 degrees for the heliospheric current sheet position. We find that the HMI runs are globally performing better on all indicators, with the GONG-ADAPT being the second-best choice. HMI runs perform better for the streamers' edges, GONG-ADAPT for polar coronal holes, HMI synchronic for equatorial coronal holes and for the streamer belt. We especially showcase the importance of the filling of the poles. This demonstrates that the solar poles have to be taken into account even for ecliptic plane previsions.

astro-ph.SR↗

Structured type III radio bursts observed in interplanetary space

Context: The last few decades has seen numerous studies dedicated to fine structures of type III radio bursts observed in the metric to decametric wavelengths. Majority of explanations of the structured radio emission involve the propagation of electron beam through the strongly inhomogeneous plasma in the low corona. Until now only few studies of single type III bursts with fine structures, observed in the hecto-kilometric wavelengths, were reported. Aims: Herein we report about existence of numerous structured type III radio bursts observed during the STEREO era by all three WAVES instruments on board STEREO A, B, and Wind. The aim of the study is to report, classify structured type III bursts, and present the characteristics of their fine structures. The final goal is to try to understand the physical mechanism responsible for the generation of structured radio emission. Methods: In this study we used data from all available spacecraft, specifically the STEREO and the Wind spacecraft. We employ 1D density models to obtain the speed of the source of type III radio emission, the electron beam. We also perform spectral analysis of the fine structures in order to compare their characteristics with the metric-decametric fine structures. Results: The presented similarities of the type III fine structures in the metric to decametric and interplanetary wavelengths indicate that the physical processes responsible for the generation of structured type III radio bursts could be the same, at the heights, all the way from the low corona to the interplanetary range. We show that the observed structuring and intermittent nature of the type III bursts can be explained by the variation in the level of density fluctuations, at different distances from the Sun.

astro-ph.SR↗

To E or not to E: Numerical Nuances of Global Coronal Models

In the recent years, global coronal models have experienced an ongoing increase in popularity as tools for forecasting solar weather. Within the domain of up to 21.5Rsun, magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) is used to resolve the coronal structure using magnetograms as inputs at the solar surface. Ideally, these computations would be repeated with every update of the solar magnetogram so that they could be used in the ESA Modelling and Data Analysis Working Group (MADAWG) magnetic connectivity tool (http://connect-tool.irap.omp.eu/). Thus, it is crucial that these results are both accurate and efficient. While much work has been published showing the results of these models in comparison with observations, not many of it discusses the intricate numerical adjustments required to achieve these results. These range from details of boundary condition formulations to adjustments as large as enforcing parallelism between the magnetic field and velocity. By omitting the electric field in ideal-MHD, the description of the physics can be insufficient and may lead to excessive diffusion and incorrect profiles. We formulate inner boundary conditions which, along with other techniques, reduce artificial electric field generation. Moreover, we investigate how different outer boundary condition formulations and grid design affect the results and convergence, with special focus on the density and the radial component of the B-field. The significant improvement in accuracy of real magnetic map-driven simulations is illustrated for an example of the 2008 eclipse.

astro-ph.SR↗

Comparing the counter-beaming and temperature anisotropy driven aperiodic electron firehose instabilities in collisionless plasma environments

The electron firehose instabilities are among the most studied kinetic instabilities, especially in the context of space plasmas, whose dynamics is mainly controlled by collisionless wave-particle interactions. This paper undertakes a comparative analysis of the aperiodic electron firehose instabilities excited either by the anisotropic temperature or by the electron counter-beaming populations. Two symmetric counter-beams provide an effective kinetic anisotropy similar to the temperature anisotropy of a single (non-drifting) population, with temperature along the magnetic field direction larger than that in perpendicular direction. Therefore, the counter-beaming plasma is susceptible to firehose-like instabilities (FIs), parallel and oblique branches. Here we focus on the oblique beaming FI, which is also aperiodic when the free energy is provided by symmetric counter-beams. Our results show that, for relative small drifts or beaming speeds ($U$), not exceeding the thermal speed ($α$), the aperiodic FIs exist in the same interval of wave-numbers and the same range of oblique angles (with respect to the magnetic field direction), but the growth rates of counter-beaming FI (CBFI) are always higher than those of temperature anisotropy FI (TAFI). For $U/α> 1$, however, another electrostatic two-stream instability (ETSI) is also predicted, which may have growth rates higher than those of CBFI, and may dominate in that case the dynamics.

