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Tomas Ahumada

Publications and source records attributed to Tomas Ahumada.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Late-time JWST/NIRCam Observations of the Extremely Long-duration GRB 250702B/EP 250702a and Its Host Galaxy

We present JWST/NIRCam observations of the extremely long-duration gamma-ray burst (GRB) 250702B taken at ~ 95 days post-GRB (observer frame). The observations of the host galaxy reveal a single galaxy with a prominent dust lane observed nearly edge-on. Prospector modeling of the host galaxy photometry finds a high stellar mass (log(M_*/M_Sun) = 11.0 +0.2/-0.3) and large dust column (A_V = 2.8 +/- 0.3 mag), in agreement with previous results. If GRB 250702B is a collapsar-driven GRB, the host galaxy is the brightest (in rest-frame r and rest-frame H) and most massive compared to GRB hosts at similar redshifts. The transient localization is near the dust lane, and while we find no evidence for transient emission in F277W, F356W, and F444W, forced photometry in F150W and F200W reveals possible ~ 3 sigma detections of the transient at m_{F150W} ~ 27.9 AB mag and m_{F200W} ~ 27.4 AB mag. If these are secure detections, they are indicative of a late-time light curve flattening. This behavior is consistent with that of jetted tidal disruption events (TDEs); however, it is also consistent with a supernova plus GRB afterglow model. Alternatively, if these are upper limits, they are consistent with, but do not further constrain, the extrapolated power-law decline of the afterglow. The ambiguity of the possible detection of the transient in F150W and F200W highlights the need for late-time template observations with JWST/NIRCam.

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A Multi-Wavelength View of the First Type Ic-BL Supernova with an Einstein Probe X-ray Shock Breakout

In March 2026, the Einstein Probe (EP) discovered its most nearby (z = 0.0343) Fast X-ray Transient (FXT), EP260321a, the first EP FXT to provide a strong match to expectations for X-ray "shock breakout'" (SBO) emission. Here, we present our multi-wavelength follow-up campaign of EP260321a and its broad-line Type Ic (Ic-BL) supernova (SN) counterpart, SN2026gzf. We show that our radio follow-up extending over 5.8 - 54.5 days post-FXT rules out an on-axis jet counterpart of isotropic-equivalent kinetic energy $E_{K} \gtrsim 10^{49}$ erg for circumburst densities $n > 10^{-2}~{\rm cm}^{-3}$ and assuming microphysical parameters $\epsilon_e = \epsilon_B = 0.1$. Our radio data also constrains a median mass-loss rate of $\dot{M} \lesssim 1.2 \times 10^{-5} M_{\odot}~{\rm yr}^{-1}$ for a Wolf-Rayet progenitor. In addition, we derive SN2026gzf's properties, including $^{56}$Ni mass, diffusion timescale, and expansion velocities, from our $\sim$nightly-cadence optical data and compare them with those of optically discovered Type Ic-BL SNe, finding that SN 2026gzf is well within the 90\% confidence interval across all properties. We further fit SN2026gzf's light curve and determine that combined emission from both interaction with CSM and $^{56}$Ni radioactive decay provides the best fit with plausible model parameters. Finally, using the rate of Ic-BL SNe from the ZTF Bright Transient Survey and assuming all Type Ic-BL SNe produce EP260321a-like FXTs, we infer an expected rate of EP-detected SBOs of 4.4 - 16 year$^{-1}$. This is inconsistent at the 90% confidence level with current EP detection rates, potentially indicating that most Type Ic-BL SNe produce less luminous X-ray SBO signals compared to EP260321a.

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Low-Luminosity Type IIP Supernovae from the Zwicky Transient Facility Census of the Local Universe. III: Hunting for electron-capture supernovae using nebular spectroscopy

Electron-capture supernovae (ECSNe) may arise from ONeMg-core collapse in super-asymptotic giant branch (sAGB) stars near the low-mass core-collapse limit ($\approx\!8$--$10$\,\Msun). At early times, models predict that ECSNe resemble low-mass red supergiant iron-core-collapse SNe (FeCCSNe), making the two channels difficult to distinguish. Nebular spectroscopy, however, can reveal differences in ejecta composition. We present a systematic sample of nebular spectra of 19 low-luminosity Type IIP (LLIIP) SNe from the ZTF CLU survey, obtained 115$-$450\,d after explosion. Their low velocities expose narrow lines blended in brighter SNe, which we identify and model to constrain progenitor properties. We find a strong correlation between the FWHM of H\,\textsc{i}\,$\lambda$6563 and peak luminosity, showing that LLIIP SNe occupy the low-energy end of the core-collapse population, but no correlation with plateau duration, suggesting that envelope and core properties are not tightly linked. Only one SN reaches the extremely low H\,\textsc{i}\,$\lambda$6563 widths predicted for the weakest $\sim$9\,M$_\odot$ explosion models, implying that such low-energy events are intrinsically rare. Combining our sample with 118 literature nebular spectra of Type II SNe, we infer an IMF slope of $2.1\pm1.2$. We also introduce an `ECSN score'' based on the absence of He- and O-shell emission lines, and identify two plausible ECSN candidates, SN~2023bvj and SN~2024btj. However, neither shows the extremely narrow nebular lines predicted by current ECSN models. If ECSNe arise predominantly through the LLIIP channel, we infer an upper limit on the ECSN rate of $\lesssim (5$--$8)\times10^{2}\,\mathrm{Gpc^{-3}\,yr^{-1}}$, corresponding to a narrow sAGB progenitor mass window of $\Delta M_{\rm sAGB} \lesssim 0.02$--$0.06\,\mathrm{M_\odot}$.

