arXiv subjects

Tezcan Ozrazgat-Baslanti

Publications and source records attributed to Tezcan Ozrazgat-Baslanti.

35 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

arXiv2023

The Potential of Wearable Sensors for Assessing Patient Acuity in Intensive Care Unit (ICU)

Acuity assessments are vital in critical care settings to provide timely interventions and fair resource allocation. Traditional acuity scores rely on manual assessments and documentation of physiological states, which can be time-consuming, intermittent, and difficult to use for healthcare providers. Furthermore, such scores do not incorporate granular information such as patients' mobility level, which can indicate recovery or deterioration in the ICU. We hypothesized that existing acuity scores could be potentially improved by employing Artificial Intelligence (AI) techniques in conjunction with Electronic Health Records (EHR) and wearable sensor data. In this study, we evaluated the impact of integrating mobility data collected from wrist-worn accelerometers with clinical data obtained from EHR for developing an AI-driven acuity assessment score. Accelerometry data were collected from 86 patients wearing accelerometers on their wrists in an academic hospital setting. The data was analyzed using five deep neural network models: VGG, ResNet, MobileNet, SqueezeNet, and a custom Transformer network. These models outperformed a rule-based clinical score (SOFA= Sequential Organ Failure Assessment) used as a baseline, particularly regarding the precision, sensitivity, and F1 score. The results showed that while a model relying solely on accelerometer data achieved limited performance (AUC 0.50, Precision 0.61, and F1-score 0.68), including demographic information with the accelerometer data led to a notable enhancement in performance (AUC 0.69, Precision 0.75, and F1-score 0.67). This work shows that the combination of mobility and patient information can successfully differentiate between stable and unstable states in critically ill patients.

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arXiv2023

Computable Phenotypes of Patient Acuity in the Intensive Care Unit

Continuous monitoring and patient acuity assessments are key aspects of Intensive Care Unit (ICU) practice, but both are limited by time constraints imposed on healthcare providers. Moreover, anticipating clinical trajectories remains imprecise. The objectives of this study are to (1) develop an electronic phenotype of acuity using automated variable retrieval within the electronic health records and (2) describe transitions between acuity states that illustrate the clinical trajectories of ICU patients. We gathered two single-center, longitudinal electronic health record datasets for 51,372 adult ICU patients admitted to the University of Florida Health (UFH) Gainesville (GNV) and Jacksonville (JAX). We developed algorithms to quantify acuity status at four-hour intervals for each ICU admission and identify acuity phenotypes using continuous acuity status and k-means clustering approach. 51,073 admissions for 38,749 patients in the UFH GNV dataset and 22,219 admissions for 12,623 patients in the UFH JAX dataset had at least one ICU stay lasting more than four hours. There were three phenotypes: persistently stable, persistently unstable, and transitioning from unstable to stable. For stable patients, approximately 0.7%-1.7% would transition to unstable, 0.02%-0.1% would expire, 1.2%-3.4% would be discharged, and the remaining 96%-97% would remain stable in the ICU every four hours. For unstable patients, approximately 6%-10% would transition to stable, 0.4%-0.5% would expire, and the remaining 89%-93% would remain unstable in the ICU in the next four hours. We developed phenotyping algorithms for patient acuity status every four hours while admitted to the ICU. This approach may be useful in developing prognostic and clinical decision-support tools to aid patients, caregivers, and providers in shared decision-making processes regarding escalation of care and patient values.

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arXiv2023

Identifying acute illness phenotypes via deep temporal interpolation and clustering network on physiologic signatures