physics.plasm-ph↗

Implementation and validation of the FRi3D flux rope model in EUHFORIA

The Flux Rope in 3D (FRi3D, Isavnin, 2016), a coronal mass ejection (CME) model with global three-dimensional (3D) geometry, has been implemented in the space weather forecasting tool EUHFORIA (Pomoell and Poedts, 2018). By incorporating this advanced flux rope model in EUHFORIA, we aim to improve the modelling of CME flank encounters and, most importantly, the magnetic field predictions at Earth. After using synthetic events to showcase FRi3D's capabilities of modelling CME flanks, we optimize the model to run robust simulations of real events and test its predictive capabilities. We perform observation-based modelling of the halo CME event that erupted on 12 July 2012. The geometrical input parameters are constrained using the forward modelling tool included in FRi3D with additional flux rope geometry flexibilities as compared to the pre-existing models. The magnetic field input parameters are derived using the differential evolution algorithm to fit FRi3D parameters to the in situ data at 1 AU. An observation-based approach to constrain the density of CMEs is adopted, in order to achieve a better estimation of mass corresponding to the FRi3D geometry. The CME is evolved in EUHFORIA's heliospheric domain and a comparison of FRi3D's predictive performance with the previously implemented spheromak CME in EUHFORIA is presented. For this event, FRi3D improves the modelling of the total magnetic field magnitude and Bz at Earth by ~30% and ~70%, respectively. Moreover, we compute the expected geoeffectiveness of the storm at Earth using an empirical Dst model and find that the FRi3D model improves the predictions of minimum Dst by ~20% as compared to the spheromak CME model. Finally, we discuss the limitations of the current implementation of FRi3D in EUHFORIA and propose possible improvements.

astro-ph.SR↗

Analysis of Voyager 1 and Voyager 2 in situ CME observations

This paper studies ICMEs detected by both Voyager spacecraft during propagation from 1 to 10 AU, with observations from 1977 to 1980. ICMEs are detected by using several signatures in the in-situ data, the primary one being the low measured to expected proton temperature ratio. We found 21 events common to both spacecraft and study their internal structure in terms of plasma and magnetic field properties. We find that ICMEs are expanding as they propagate outwards, with decreasing density and magnetic field intensities, in agreement with previous studies. We first carry out a statistical study and then a detailed analysis of each case. Furthermore, we analyse one case in which a shock can be clearly detected by both spacecraft. The methods described here can be interesting for other studies combining data sets from heliospheric missions. Furthermore, they highlight the importance of exploiting useful data from past missions.

physics.space-ph↗

COCONUT, a novel fast-converging MHD model for solar corona simulations: I. Benchmarking and optimization of polytropic solutions

We present a novel global 3-D coronal MHD model called COCONUT, polytropic in its first stage and based on a time-implicit backward Euler scheme. Our model boosts run-time performance in comparison with contemporary MHD-solvers based on explicit schemes, which is particularly important when later employed in an operational setting for space weather forecasting. It is data-driven in the sense that we use synoptic maps as inner boundary input for our potential field initialization as well as an inner boundary condition in the further MHD time evolution. The coronal model is developed as part of the EUropean Heliospheric FORecasting Information Asset (EUHFORIA) and will replace the currently employed, more simplistic, empirical Wang-Sheeley-Arge (WSA) model. At 21.5 Rs where the solar wind is already supersonic, it is coupled to EUHFORIA's heliospheric model. We validate and benchmark our coronal simulation results with the explicit-scheme Wind-Predict model and find good agreement for idealized limit cases as well as real magnetograms, while obtaining a computational time reduction of up to a factor 3 for simple idealized cases, and up to 35 for realistic configurations, and we demonstrate that the time gained increases with the spatial resolution of the input synoptic map. We also use observations to constrain the model and show that it recovers relevant features such as the position and shape of the streamers (by comparison with eclipse white-light images), the coronal holes (by comparison with EUV images) and the current sheet (by comparison with WSA model at 0.1 AU).

astro-ph.SR↗