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Electromagnetic Follow-up of the Sub-Solar Mass Gravitational Wave Candidate S251112cm: Kilonova Constraints and a Coincident IIb Supernova

On November 12th, 2025 the LIGO--Virgo--KAGRA (LVK) collaboration reported gravitational waves (GWs) from a compact object merger candidate (S251112cm) with at least one sub-solar mass component. Using the Dark Energy Camera (DECam), the Fraunhofer Telescope at Wendelstein Observatory (FTW), and the Zwicky Transient Facility (ZTF), we surveyed $56\%$ of the GW localization region beginning $2.4$~hours after the GW alert. We find no kilonova (KN) counterpart, and use radiative-transfer models to rule out $42\%$ (ZTF), $68\%$ (DECam), and $92\%$ (FTW) of the KN models as possible emission from this GW candidate. Within the recently proposed disk-fragmentation (``superkilonova'') model for generating sub-solar mass neutron star mergers from stellar core-collapse, the delay between the supernova explosion time and the GW merger time is estimated to be less than a few days. Searching this time window prior to the GW event, we identify and spectroscopically classify a IIb supernova (SN~2025adtq), with a spatial association odds ratio of $\log_{10}\mathcal{I} \approx 4.8$, a chance coincidence probability of ${\sim}2$--$9\%$, and an estimated explosion time ${\sim}2$ days prior to S251112cm. SN~2025adtq is the second Type~IIb supernova found in spatial and temporal coincidence with a sub-solar mass GW candidate, following the previously reported S250818k/SN~2025ulz association; jointly, we measure an odds ratio that favors the association hypothesis over the null, however, when conditioned on finding a coincident supernova by chance, the odds ratio disfavors association. Together, these results provide suggestive but inconclusive evidence for the superkilonova formation channel.

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Insights from GRBs for optical follow-up of gravitational wave counterparts

Identifying the electromagnetic counterparts to gravitational wave sources is vital to enabling the myriad of investigations possible with multimessenger astronomy. However, locating faint, fast-varying transients within large localisations remains challenging given the uncertainty in their detailed properties. In this work, we investigate how the nearby merger-induced GRBs would be localised by the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA detector network during the fifth gravitational wave observing run (O5) and assess whether their optical counterparts could be detected using gravitational wave localisations alone, without additional localisation from gamma-ray instruments. Counterpart detectability is evaluated using the observed optical afterglow lightcurves of these GRBs and the distance-scaled lightcurve of the kilonova AT2017gfo as a fiducial template. We find that such events can be localised to comparatively small regions of the sky, often only a few to tens of square degrees. As a result, counterparts are detectable by at least one of the available optical telescopes during O5. However, detectability depends strongly on observational depth, as the counterparts are fainter than $22$ mag within a day. Facilities capable of reaching depths of $\gtrsim23$ mag therefore play a key role in recovering these faint counterparts. These results indicate that for such events during O5, the primary challenge for multimessenger discovery will be in achieving sufficient observational depth and reliably identifying the true counterpart among unrelated transients rather than gravitational wave localisation itself.

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Long GRB 250916A: an Off-axis Powerlaw Jet with Thermal Cocoon

Some gamma-ray bursts (GRBs) exhibit precursor emission episodes preceding the main emission, with a quiescent period in between. The properties of the precursor emission and the duration of the quiescent interval are related to the central engine activity and jet formation processes, thus providing insights into the physics of GRBs. We present a comprehensive analysis of the prompt emission and multi-wavelength afterglow of GRB 250916A. Using detailed afterglow modeling, we find that the broadband data are best described by a powerlaw structured jet with a relatively narrow core ($\theta_c \approx 0.8^\circ$), viewed moderately off-axis at a viewing angle $\theta_v \approx 2.7^\circ$. The isotropic-equivalent kinetic energy of the jet ($E_{k,iso} \approx 2.4 \times 10^{54}$ erg) is on the higher side for typical GRBs. The precursor emission is well described by a blackbody spectrum with a temperature of kT $\approx$ 13.2 keV and is separated from the main emission by a long quiescent interval of 150 s. Put together, our results indicate that the precursor is likely to be a shock breakout from a cocoon formed by the interaction of the relativistic jet with the progenitor star. The resulting cocoon pressure and shock collimation naturally lead to the launch of a narrowly collimated jet, consistent with the jet geometry inferred from afterglow observations. The long quiescent interval may imply the central engine turn-off in addition to the effect of the off-axis geometry.