Initial hours of hospital admission impact clinical trajectory, but early clinical decisions often suffer due to data paucity. With clustering analysis for vital signs within six hours of admission, patient phenotypes with distinct pathophysiological signatures and outcomes may support early clinical decisions. We created a single-center, longitudinal EHR dataset for 75,762 adults admitted to a tertiary care center for 6+ hours. We proposed a deep temporal interpolation and clustering network to extract latent representations from sparse, irregularly sampled vital sign data and derived distinct patient phenotypes in a training cohort (n=41,502). Model and hyper-parameters were chosen based on a validation cohort (n=17,415). Test cohort (n=16,845) was used to analyze reproducibility and correlation with biomarkers. The training, validation, and testing cohorts had similar distributions of age (54-55 yrs), sex (55% female), race, comorbidities, and illness severity. Four clusters were identified. Phenotype A (18%) had most comorbid disease with higher rate of prolonged respiratory insufficiency, acute kidney injury, sepsis, and three-year mortality. Phenotypes B (33%) and C (31%) had diffuse patterns of mild organ dysfunction. Phenotype B had favorable short-term outcomes but second-highest three-year mortality. Phenotype C had favorable clinical outcomes. Phenotype D (17%) had early/persistent hypotension, high rate of early surgery, and substantial biomarker rate of inflammation but second-lowest three-year mortality. After comparing phenotypes' SOFA scores, clustering results did not simply repeat other acuity assessments. In a heterogeneous cohort, four phenotypes with distinct categories of disease and outcomes were identified by a deep temporal interpolation and clustering network. This tool may impact triage decisions and clinical decision-support under time constraints.

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arXiv2023

Computable Phenotypes to Characterize Changing Patient Brain Dysfunction in the Intensive Care Unit

In the United States, more than 5 million patients are admitted annually to ICUs, with ICU mortality of 10%-29% and costs over $82 billion. Acute brain dysfunction status, delirium, is often underdiagnosed or undervalued. This study's objective was to develop automated computable phenotypes for acute brain dysfunction states and describe transitions among brain dysfunction states to illustrate the clinical trajectories of ICU patients. We created two single-center, longitudinal EHR datasets for 48,817 adult patients admitted to an ICU at UFH Gainesville (GNV) and Jacksonville (JAX). We developed algorithms to quantify acute brain dysfunction status including coma, delirium, normal, or death at 12-hour intervals of each ICU admission and to identify acute brain dysfunction phenotypes using continuous acute brain dysfunction status and k-means clustering approach. There were 49,770 admissions for 37,835 patients in UFH GNV dataset and 18,472 admissions for 10,982 patients in UFH JAX dataset. In total, 18% of patients had coma as the worst brain dysfunction status; every 12 hours, around 4%-7% would transit to delirium, 22%-25% would recover, 3%-4% would expire, and 67%-68% would remain in a coma in the ICU. Additionally, 7% of patients had delirium as the worst brain dysfunction status; around 6%-7% would transit to coma, 40%-42% would be no delirium, 1% would expire, and 51%-52% would remain delirium in the ICU. There were three phenotypes: persistent coma/delirium, persistently normal, and transition from coma/delirium to normal almost exclusively in first 48 hours after ICU admission. We developed phenotyping scoring algorithms that determined acute brain dysfunction status every 12 hours while admitted to the ICU. This approach may be useful in developing prognostic and decision-support tools to aid patients and clinicians in decision-making on resource use and escalation of care.

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arXiv2023

Clinical Courses of Acute Kidney Injury in Hospitalized Patients: A Multistate Analysis

Objectives: We aim to quantify longitudinal acute kidney injury (AKI) trajectories and to describe transitions through progressing and recovery states and outcomes among hospitalized patients using multistate models. Methods: In this large, longitudinal cohort study, 138,449 adult patients admitted to a quaternary care hospital between 2012 and 2019 were staged based on Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes serum creatinine criteria for the first 14 days of their hospital stay. We fit multistate models to estimate probability of being in a certain clinical state at a given time after entering each one of the AKI stages. We investigated the effects of selected variables on transition rates via Cox proportional hazards regression models. Results: Twenty percent of hospitalized encounters (49,325/246,964) had AKI; among patients with AKI, 66% had Stage 1 AKI, 18% had Stage 2 AKI, and 17% had AKI Stage 3 with or without RRT. At seven days following Stage 1 AKI, 69% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 68.8%-70.5%) were either resolved to No AKI or discharged, while smaller proportions of recovery (26.8%, 95% CI: 26.1%-27.5%) and discharge (17.4%, 95% CI: 16.8%-18.0%) were observed following AKI Stage 2. At 14 days following Stage 1 AKI, patients with more frail conditions (Charlson comorbidity index greater than or equal to 3 and had prolonged ICU stay) had lower proportion of transitioning to No AKI or discharge states. Discussion: Multistate analyses showed that the majority of Stage 2 and higher severity AKI patients could not resolve within seven days; therefore, strategies preventing the persistence or progression of AKI would contribute to the patients' life quality. Conclusions: We demonstrate multistate modeling framework's utility as a mechanism for a better understanding of the clinical course of AKI with the potential to facilitate treatment and resource planning.

