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Stephan Clémençon

Publications and source records attributed to Stephan Clémençon.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

Regular Variation in Hilbert Spaces and Principal Component Analysis for Functional Extremes

Motivated by the increasing availability of data of functional nature, we develop a general probabilistic and statistical framework for extremes of regularly varying random elements $X$ in $L^2[0,1]$. We place ourselves in a Peaks-Over-Threshold framework where a functional extreme is defined as an observation $X$ whose $L^2$-norm $\|X\|$ is comparatively large. Our goal is to propose a dimension reduction framework resulting into finite dimensional projections for such extreme observations. Our contribution is double. First, we investigate the notion of Regular Variation for random quantities valued in a general separable Hilbert space, for which we propose a novel concrete characterization involving solely stochastic convergence of real-valued random variables. Second, we propose a notion of functional Principal Component Analysis (PCA) accounting for the principal `directions' of functional extremes. We investigate the statistical properties of the empirical covariance operator of the angular component of extreme functions, by upper-bounding the Hilbert-Schmidt norm of the estimation error for finite sample sizes. Numerical experiments with simulated and real data illustrate this work.

math.ST↗

A Bipartite Ranking Approach to the Two-Sample Problem

The two-sample problem, which consists in testing whether independent samples on $\mathbb{R}^d$ are drawn from the same (unknown) distribution, finds applications in many areas. Its study in high-dimension is the subject of much attention, especially because the information acquisition processes at work in the Big Data era often involve various sources, poorly controlled, leading to datasets possibly exhibiting a strong sampling bias. While classic methods relying on the computation of a discrepancy measure between the empirical distributions face the curse of dimensionality, we develop an alternative approach based on statistical learning and extending rank tests, capable of detecting small departures from the null assumption in the univariate case when appropriately designed. Overcoming the lack of natural order on $\mathbb{R}^d$ when $d\geq 2$, it is implemented in two steps. Assigning to each of the samples a label (positive vs. negative) and dividing them into two parts, a preorder on $\mathbb{R}^d$ defined by a real-valued scoring function is learned by means of a bipartite ranking algorithm applied to the first part and a rank test is applied next to the scores of the remaining observations to detect possible differences in distribution. Because it learns how to project the data onto the real line nearly like (any monotone transform of) the likelihood ratio between the original multivariate distributions would do, the approach is not much affected by the dimensionality, ignoring ranking model bias issues, and preserves the advantages of univariate rank tests. Nonasymptotic error bounds are proved based on recent concentration results for two-sample linear rank-processes and an experimental study shows that the approach promoted surpasses alternative methods standing as natural competitors.

math.ST↗

Statistical Learning from Biased Training Samples

With the deluge of digitized information in the Big Data era, massive datasets are becoming increasingly available for learning predictive models. However, in many practical situations, the poor control of the data acquisition processes may naturally jeopardize the outputs of machine learning algorithms, and selection bias issues are now the subject of much attention in the literature. The present article investigates how to extend Empirical Risk Minimization, the principal paradigm in statistical learning, when training observations are generated from biased models, i.e., from distributions that are different from that in the test/prediction stage, and absolutely continuous with respect to the latter. Precisely, we show how to build a "nearly debiased" training statistical population from biased samples and the related biasing functions, following in the footsteps of the approach originally proposed in Vardi (1985). Furthermore, we study from a nonasymptotic perspective the performance of minimizers of an empirical version of the risk computed from the statistical population thus created. Remarkably, the learning rate achieved by this procedure is of the same order as that attained in absence of selection bias. Beyond the theoretical guarantees, we also present experimental results supporting the relevance of the algorithmic approach promoted in this paper.

stat.ML↗

Fighting Selection Bias in Statistical Learning: Application to Visual Recognition from Biased Image Databases

In practice, and especially when training deep neural networks, visual recognition rules are often learned based on various sources of information. On the other hand, the recent deployment of facial recognition systems with uneven performances on different population segments has highlighted the representativeness issues induced by a naive aggregation of the datasets. In this paper, we show how biasing models can remedy these problems. Based on the (approximate) knowledge of the biasing mechanisms at work, our approach consists in reweighting the observations, so as to form a nearly debiased estimator of the target distribution. One key condition is that the supports of the biased distributions must partly overlap, and cover the support of the target distribution. In order to meet this requirement in practice, we propose to use a low dimensional image representation, shared across the image databases. Finally, we provide numerical experiments highlighting the relevance of our approach.

