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Stephen R. Kane

Publications and source records attributed to Stephen R. Kane.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources
arXiv2026

The Venus Benchmark: Resolving Degeneracies in Terrestrial Exoplanet Spectra with DAVINCI

The characterization of terrestrial exoplanets with thick, CO$_2$-dominated atmospheres via transmission and emission spectroscopy is limited by degeneracies between atmospheric composition, cloud structure, and surface conditions. These degeneracies are particularly acute for planets in or near the Venus Zone, where sulfuric acid aerosol layers and deep-atmosphere opacity render the lower atmosphere and surface spectroscopically inaccessible via many optical/IR wavelengths. Venus provides the only accessible analog to such worlds, yet current knowledge of its full atmospheric profile relies on decades-old in situ data with known limitations. Here we demonstrate that the forthcoming DAVINCI (Deep Atmosphere Venus Investigation of Noble gases, Chemistry, and Imaging) mission will provide the comprehensive, high-fidelity atmospheric profile data necessary to resolve many of these degeneracies. We quantify how atmospheric profile uncertainties translate into uncertainties in modeled transmission and thermal emission spectra of CO$_2$-dominated terrestrial worlds, and show that the spread in the modeled Venus benchmark spectrum arising from current atmospheric profile uncertainties will decrease by factors of $\sim$4--5 for transmission and $\sim$5--15$\times$ for thermal emission after DAVINCI, providing a correspondingly improved benchmark and prior for the modeling of exoplanets with Venus-like atmospheres. We further demonstrate that these improvement factors are larger for the cloud-free atmospheric case, where the opacity floor is set by gas-phase processes rather than aerosols, because the pre-DAVINCI data are most discrepant in the sub-cloud region. Our results highlight the importance of Venus for the atmospheric characterization of rocky exoplanets in the JWST and HWO era, and demonstrate how DAVINCI measurements will directly improve exoplanet atmospheric modeling.

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arXiv2026

Panchromatic Spectra of Nearby Low-mass and Sun-like Stars with Directly Imageable Habitable Zones

Characterizing the high-energy radiation environments of stars plays a critical role in determining which systems' planets are capable of retaining atmospheres and sustaining habitable conditions. X-ray through ultraviolet (UV) radiation drives atmospheric photochemistry, heating, and escape, making accurate characterization of stellar high-energy emission essential for both interpreting future exoplanet observations and identifying the most promising targets for life detection. We construct panchromatic spectral energy distributions (SEDs) spanning the X-ray through radio for 12 nearby low-mass and Sun-like stars with directly imageable habitable zones that are prioritized targets for the Habitable Worlds Observatory (HWO) and Extremely Large Telescopes (ELTs). These SEDs are generated using forward stellar atmosphere models guided and constrained by available archival X-ray and UV observations. We find that many stars in this sample exhibit elevated high-energy radiation environments relative to the modern Sun, with habitable zone X-ray and extreme UV (XUV) fluxes frequently exceeding solar values by 1-2 orders of magnitude. The elevated emission likely reflects a combination of sample selection effects, differences in stellar age and rotation, and intrinsic magnetic variability, with multi-epoch observations demonstrating that variability alone can significantly alter inferred radiation environments. These results highlight high-energy radiation as an important discriminator in identifying the most promising habitable planet hosts and demonstrate the need for expanded X-ray and UV observations to complete the stellar characterization necessary for HWO target prioritization.