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arXiv2022

Dynamic Predictions of Postoperative Complications from Explainable, Uncertainty-Aware, and Multi-Task Deep Neural Networks

Accurate prediction of postoperative complications can inform shared decisions regarding prognosis, preoperative risk-reduction, and postoperative resource use. We hypothesized that multi-task deep learning models would outperform random forest models in predicting postoperative complications, and that integrating high-resolution intraoperative physiological time series would result in more granular and personalized health representations that would improve prognostication compared to preoperative predictions. In a longitudinal cohort study of 56,242 patients undergoing 67,481 inpatient surgical procedures at a university medical center, we compared deep learning models with random forests for predicting nine common postoperative complications using preoperative, intraoperative, and perioperative patient data. Our study indicated several significant results across experimental settings that suggest the utility of deep learning for capturing more precise representations of patient health for augmented surgical decision support. Multi-task learning improved efficiency by reducing computational resources without compromising predictive performance. Integrated gradients interpretability mechanisms identified potentially modifiable risk factors for each complication. Monte Carlo dropout methods provided a quantitative measure of prediction uncertainty that has the potential to enhance clinical trust. Multi-task learning, interpretability mechanisms, and uncertainty metrics demonstrated potential to facilitate effective clinical implementation.

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arXiv2020

Application of Deep Interpolation Network for Clustering of Physiologic Time Series

Background: During the early stages of hospital admission, clinicians must use limited information to make diagnostic and treatment decisions as patient acuity evolves. However, it is common that the time series vital sign information from patients to be both sparse and irregularly collected, which poses a significant challenge for machine / deep learning techniques to analyze and facilitate the clinicians to improve the human health outcome. To deal with this problem, We propose a novel deep interpolation network to extract latent representations from sparse and irregularly sampled time-series vital signs measured within six hours of hospital admission. Methods: We created a single-center longitudinal dataset of electronic health record data for all (n=75,762) adult patient admissions to a tertiary care center lasting six hours or longer, using 55% of the dataset for training, 23% for validation, and 22% for testing. All raw time series within six hours of hospital admission were extracted for six vital signs (systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, heart rate, temperature, blood oxygen saturation, and respiratory rate). A deep interpolation network is proposed to learn from such irregular and sparse multivariate time series data to extract the fixed low-dimensional latent patterns. We use k-means clustering algorithm to clusters the patient admissions resulting into 7 clusters. Findings: Training, validation, and testing cohorts had similar age (55-57 years), sex (55% female), and admission vital signs. Seven distinct clusters were identified. M Interpretation: In a heterogeneous cohort of hospitalized patients, a deep interpolation network extracted representations from vital sign data measured within six hours of hospital admission. This approach may have important implications for clinical decision-support under time constraints and uncertainty.

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arXiv2020

Pain and Physical Activity Association in Critically Ill Patients

Critical care patients experience varying levels of pain during their stay in the intensive care unit, often requiring administration of analgesics and sedation. Such medications generally exacerbate the already sedentary physical activity profiles of critical care patients, contributing to delayed recovery. Thus, it is important not only to minimize pain levels, but also to optimize analgesic strategies in order to maximize mobility and activity of ICU patients. Currently, we lack an understanding of the relation between pain and physical activity on a granular level. In this study, we examined the relationship between nurse assessed pain scores and physical activity as measured using a wearable accelerometer device. We found that average, standard deviation, and maximum physical activity counts are significantly higher before high pain reports compared to before low pain reports during both daytime and nighttime, while percentage of time spent immobile was not significantly different between the two pain report groups. Clusters detected among patients using extracted physical activity features were significant in adjusted logistic regression analysis for prediction of pain report group.