cs.CV↗

On Medians of (Randomized) Pairwise Means

Tournament procedures, recently introduced in Lugosi & Mendelson (2016), offer an appealing alternative, from a theoretical perspective at least, to the principle of Empirical Risk Minimization in machine learning. Statistical learning by Median-of-Means (MoM) basically consists in segmenting the training data into blocks of equal size and comparing the statistical performance of every pair of candidate decision rules on each data block: that with highest performance on the majority of the blocks is declared as the winner. In the context of nonparametric regression, functions having won all their duels have been shown to outperform empirical risk minimizers w.r.t. the mean squared error under minimal assumptions, while exhibiting robustness properties. It is the purpose of this paper to extend this approach in order to address other learning problems, in particular for which the performance criterion takes the form of an expectation over pairs of observations rather than over one single observation, as may be the case in pairwise ranking, clustering or metric learning. Precisely, it is proved here that the bounds achieved by MoM are essentially conserved when the blocks are built by means of independent sampling without replacement schemes instead of a simple segmentation. These results are next extended to situations where the risk is related to a pairwise loss function and its empirical counterpart is of the form of a $U$-statistic. Beyond theoretical results guaranteeing the performance of the learning/estimation methods proposed, some numerical experiments provide empirical evidence of their relevance in practice.

stat.ML↗

Dynamically Modelling Heterogeneous Higher-Order Interactions for Malicious Behavior Detection in Event Logs

Anomaly detection in event logs is a promising approach for intrusion detection in enterprise networks. By building a statistical model of usual activity, it aims to detect multiple kinds of malicious behavior, including stealthy tactics, techniques and procedures (TTPs) designed to evade signature-based detection systems. However, finding suitable anomaly detection methods for event logs remains an important challenge. This results from the very complex, multi-faceted nature of the data: event logs are not only combinatorial, but also temporal and heterogeneous data, thus they fit poorly in most theoretical frameworks for anomaly detection. Most previous research focuses on either one of these three aspects, building a simplified representation of the data that can be fed to standard anomaly detection algorithms. In contrast, we propose to simultaneously address all three of these characteristics through a specifically tailored statistical model. We introduce \textsc{Decades}, a \underline{d}ynamic, h\underline{e}terogeneous and \underline{c}ombinatorial model for \underline{a}nomaly \underline{d}etection in \underline{e}vent \underline{s}treams, and we demonstrate its effectiveness at detecting malicious behavior through experiments on a real dataset containing labelled red team activity. In particular, we empirically highlight the importance of handling the multiple characteristics of the data by comparing our model with state-of-the-art baselines relying on various data representations.

cs.CR↗

Improving the quality control of seismic data through active learning

In image denoising problems, the increasing density of available images makes an exhaustive visual inspection impossible and therefore automated methods based on machine-learning must be deployed for this purpose. This is particulary the case in seismic signal processing. Engineers/geophysicists have to deal with millions of seismic time series. Finding the sub-surface properties useful for the oil industry may take up to a year and is very costly in terms of computing/human resources. In particular, the data must go through different steps of noise attenuation. Each denoise step is then ideally followed by a quality control (QC) stage performed by means of human expertise. To learn a quality control classifier in a supervised manner, labeled training data must be available, but collecting the labels from human experts is extremely time-consuming. We therefore propose a novel active learning methodology to sequentially select the most relevant data, which are then given back to a human expert for labeling. Beyond the application in geophysics, the technique we promote in this paper, based on estimates of the local error and its uncertainty, is generic. Its performance is supported by strong empirical evidence, as illustrated by the numerical experiments presented in this article, where it is compared to alternative active learning strategies both on synthetic and real seismic datasets.