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arXiv2026

Tidal Demise: The Evolution and Fate of a Hypothetical Venus Moon

Venus possesses no natural satellite, raising the question whether a formed moon could have survived. We explore the tidal evolution of a Venus-moon system, coupling Venus's spin to the satellite's orbit under tides from the moon and Sun. We survey spin period ($P_0 = 5$--100~hr), moon mass ($M_m = 0.01$--$10~M_{\rm Moon}$), eccentricity, quality factor, and initial semi-major axis under both constant-$Q$ and constant time lag models. Survival depends on competition between outward migration ($\propto M_m$) and synchronous radius expansion ($\propto M_m^2$): for circular orbits around rapidly spinning Venus ($P_0 \lesssim 12$~hr), a lunar-mass satellite survives the age of the Solar System in both models. For $P_0 \lesssim 10$~hr, eccentricity pumping can destabilize low-mass satellites, while for $P_0 \gtrsim 15$~hr or $M_m \gtrsim 2~M_{\rm Moon}$ the synchronous radius overtakes the orbit and drives Roche destruction within $\sim$0.03--1.7~Gyr in the constant-$Q$ model. The constant time lag model instead permits quasi-synchronous survival for massive moons at fast spin. Explaining Venus's present state requires satisfying two constraints simultaneously: loss of the satellite and despinning of an initially rapid rotator. Both are met only within a restricted region of parameter space, favoring moderate post-impact spin periods and lunar-to-super-lunar masses. Giant impact simulations predict spin periods $\gtrsim$12~hr for Venus's present rotation, placing a lunar-mass satellite at the survival boundary. For last-impact conditions within this region, the present absence of a Venusian satellite arises through tidal evolution alone; a subsequent catastrophic stripping event, while capable of removing a moon, is not required.

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arXiv2026

The Tidal Venus Phenomenon: Demographics and Case Studies

The demographics of terrestrial planets and their orbits reveal a vast diversity in overall planetary energy budgets. Terrestrial exoplanets in short-period or eccentric orbits can experience intense tidal heating that, combined with stellar irradiation, may trigger runaway greenhouse conditions analogous to Venus. We calculate tidal heating rates for 143 terrestrial-sized exoplanets with measured eccentricities and find that, under adopted archive default eccentricities and constant-$Q$ assumptions, 70% exceed the extreme volcanism threshold in tidal flux and 96% exceed the runaway greenhouse limit in total zero-albedo flux. We develop a three-category taxonomy of tidal influence on climate: flux-driven Venus analogs, tidally dominated planets, and historically compromised Habitable Zone (HZ) worlds, and apply this framework to five case studies. TOI-6716 b and TOI-912 b may have exceptionally high tidal fluxes, potentially serving as examples where tidal dissipation alone causes them to exceed the runaway greenhouse threshold. TOI-700 d and LHS 1140 b, though currently below the threshold, were exposed to above-threshold stellar irradiation during their host stars' $\sim$0.5--3~Gyr pre-main-sequence phases; whether their atmospheres survived is testable with JWST. GJ 12 b, already above the threshold from stellar flux alone, experiences a tidal heat flux of $\sim$5~W/m$^2$ (comparable to Io) that drives an independent volcanic pathway to a runaway greenhouse. Three-dimensional climate simulations show that a temperate atmosphere for GJ 12 b fails to achieve radiative balance, while a Venus-like CO$_2$-dominated atmosphere converges to a stable state. We consider observational prospects for these systems and connections to forthcoming Venus in-situ missions.

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arXiv2026

Early Exploration of the Scientific Discovery Space for the Habitable Worlds Observatory

The Habitable Worlds Observatory (HWO) is a future NASA flagship mission concept identified by the Astro2020 Decadal Survey as the highest priority for large space missions. HWO should conduct "transformative astrophysics" and search for biosignatures in the atmospheres of approximately 25 potentially Earth-like planets. To further the early-stage development of HWO, NASA formed the Science, Technology, Architecture Review Team (START). In turn, START invited the scientific community to join working groups to explore the potential discovery space. In this paper, we present 70 science cases that resulted from this process. The cases address four scientific pillars: growth of galaxies (15 cases), evolution of the elements (13 cases), solar systems in context (32 cases), and living worlds (10 cases). Combined, they would address 27 of the 30 science questions and discovery areas identified by Astro2020. The 140 observing programs needed for the 70 investigations encompass a rich variety of spectroscopic (for 87% of science cases) and photometric (for 30%) observations extending from the UV to the NIR. Additionally, high-contrast and polarimetric capabilities would be needed for 34% and 27% of science cases, respectively. Access to UV wavelengths is critical: 83% of science cases need data at wavelengths <400 nm, and 26% extend to <100 nm. In the NIR, 26% of science cases need observations at wavelengths >=2000 nm. Pursuing the full portfolio of science would also necessitate precise astrometry for planet mass measurement, rapid response capabilities, a large instantaneous field of regard, non-sidereal tracking, saturation mitigation strategies, and high dynamic range.