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arXiv2019

Added Value of Intraoperative Data for Predicting Postoperative Complications: Development and Validation of a MySurgeryRisk Extension

To test the hypothesis that accuracy, discrimination, and precision in predicting postoperative complications improve when using both preoperative and intraoperative data input features versus preoperative data alone. Models that predict postoperative complications often ignore important intraoperative physiological changes. Incorporation of intraoperative physiological data may improve model performance. This retrospective cohort analysis included 52,529 inpatient surgeries at a single institution during a 5 year period. Random forest machine learning models in the validated MySurgeryRisk platform made patient-level predictions for three postoperative complications and mortality during hospital admission using electronic health record data and patient neighborhood characteristics. For each outcome, one model trained with preoperative data alone and one model trained with both preoperative and intraoperative data. Models were compared by accuracy, discrimination (expressed as AUROC), precision (expressed as AUPRC), and reclassification indices (NRI). Machine learning models incorporating both preoperative and intraoperative data had greater accuracy, discrimination, and precision than models using preoperative data alone for predicting all three postoperative complications (intensive care unit length of stay >48 hours, mechanical ventilation >48 hours, and neurological complications including delirium) and in-hospital mortality (accuracy: 88% vs. 77%, AUROC: 0.93 vs. 0.87, AUPRC: 0.21 vs. 0.15). Overall reclassification improvement was 2.9-10.0% for complications and 11.2% for in-hospital mortality. Incorporating both preoperative and intraoperative data significantly increased accuracy, discrimination, and precision for machine learning models predicting postoperative complications.

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arXiv2019

ICU Delirium Prediction Models: A Systematic Review

Purpose: Summarize ICU delirium prediction models published within the past five years. Methods: Electronic searches were conducted in April 2019 using PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Central, Web of Science, and CINAHL to identify peer reviewed studies published in English during the past five years that specifically addressed the development, validation, or recalibration of delirium prediction models in adult ICU populations. Data were extracted using CHARMS checklist elements for systematic reviews of prediction studies, including the following characteristics: study design, participant descriptions and recruitment methods, predicted outcomes, a priori candidate predictors, sample size, model development, model performance, study results, interpretation of those results, and whether the study included missing data. Results: Twenty studies featuring 26 distinct prediction models were included. Model performance varied greatly, as assessed by AUROC (0.68-0.94), specificity (56.5%-92.5%), and sensitivity (59%-90.9%). Most models used data collected from a single time point or window to predict the occurrence of delirium at any point during hospital or ICU admission, and lacked mechanisms for providing pragmatic, actionable predictions to clinicians. Conclusions: Although most ICU delirium prediction models have relatively good performance, they have limited applicability to clinical practice. Most models were static, making predictions based on data collected at a single time-point, failing to account for fluctuating conditions during ICU admission. Further research is needed to create clinically relevant dynamic delirium prediction models that can adapt to changes in individual patient physiology over time and deliver actionable predictions to clinicians.

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arXiv2019

The DREAMS Project: Improving the Intensive Care Patient Experience with Virtual Reality

Purpose: Preliminarily evaluate the feasibility and efficacy of using meditative virtual reality (VR) to improve the hospital experience of intensive care unit (ICU) patients. Methods: Effects of VR were examined in a non-randomized, single-center cohort. Fifty-nine patients admitted to the surgical or trauma ICU of the University of Florida Health Shands Hospital participated. A Google Daydream headset was used to expose ICU patients to commercially available VR applications focused on calmness and relaxation (Google Spotlight Stories and RelaxVR). Sessions were conducted once daily for up to seven days. Outcome measures included pain level, anxiety, depression, medication administration, sleep quality, heart rate, respiratory rate, blood pressure, delirium status, and patient ratings of the VR system. Comparisons were made using paired t-tests and mixed models where appropriate. Results: The VR meditative intervention was found to improve patients' ICU experience with reduced levels of anxiety and depression; however, there was no evidence suggesting that VR had any significant effects on physiological measures, pain, or sleep. Conclusion: The use of VR technology in the ICU was shown to be easily implemented and well-received by patients.