stat.ML↗

Functional Anomaly Detection: a Benchmark Study

The increasing automation in many areas of the Industry expressly demands to design efficient machine-learning solutions for the detection of abnormal events. With the ubiquitous deployment of sensors monitoring nearly continuously the health of complex infrastructures, anomaly detection can now rely on measurements sampled at a very high frequency, providing a very rich representation of the phenomenon under surveillance. In order to exploit fully the information thus collected, the observations cannot be treated as multivariate data anymore and a functional analysis approach is required. It is the purpose of this paper to investigate the performance of recent techniques for anomaly detection in the functional setup on real datasets. After an overview of the state-of-the-art and a visual-descriptive study, a variety of anomaly detection methods are compared. While taxonomies of abnormalities (e.g. shape, location) in the functional setup are documented in the literature, assigning a specific type to the identified anomalies appears to be a challenging task. Thus, strengths and weaknesses of the existing approaches are benchmarked in view of these highlighted types in a simulation study. Anomaly detection methods are next evaluated on two datasets, related to the monitoring of helicopters in flight and to the spectrometry of construction materials namely. The benchmark analysis is concluded by recommendation guidance for practitioners.

stat.ML↗

Individual Survival Curves with Conditional Normalizing Flows

Survival analysis, or time-to-event modelling, is a classical statistical problem that has garnered a lot of interest for its practical use in epidemiology, demographics or actuarial sciences. Recent advances on the subject from the point of view of machine learning have been concerned with precise per-individual predictions instead of population studies, driven by the rise of individualized medicine. We introduce here a conditional normalizing flow based estimate of the time-to-event density as a way to model highly flexible and individualized conditional survival distributions. We use a novel hierarchical formulation of normalizing flows to enable efficient fitting of flexible conditional distributions without overfitting and show how the normalizing flow formulation can be efficiently adapted to the censored setting. We experimentally validate the proposed approach on a synthetic dataset as well as four open medical datasets and an example of a common financial problem.

cs.LG↗

Learning Fair Scoring Functions: Bipartite Ranking under ROC-based Fairness Constraints

Many applications of AI involve scoring individuals using a learned function of their attributes. These predictive risk scores are then used to take decisions based on whether the score exceeds a certain threshold, which may vary depending on the context. The level of delegation granted to such systems in critical applications like credit lending and medical diagnosis will heavily depend on how questions of fairness can be answered. In this paper, we study fairness for the problem of learning scoring functions from binary labeled data, a classic learning task known as bipartite ranking. We argue that the functional nature of the ROC curve, the gold standard measure of ranking accuracy in this context, leads to several ways of formulating fairness constraints. We introduce general families of fairness definitions based on the AUC and on ROC curves, and show that our ROC-based constraints can be instantiated such that classifiers obtained by thresholding the scoring function satisfy classification fairness for a desired range of thresholds. We establish generalization bounds for scoring functions learned under such constraints, design practical learning algorithms and show the relevance our approach with numerical experiments on real and synthetic data.

stat.ML↗

Generalization Bounds in the Presence of Outliers: a Median-of-Means Study

In contrast to the empirical mean, the Median-of-Means (MoM) is an estimator of the mean $θ$ of a square integrable r.v. $Z$, around which accurate nonasymptotic confidence bounds can be built, even when $Z$ does not exhibit a sub-Gaussian tail behavior. Thanks to the high confidence it achieves on heavy-tailed data, MoM has found various applications in machine learning, where it is used to design training procedures that are not sensitive to atypical observations. More recently, a new line of work is now trying to characterize and leverage MoM's ability to deal with corrupted data. In this context, the present work proposes a general study of MoM's concentration properties under the contamination regime, that provides a clear understanding of the impact of the outlier proportion and the number of blocks chosen. The analysis is extended to (multisample) $U$-statistics, i.e. averages over tuples of observations, that raise additional challenges due to the dependence induced. Finally, we show that the latter bounds can be used in a straightforward fashion to derive generalization guarantees for pairwise learning in a contaminated setting, and propose an algorithm to compute provably reliable decision functions.