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arXiv2026

Spectral Energy Distribution Analysis for Habitable Worlds Observatory Target Stars

The Habitable Worlds Observatory (HWO) will directly image and characterize planets potentially similar to Earth orbiting nearby stars. Accurate stellar properties, particularly effective temperatures ($T_\mathrm{eff}$), angular diameters ($\theta_\star$), and bolometric fluxes ($F_\mathrm{bol}$), are essential for reliable Habitable Zone (HZ) calculations, exoplanet yield predictions, and coronagraph design trade studies. We present a spectral energy distribution (SED) analysis for the 164 stars from the HWO Exoplanet Exploration Program (ExEP) list, using $\chi^2$-minimization fits of empirical spectral templates from the Pickles stellar spectral flux library to broadband photometric data. The SED fits provide direct measurements of $F_\mathrm{bol}$. We adopt spectroscopic $T_\mathrm{eff}$ values from the PASTEL catalog for 127 of the 164 stars, with the remainder drawn from the HWO ExEP catalog, and use these in combination with $F_\mathrm{bol}$ to calculate $\theta_\star$ via the Stefan-Boltzmann equation. As a consistency check, we compare the Pickles template $T_\mathrm{eff}$ with the adopted spectroscopic values and find agreement to within $\sim$3% for 65% of the sample, with a systematic tendency for the templates to yield cooler values. We identify 48 stars with discrepancies exceeding 200~K, including close binary systems where photometric contamination compromises the SED solution. We discuss the implications for HZ boundary calculations, atmospheric retrieval of directly imaged planets, and target prioritization for HWO. This SED catalog constitutes a uniform set of empirically determined $F_\mathrm{bol}$ values and associated stellar parameters for the HWO target sample.

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arXiv2026

The False Spin of an Exo-Venus

Direct imaging of terrestrial exoplanets will enable rotational and atmospheric characterization through time-resolved photometry and high-dispersion spectroscopy. However, the velocity field inferred from reflected light does not necessarily correspond to the rotation of the solid planet, but rather to the motion of the layer from which the photons emerge. Venus provides a crucial Solar System example of this ambiguity: the solid planet rotates slowly, whereas the cloud-level atmosphere exhibits superrotation with a period of only several days. Here we investigate the observational degeneracy between rapid planetary rotation and atmospheric superrotation. We construct a disk-integrated reflected-light velocity model that includes solid-body rotation, zonal winds, and phase-dependent illumination. We show that, for a single spectral tracer probing a narrow range of pressures, a zonal wind field whose latitude dependence is similar to solid-body rotation can exactly mimic the line profile of a rapidly rotating planet. The degeneracy can be broken by measuring the apparent rotational velocity as a function of wavelength or line formation pressure. For a Venus-like wind profile, the apparent period can vary from hundreds of days in the lower atmosphere to $\sim$4--5~days at the cloud deck. We estimate the resolving power and signal-to-noise ratio required to measure this vertical shear. The most robust diagnostic of atmospheric superrotation is not a single value of $v \sin i$, but an altitude-dependent ``false spin'' signature across multiple spectral tracers. These results have direct implications for interpreting rotational measurements of Venus-like worlds with the Habitable Worlds Observatory and complementary high-dispersion facilities.