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arXiv2019

Development and validation of computable Phenotype to Identify and Characterize Kidney Health in Adult Hospitalized Patients

Background: Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a common complication in hospitalized patients and a common cause for chronic kidney disease (CKD) and increased hospital cost and mortality. By timely detection of AKI and AKI progression, effective preventive or therapeutic measures could be offered. This study aims to develop and validate an electronic phenotype to identify patients with CKD and AKI. Methods: A database with electronic health records data from a retrospective study cohort of 84,352 hospitalized adults was created. This repository includes demographics, comorbidities, vital signs, laboratory values, medications, diagnoses and procedure codes for all index admission, 12 months prior and 12 months follow-up encounters. We developed algorithms to identify CKD and AKI based on the Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) criteria. To measure diagnostic performance of the algorithms, clinician experts performed clinical adjudication of AKI and CKD on 300 selected cases. Results: Among 149,136 encounters, identified CKD by medical history was 12% which increased to 16% using creatinine criteria. Among 130,081 encounters with sufficient data for AKI phenotyping 21% had AKI. The comparison of CKD phenotyping algorithm to manual chart review yielded PPV of 0.87, NPV of 0.99, sensitivity of 0.99, and specificity of 0.89. The comparison of AKI phenotyping algorithm to manual chart review yielded PPV of 0.99, NPV of 0.95 , sensitivity 0.98, and specificity 0.98. Conclusions: We developed phenotyping algorithms that yielded very good performance in identification of patients with CKD and AKI in validation cohort. This tool may be useful in identifying patients with kidney disease in a large population, in assessing the quality and value of care in such patients.

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arXiv2019

DeepSOFA: A Continuous Acuity Score for Critically Ill Patients using Clinically Interpretable Deep Learning

Traditional methods for assessing illness severity and predicting in-hospital mortality among critically ill patients require time-consuming, error-prone calculations using static variable thresholds. These methods do not capitalize on the emerging availability of streaming electronic health record data or capture time-sensitive individual physiological patterns, a critical task in the intensive care unit. We propose a novel acuity score framework (DeepSOFA) that leverages temporal measurements and interpretable deep learning models to assess illness severity at any point during an ICU stay. We compare DeepSOFA with SOFA (Sequential Organ Failure Assessment) baseline models using the same model inputs and find that at any point during an ICU admission, DeepSOFA yields significantly more accurate predictions of in-hospital mortality. A DeepSOFA model developed in a public database and validated in a single institutional cohort had a mean AUC for the entire ICU stay of 0.90 (95% CI 0.90-0.91) compared with baseline SOFA models with mean AUC 0.79 (95% CI 0.79-0.80) and 0.85 (95% CI 0.85-0.86). Deep models are well-suited to identify ICU patients in need of life-saving interventions prior to the occurrence of an unexpected adverse event and inform shared decision-making processes among patients, providers, and families regarding goals of care and optimal resource utilization.

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arXiv2018

The Intelligent ICU Pilot Study: Using Artificial Intelligence Technology for Autonomous Patient Monitoring

Currently, many critical care indices are repetitively assessed and recorded by overburdened nurses, e.g. physical function or facial pain expressions of nonverbal patients. In addition, many essential information on patients and their environment are not captured at all, or are captured in a non-granular manner, e.g. sleep disturbance factors such as bright light, loud background noise, or excessive visitations. In this pilot study, we examined the feasibility of using pervasive sensing technology and artificial intelligence for autonomous and granular monitoring of critically ill patients and their environment in the Intensive Care Unit (ICU). As an exemplar prevalent condition, we also characterized delirious and non-delirious patients and their environment. We used wearable sensors, light and sound sensors, and a high-resolution camera to collected data on patients and their environment. We analyzed collected data using deep learning and statistical analysis. Our system performed face detection, face recognition, facial action unit detection, head pose detection, facial expression recognition, posture recognition, actigraphy analysis, sound pressure and light level detection, and visitation frequency detection. We were able to detect patient's face (Mean average precision (mAP)=0.94), recognize patient's face (mAP=0.80), and their postures (F1=0.94). We also found that all facial expressions, 11 activity features, visitation frequency during the day, visitation frequency during the night, light levels, and sound pressure levels during the night were significantly different between delirious and non-delirious patients (p-value<0.05). In summary, we showed that granular and autonomous monitoring of critically ill patients and their environment is feasible and can be used for characterizing critical care conditions and related environment factors.