stat.ML↗

Autoencoding any Data through Kernel Autoencoders

This paper investigates a novel algorithmic approach to data representation based on kernel methods. Assuming that the observations lie in a Hilbert space X, the introduced Kernel Autoencoder (KAE) is the composition of mappings from vector-valued Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Spaces (vv-RKHSs) that minimizes the expected reconstruction error. Beyond a first extension of the autoencoding scheme to possibly infinite dimensional Hilbert spaces, KAE further allows to autoencode any kind of data by choosing X to be itself a RKHS. A theoretical analysis of the model is carried out, providing a generalization bound, and shedding light on its connection with Kernel Principal Component Analysis. The proposed algorithms are then detailed at length: they crucially rely on the form taken by the minimizers, revealed by a dedicated Representer Theorem. Finally, numerical experiments on both simulated data and real labeled graphs (molecules) provide empirical evidence of the KAE performances.

stat.ML↗

Nearest Neighbour Based Estimates of Gradients: Sharp Nonasymptotic Bounds and Applications

Motivated by a wide variety of applications, ranging from stochastic optimization to dimension reduction through variable selection, the problem of estimating gradients accurately is of crucial importance in statistics and learning theory. We consider here the classic regression setup, where a real valued square integrable r.v. $Y$ is to be predicted upon observing a (possibly high dimensional) random vector $X$ by means of a predictive function $f(X)$ as accurately as possible in the mean-squared sense and study a nearest-neighbour-based pointwise estimate of the gradient of the optimal predictive function, the regression function $m(x)=\mathbb{E}[Y\mid X=x]$. Under classic smoothness conditions combined with the assumption that the tails of $Y-m(X)$ are sub-Gaussian, we prove nonasymptotic bounds improving upon those obtained for alternative estimation methods. Beyond the novel theoretical results established, several illustrative numerical experiments have been carried out. The latter provide strong empirical evidence that the estimation method proposed works very well for various statistical problems involving gradient estimation, namely dimensionality reduction, stochastic gradient descent optimization and quantifying disentanglement.

cs.LG↗

A Multiclass Classification Approach to Label Ranking

In multiclass classification, the goal is to learn how to predict a random label $Y$, valued in $\mathcal{Y}=\{1,\; \ldots,\; K \}$ with $K\geq 3$, based upon observing a r.v. $X$, taking its values in $\mathbb{R}^q$ with $q\geq 1$ say, by means of a classification rule $g:\mathbb{R}^q\to \mathcal{Y}$ with minimum probability of error $\mathbb{P}\{Y\neq g(X) \}$. However, in a wide variety of situations, the task targeted may be more ambitious, consisting in sorting all the possible label values $y$ that may be assigned to $X$ by decreasing order of the posterior probability $η_y(X)=\mathbb{P}\{Y=y \mid X \}$. This article is devoted to the analysis of this statistical learning problem, halfway between multiclass classification and posterior probability estimation (regression) and referred to as label ranking here. We highlight the fact that it can be viewed as a specific variant of ranking median regression (RMR), where, rather than observing a random permutation $Σ$ assigned to the input vector $X$ and drawn from a Bradley-Terry-Luce-Plackett model with conditional preference vector $(η_1(X),\; \ldots,\; η_K(X))$, the sole information available for training a label ranking rule is the label $Y$ ranked on top, namely $Σ^{-1}(1)$. Inspired by recent results in RMR, we prove that under appropriate noise conditions, the One-Versus-One (OVO) approach to multiclassification yields, as a by-product, an optimal ranking of the labels with overwhelming probability. Beyond theoretical guarantees, the relevance of the approach to label ranking promoted in this article is supported by experimental results.

stat.ML↗

The Area of the Convex Hull of Sampled Curves: a Robust Functional Statistical Depth Measure

With the ubiquity of sensors in the IoT era, statistical observations are becoming increasingly available in the form of massive (multivariate) time-series. Formulated as unsupervised anomaly detection tasks, an abundance of applications like aviation safety management, the health monitoring of complex infrastructures or fraud detection can now rely on such functional data, acquired and stored with an ever finer granularity. The concept of statistical depth, which reflects centrality of an arbitrary observation w.r.t. a statistical population may play a crucial role in this regard, anomalies corresponding to observations with 'small' depth. Supported by sound theoretical and computational developments in the recent decades, it has proven to be extremely useful, in particular in functional spaces. However, most approaches documented in the literature consist in evaluating independently the centrality of each point forming the time series and consequently exhibit a certain insensitivity to possible shape changes. In this paper, we propose a novel notion of functional depth based on the area of the convex hull of sampled curves, capturing gradual departures from centrality, even beyond the envelope of the data, in a natural fashion. We discuss practical relevance of commonly imposed axioms on functional depths and investigate which of them are satisfied by the notion of depth we promote here. Estimation and computational issues are also addressed and various numerical experiments provide empirical evidence of the relevance of the approach proposed.