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arXiv2026

The Expected Yield of Venus Zone Terrestrial Planets from PLATO

The characterization of terrestrial exoplanets and the conditions that lead to divergent climate outcomes is a primary goal of exoplanetary science. The Venus Zone (VZ) provides a framework for identifying planets that may have experienced runaway greenhouse processes similar to Venus, and the statistical properties of such planets bear directly on models of planetary habitability. Here we present a quantitative estimate of the expected yield of VZ terrestrial planets from ESA's PLATO (PLAnetary Transits and Oscillations of stars) mission. We combine the predicted PLATO planet yield for Earth-size ($0.8$--$1.25~R_\oplus$) and super-Earth ($1.25$--$2.0~R_\oplus$) planets with empirical occurrence rates for VZ terrestrial planets derived from Kepler data. Under conservative assumptions, we estimate that PLATO will detect $\sim$170--280 VZ terrestrial planets ($0.8$--$2.0~R_\oplus$), including $\sim$40--80 Earth-size ($0.8$--$1.25~R_\oplus$) planets, during a nominal 4-year mission. For the bright P1 sample ($V \leq 11$), we estimate $\sim$50--85 terrestrial and $\sim$13--22 Earth-size VZ detections, enabling radial velocity mass determination and atmospheric characterization of the most favorable targets with JWST and future facilities. We discuss the implications of this yield for comparative studies of Earth-Venus divergence, synergies with the DAVINCI, VERITAS, and EnVision missions to Venus, and the role of PLATO in advancing our understanding of the runaway greenhouse boundary.

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arXiv2026

X-ray Emission and Stellar Ages of Sun-Like Stars

We present an analysis of XMM-Newton and Chandra observations of 85 nearby main-sequence FGK stars with age estimates ranging from 0.2-12 Gyr. We measure quiescent 0.3-10 keV luminosities, variability metrics, and multi-temperature thermal plasma spectral parameters. Quiescent spectra are typically described by three characteristic plasma components ($kT\approx0.1$, 0.4, 0.8 keV); the fraction of flux from $T\ge7$ MK rises with X-ray surface flux, reaching $\sim$50% for $F_X\gtrsim10^6$ erg cm$^{-2}$ s$^{-1}$. We derive relations between emission measure-weighted coronal temperature and both $L_X$ and $F_X$, enabling temperature-informed count-rate conversions for faint sources. We quantify how bandpass conversions (ROSAT 0.1-2.4 keV vs. XMM-Newton 0.3-10 keV) depend on temperature, and show that inferred ROSAT-band $L_X$ broadly follows the canonical $t^{-1.5}$ decay, while the harder band exhibits increased scatter at $>$4 Gyr. Several stars show excess activity suggestive of age errors, inclination effects, or unresolved companions. Some of these "outlier" stars are potential direct imaging targets for the Habitable Worlds Observatory, and detailed characterization of these stars is needed to inform their likely influence on the atmospheric evolution of orbiting planets.

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arXiv2026

The Pan-Pacific Planet Search -- IX. A menagerie of companions orbiting evolved stars

We present resolutions as to the nature of six speculative candidate companions proposed in the final data release of the Pan-Pacific Planet Search, a 6-year radial-velocity survey of 164 southern evolved stars using the now-decommissioned UCLES spectrograph on the 3.9m Anglo-Australian Telescope. New radial-velocity observations, TESS asteroseismology, and Hipparcos-Gaia astrometry are incorporated to refine the companion and host-star parameters. We confirm that HD 126105b is a giant planet ($P=524.0\pm$2.9 d, $m$ sin $i=1.67^{+0.19}_{-0.17}M_{Jup}$), and that HD 205577B is a massive, eccentric brown dwarf ($P\sim$11.2 yr, $m=77^{+11}_{-9}M_{Jup}$, $e=0.68$). HD 115066B and HD 121156B are low-mass stellar companions, while HD 114899 and HD 159743 are shown to be unadorned by any detectable companions whatsoever. This demonstrates the utility of astrometric information to help overcome the temporal limitations of incomplete radial-velocity data sets and elucidate the true nature of suspected companion bodies.