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arXiv2018

Improved Predictive Models for Acute Kidney Injury with IDEAs: Intraoperative Data Embedded Analytics

Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a common and serious complication after a surgery which is associated with morbidity and mortality. The majority of existing perioperative AKI risk score prediction models are limited in their generalizability and do not fully utilize the physiological intraoperative time-series data. Thus, there is a need for intelligent, accurate, and robust systems, able to leverage information from large-scale data to predict patient's risk of developing postoperative AKI. A retrospective single-center cohort of 2,911 adult patients who underwent surgery at the University of Florida Health has been used for this study. We used machine learning and statistical analysis techniques to develop perioperative models to predict the risk of AKI (risk during the first 3 days, 7 days, and until the discharge day) before and after the surgery. In particular, we examined the improvement in risk prediction by incorporating three intraoperative physiologic time series data, i.e., mean arterial blood pressure, minimum alveolar concentration, and heart rate. For an individual patient, the preoperative model produces a probabilistic AKI risk score, which will be enriched by integrating intraoperative statistical features through a machine learning stacking approach inside a random forest classifier. We compared the performance of our model based on the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUROC), accuracy and net reclassification improvement (NRI). The predictive performance of the proposed model is better than the preoperative data only model. For AKI-7day outcome: The AUC was 0.86 (accuracy was 0.78) in the proposed model, while the preoperative AUC was 0.84 (accuracy 0.76). Furthermore, with the integration of intraoperative features, we were able to classify patients who were misclassified in the preoperative model.

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arXiv2018

Comparing Clinical Judgment with MySurgeryRisk Algorithm for Preoperative Risk Assessment: A Pilot Study

Background: Major postoperative complications are associated with increased short and long-term mortality, increased healthcare cost, and adverse long-term consequences. The large amount of data contained in the electronic health record (EHR) creates barriers for physicians to recognize patients most at risk. We hypothesize, if presented in an optimal format, information from data-driven predictive risk algorithms for postoperative complications can improve physician risk assessment. Methods: Prospective, non-randomized, interventional pilot study of twenty perioperative physicians at a quarterly academic medical center. Using 150 clinical cases we compared physicians' risk assessment before and after interaction with MySurgeryRisk, a validated machine-learning algorithm predicting preoperative risk for six major postoperative complications using EHR data. Results: The area under the curve (AUC) of MySurgeryRisk algorithm ranged between 0.73 and 0.85 and was significantly higher than physicians' risk assessments (AUC between 0.47 and 0.69) for all postoperative complications except cardiovascular complications. The AUC for repeated physician's risk assessment improved by 2% to 5% for all complications with the exception of thirty-day mortality. Physicians' risk assessment for acute kidney injury and intensive care unit admission longer than 48 hours significantly improved after knowledge exchange, resulting in net reclassification improvement of 12.4% and 16%, respectively. Conclusions: The validated MySurgeryRisk algorithm predicted postoperative complications with equal or higher accuracy than pilot cohort of physicians using available clinical preoperative data. The interaction with algorithm significantly improved physicians' risk assessment.

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arXiv2017

Activity and Circadian Rhythm of Sepsis Patients in the Intensive Care Unit

Early mobilization of critically ill patients in the Intensive Care Unit (ICU) can prevent adverse outcomes such as delirium and post-discharge physical impairment. To date, no studies have characterized activity of sepsis patients in the ICU using granular actigraphy data. This study characterizes the activity of sepsis patients in the ICU to aid in future mobility interventions. We have compared the actigraphy features of 24 patients in four groups: Chronic Critical Illness (CCI) sepsis patients in the ICU, Rapid Recovery (RR) sepsis patients in the ICU, non-sepsis ICU patients (control-ICU), and healthy subjects. We used several statistical and circadian rhythm features extracted from the patients' actigraphy data collected over a five-day period. Our results show that the four groups are significantly different in terms of activity features. In addition, we observed that the CCI and control-ICU patients show less regularity in their circadian rhythm compared to the RR patients. These results show the potential of using actigraphy data for guiding mobilization practices, classifying sepsis recovery subtype, as well as for tracking patients' recovery.

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