stat.ML↗

Functional Isolation Forest

For the purpose of monitoring the behavior of complex infrastructures (e.g. aircrafts, transport or energy networks), high-rate sensors are deployed to capture multivariate data, generally unlabeled, in quasi continuous-time to detect quickly the occurrence of anomalies that may jeopardize the smooth operation of the system of interest. The statistical analysis of such massive data of functional nature raises many challenging methodological questions. The primary goal of this paper is to extend the popular Isolation Forest (IF) approach to Anomaly Detection, originally dedicated to finite dimensional observations, to functional data. The major difficulty lies in the wide variety of topological structures that may equip a space of functions and the great variety of patterns that may characterize abnormal curves. We address the issue of (randomly) splitting the functional space in a flexible manner in order to isolate progressively any trajectory from the others, a key ingredient to the efficiency of the algorithm. Beyond a detailed description of the algorithm, computational complexity and stability issues are investigated at length. From the scoring function measuring the degree of abnormality of an observation provided by the proposed variant of the IF algorithm, a Functional Statistical Depth function is defined and discussed as well as a multivariate functional extension. Numerical experiments provide strong empirical evidence of the accuracy of the extension proposed.

stat.ML↗

Dimensionality Reduction and (Bucket) Ranking: a Mass Transportation Approach

Whereas most dimensionality reduction techniques (e.g. PCA, ICA, NMF) for multivariate data essentially rely on linear algebra to a certain extent, summarizing ranking data, viewed as realizations of a random permutation $Σ$ on a set of items indexed by $i\in \{1,\ldots,\; n\}$, is a great statistical challenge, due to the absence of vector space structure for the set of permutations $\mathfrak{S}_n$. It is the goal of this article to develop an original framework for possibly reducing the number of parameters required to describe the distribution of a statistical population composed of rankings/permutations, on the premise that the collection of items under study can be partitioned into subsets/buckets, such that, with high probability, items in a certain bucket are either all ranked higher or else all ranked lower than items in another bucket. In this context, $Σ$'s distribution can be hopefully represented in a sparse manner by a bucket distribution, i.e. a bucket ordering plus the ranking distributions within each bucket. More precisely, we introduce a dedicated distortion measure, based on a mass transportation metric, in order to quantify the accuracy of such representations. The performance of buckets minimizing an empirical version of the distortion is investigated through a rate bound analysis. Complexity penalization techniques are also considered to select the shape of a bucket order with minimum expected distortion. Beyond theoretical concepts and results, numerical experiments on real ranking data are displayed in order to provide empirical evidence of the relevance of the approach promoted.

stat.ML↗

Trade-offs in Large-Scale Distributed Tuplewise Estimation and Learning

The development of cluster computing frameworks has allowed practitioners to scale out various statistical estimation and machine learning algorithms with minimal programming effort. This is especially true for machine learning problems whose objective function is nicely separable across individual data points, such as classification and regression. In contrast, statistical learning tasks involving pairs (or more generally tuples) of data points - such as metric learning, clustering or ranking do not lend themselves as easily to data-parallelism and in-memory computing. In this paper, we investigate how to balance between statistical performance and computational efficiency in such distributed tuplewise statistical problems. We first propose a simple strategy based on occasionally repartitioning data across workers between parallel computation stages, where the number of repartitioning steps rules the trade-off between accuracy and runtime. We then present some theoretical results highlighting the benefits brought by the proposed method in terms of variance reduction, and extend our results to design distributed stochastic gradient descent algorithms for tuplewise empirical risk minimization. Our results are supported by numerical experiments in pairwise statistical estimation and learning on synthetic and real-world datasets.

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