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arXiv2026

Dynamical Stability and Habitability in the HD 20794 System

The Keplerian orbit of a terrestrial planet can be a significant driver in the evolution of surface conditions, as well as influencing the overall dynamics of the system. The HD 20794 system harbors three confirmed planets orbiting a nearby G-type star, including HD 20794 d, a $\sim$5.82 $M_\oplus$ (minimum mass) planet on a highly eccentric ($e = 0.45$) orbit that passes through the Habitable Zone (HZ). Here, we present a dynamical analysis of the HD 20794 system. We calculate the HZ boundaries and quantify the fraction of the orbital period that planet d spends within the conservative and optimistic HZ limits. Using N-body simulations, we explore the long-term orbital stability across inclinations spanning $\sim$5--90\degr. The system remains dynamically stable over the full $10^7$ year integration for all tested inclinations, including $i = 5\degr$ ($M_d \approx 67$ $M_\oplus$). The secular eccentricity oscillations share a common eigenperiod that scales inversely with the total system mass, consistent with Laplace-Lagrange secular theory. We examine the origin of the eccentricity of planet d, including planet-planet scattering and secular excitation from an unseen eccentric outer companion. HD 20794 d is the lowest-mass confirmed planet with $e > 0.4$ whose orbit crosses the HZ of its host star, and its periastron passage deep within the HZ makes it a likely dynamical disruptor for additional terrestrial planets, reinforcing its status as the dominant habitability prospect in the system. The proximity of HD 20794 and its inclusion on the Habitable Worlds Observatory precursor target list make this a high-priority system for understanding the interplay between orbital dynamics and planetary habitability.

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arXiv2026

Mars as an Exoplanet: Lessons from a Planet at the Edge of Habitability

Mars is the Solar System's canonical small, rocky planet that transitioned from early geologic activity and surface liquid water to a cold and arid planet with a thin, cold, CO$_2$-dominated atmosphere. The evolution of Mars, in the context of such planetary parameters as size, mass, atmosphere, insolation flux, magnetosphere, and impact history, harbor important diagnostics regarding the development and sustainability of habitable surface conditions. In this work, we synthesize how the study of Mars contributes to our understanding of exoplanet processes, such as volatile delivery and loss, photochemistry, climate evolution (including CO$_2$ condensation and atmospheric loss), obliquity forcing, planetary architecture, and the role of intrinsic magnetism. We also evaluate optimal methods and prospects for detecting and characterizing potential Mars analogs beyond the Solar System. We focus on relevant results from planetary missions (e.g., Mars Reconnaissance Orbiter, MAVEN, Mars Science Laboratory, Mars2020) and observational studies of exoplanet atmospheres with the James Webb Space telescope (JWST) and future facilities. Through the convergence of these parallel pathways of inquiry, we describe the primary science questions and suggested avenues for characterizing small rocky planets that lie at the edge of potentially habitable conditions.

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arXiv2026

Seasonal Insolation Variability on Early Venus: Implications for Energy Budget

Venus and Earth are similar in bulk properties yet followed dramatically different climatic trajectories. Reconstructing Venus's climate evolution requires understanding how rotation, obliquity, eccentricity, and solar luminosity shaped incident energy and the atmospheric response. Here we present latitude-orbital phase maps of incident solar flux for Venus at the present epoch and at an age of 0.5 Gyr, when the Sun was fainter and Venus may have occupied a different dynamical state. We explore slow- and fast-rotator regimes, moderate obliquity (10deg), and elevated eccentricity (e=0.15-0.30), motivated by dynamical studies of plausible limits. To translate flux maps into climate-relevant quantities, we apply an idealized atmospheric energy-balance framework with global (0-D) and latitude-dependent (1-D) formulations calibrated to modern Venus. This framework defines a radiative relaxation timescale that links forcing variability to thermal response. The resulting diagnostics connect orbital forcing to surface energy balance and assess seasonal and orbital variability relative to Venus's extreme greenhouse state. Our results show that early Venus could experience substantial redistribution of insolation across latitude and orbital phase, but orbit-averaged incident flux varies only modestly across the explored parameter space, leaving atmospheric opacity as the dominant control on surface temperature. Insolation variations therefore act mainly as modulators rather than primary drivers of climate state, with their expression governed by the competition between forcing and radiative adjustment timescales. The insolation maps and response diagnostics provide boundary conditions for future 3-D climate simulations of early Venus, including regimes in which temperate surface conditions may have been sustained.

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arXiv2026

Finding Alien Worlds in Queensland -- A Decade of MINERVA-Australis

Three decades ago, humanity entered the Exoplanet Era, with the discovery of the first planets orbiting other stars. Today, more than 6000 exoplanets are known - a tally recently bolstered by NASA's TESS spacecraft. Whilst TESS is an exceptional planet finding machine, dedicated follow-up observations from the ground are required to confirm the existence of the planets it discovers. To achieve this, we constructed the southern hemisphere's only dedicated exoplanet detection and characterisation facility, MINERVA-Australis, at the University of Southern Queensland's Mt Kent Observatory. Funded in 2015, MINERVA-Australis saw first light in 2018, in time for the launch of TESS. MINERVA-Australis has since been scouring the skies, working to confirm and characterise the incredible harvest of planets detected by TESS. To date, the facility has contributed to the discovery of 40 new exoplanets, and continued the legacy of radial velocity data from the Anglo-Australian Planet Search program.

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arXiv2026

Smaller Than Earth Habitability Model (STEHM): The Lower Size Limit for Atmosphere Retention in the Habitable Zone

With recent advances in exoplanet observational techniques enabling the discovery of increasingly smaller planets, a crucial question emerges in the search for habitable planets: how small can a planet be and still maintain an atmosphere? We present results from the Smaller Than Earth Habitability Model (STEHM) which examines how small a planet can be and still maintain a long-term (multi-gigayear) atmosphere for planets from 1.0$R_\oplus$ down to 0.5$R_\oplus$. The model is based on a stagnant lid planet orbiting within the habitable zone of a sun-like star. Our model demonstrates that planets $\geq$0.8$R_\oplus$ can maintain their atmospheres under our Earth-like default conditions for a solar analog star, while smaller planets lose their atmospheres. Variations from the default Earth-like values cause mostly minor variations to the planet size boundary results, with some changes allowing $\geq$0.7$R_\oplus$ planets to maintain their atmosphere. Initial carbon inventory emerges as the most influential parameter for atmospheric retention, though orders of magnitude difference to Earth values are required to make a significant difference to longevity of atmospheric retention. Planets with substantial initial carbon content, large amounts of heat producing elements, cool initial mantle temperatures and low core radius fractions show the best atmospheric retention capabilities. Our results indicate that atmospheric retention on small planets depends strongly on their formation conditions and early evolution, providing important constraints for future observations of rocky exoplanets and their potential habitability.

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arXiv2026

A Century of Radial Velocity and Astrometric Monitoring of 70 Oph AB: New PFS Data and Constraints on Planetary Companions

At a distance of 5.1 pc, the 70 Oph AB binary star system is one of the most favorable targets for future direct imaging and astrometry missions surveying mature, terrestrial planets. We present new radial velocities (RVs) obtained with the Planet Finder Spectrograph (PFS) on the 6.5\,m Magellan II Clay Telescope in Chile. We collected 499 measurements of 70 Oph A and 334 measurements of 70 Oph B during 2023--2025. Combining these data with decades of archival RVs and astrometry, we derive an updated orbital solution for the binary and dynamical masses of $0.88 \pm 0.004\,M_\odot$ and $0.73 \pm 0.003\,M_\odot$ for the primary and secondary components, respectively. We find that the long-term RV variability of both components is consistent with stellar activity modulated by rotation periods, and we detect no coherent planetary signals in either component. We place upper limits on any planets orbiting in the plane of the binary. The 27 yr RV baseline for 70 Oph A excludes Jupiter-mass planets interior to 5 au and reaches a sensitivity of $0.3\,M_{\rm Jup}$ at 1 au or $0.5\,M_{\rm Jup}$ at 2 au. For 70 Oph B, with PFS data we rule out planets more massive than $0.25$--$0.3\,M_{\rm Jup}$ inside 0.5 au. We show that stable S-type orbits around 70 Oph A extend to $\sim2.5$ au, covering the habitable zone. Thus, Saturn-mass planets or smaller on stable orbits in the habitable zone of 70 Oph A are allowed. Overall, our results provide important guidance for future planet searches around this stellar system.

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arXiv2026

Imaging Venus-like Worlds: Spectral, Polarimetric, and UV Diagnostics for the Habitable Worlds Observatory

Understanding planetary habitability requires a comparative approach that explores the divergent evolutionary outcomes of Earth and Venus. The Habitable Worlds Observatory (HWO) will be uniquely positioned to conduct a statistical and physical census of terrestrial exoplanets spanning the Venus Zone (VZ) and the Habitable Zone (HZ), enabling the detection and atmospheric characterization of post-runaway greenhouse worlds (``exoVenuses''). We present an updated list of VZ exoplanets, which raises the number of known candidates to 370. We describe a science case and an observing strategy for VZ exoplanets that integrates precursor exoplanet detection data and stellar characterization with HWO direct imaging, spectroscopy across the UV/optical/IR, and spectropolarimetry. Our proposed framework emphasizes a pathway toward the diagnosis of sulfur chemistry (SO$_2$) and aerosol physics (H$_2$SO$_4$ clouds/hazes), planetary redox states (O$_2$/O$_3$ false positives from hydrogen loss), and cloud microphysics detection (rainbow polarization). We quantify implications for HWO requirements, including UV access to 0.2--0.4 $\mu$m, optical/NIR coverage to $\gtrsim$1.5 $\mu$m, inner working angle (IWA) reaching 0.3--1.5 AU around nearby Sun-like stars, and the SNR/resolution needed for key features. Finally, we outline a community-driven path to producing robust demographic inferences and target selection for optimizing HWO observations.

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arXiv2026

RV$\times$TESS I: Modeling Asteroseismic Signals with Simultaneous Photometry and RVs

Detecting small planets via the radial velocity method remains challenged by signals induced by stellar variability, versus the effects of the planet(s). Here, we explore using Gaussian Process (GP) regression with Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite (TESS) photometry in modeling radial velocities (RVs) to help to mitigate stellar jitter from oscillations and granulation for exoplanet detection. We applied GP regression to simultaneous TESS photometric and RV data of HD 5562, a G-type subgiant ($M_\star=1.09M_{\odot}$, $R_\star=1.88R_{\odot}$) with a V magnitude of 7.17, using photometry to inform the priors for RV fitting. The RV data is obtained by the Magellan Planet Finder Spectrograph (PFS). The photometry-informed GP regression reduced the RV scatter of HD~5562 from 2.03 to 0.51 m/s. We performed injection and recovery tests to evaluate the potential of GPs for discovering small exoplanets around evolved stars, which demonstrate that the GP provides comparable noise reduction to the binning method. We also found that the necessity of photometric data depends on the quality of the RV dataset. For long baseline and high-cadence RV observations, GP regression can effectively mitigate stellar jitter without photometric data. However, for intermittent RV observations, incorporating photometric data improves GP fitting and enhances detection capabilities.

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