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GRB 230204B: GIT Discovery of a Fast Fading Afterglow Associated with an Energetic GRB from a Massive-Star Progenitor

We present a comprehensive multi-wavelength study of a bright gamma-ray burst GRB 230204B, analyzing both prompt and afterglow emissions. This GRB is highly energetic, with an isotropic equivalent energy emission $E_{\mathrm{iso}} \sim 2.2 \times 10^{54}\ \mathrm{erg}$, released during the prompt emission. The GROWTH-India Telescope discovered a bright afterglow ($m_r = 15.55$) that faded rapidly ($\propto t^{-1.82}$). The prompt emission shows strong thermal photospheric emission, along with a non-thermal high-energy component. We explore the evolution of these components and find them to be consistent with theoretical expectations. Afterglow modeling reveals an energetic jet $E_{tot} \gtrsim 10^{52}\ \mathrm{erg}$ expanding into a wind-type medium viewed nearly on-axis, suggesting a massive star progenitor with strong winds. We also explore correlations between the prompt emission and afterglow that may help to understand the complete picture of GRB progenitors.

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ZTF25abjmnps (AT2025ulz) and S250818k: A Candidate Superkilonova from a Sub-threshold Sub-Solar Gravitational Wave Trigger

On August 18, 2025, the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA collaboration reported gravitational waves from a sub-threshold binary neutron star merger. If astrophysical, this event would have a surprisingly low chirp mass, suggesting that at least one neutron star was below a solar mass. The Zwicky Transient Facility mapped the coarse localization and discovered a transient, ZTF25abjmnps (AT2025ulz), that was spatially and temporally coincident with the gravitational wave trigger. The first week of follow-up suggested properties reminiscent of a GW170817-like kilonova. Subsequent follow-up suggests properties most similar to a young, stripped-envelope, Type IIb supernova. Although we cannot statistically rule out chance coincidence, we undertake due diligence analysis to explore the possible association between ZTF25abjmnps and S250818k. Theoretical models have been proposed wherein sub-solar neutron star(s) may form (and subsequently merge) via accretion disk fragmentation or core fission inside a core-collapse supernova i.e. a ``superkilonova". Here, we qualitatively discuss our multi-wavelength dataset in the context of the superkilonova picture. Future higher significance gravitational wave detections of sub-solar neutron star mergers with extensive electromagnetic follow-up would conclusively resolve this tantalizing multi-messenger association.

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Optical/infrared observations of the extraordinary GRB 250702B: a highly obscured afterglow in a massive galaxy consistent with multiple possible progenitors

GRB 250702B was the longest gamma-ray burst ever detected, with a duration that challenges standard collapsar models and suggests an exotic progenitor. We collected a rich set of optical and infrared follow-up observations of its rapidly fading afterglow using a suite of telescopes including the W. M. Keck Observatory, the Gemini telescopes, the Magellan Baade Telescope, the Victor M. Blanco 4-meter telescope, and the Fraunhofer Telescope at Wendelstein Observatory. Our analysis reveals that the afterglow emission is well described by forward shock emission from a highly obscured relativistic jet. Deep photometric observations of the host galaxy reveal a massive (10^10.66 solar masses), dusty, and extremely asymmetric system that is consistent with two galaxies undergoing a major merger. The galactocentric offset, host galaxy properties, and jet characteristics disfavor a jetted TDE around a supermassive black hole but do not definitively distinguish between competing progenitor scenarios. We find that the afterglow and host are consistent with a range of progenitors including an atypical collapsar, a merger between a helium star and a stellar mass black hole, the disruption of a star by a stellar mass compact object (micro-TDE), and the tidal disruption of a star by an off-nuclear intermediate mass black hole.

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SN 2023uqf: An Interacting Supernova Coincident with a High-Energy Neutrino

Astrophysical high-energy (TeV-PeV) neutrinos were first discovered in 2013, but their origin remains largely unknown. Here we present SN 2023uqf, a supernova found in coincidence with high-energy neutrino IC231004A, as part of a systematic optical follow-up program with the Zwicky Transient Facility. SN 2023uqf had a luminous and rapidly-evolving lightcurve, and spectroscopic observations indicated that the source was a Type Ibn supernova. Spectroscopic signatures confirm ongoing interaction between the supernova ejecta and a dense circumstellar medium, as expected for high-energy neutrino production in a core-collapse supernova. Given the rare nature of Type Ibn supernovae, SN 2023uqf is unlikely to have been discovered by chance over the course of our program (p=0.3%). Our discovery of SN 2023uqf provides the first observational evidence to support long-held theories that interacting supernovae can serve as cosmic hadron accelerators.

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IIb or not IIb: A Catalog of ZTF Kilonova Imposters

Among the various classes of fast optical transients (FOTs), kilonovae (KNe), which can emerge as a result of neutron star mergers, are extremely challenging to observe because of not only the rapid timescale on which they fade (on the order of days), but also due to the relative scarcity of their occurrence. This scarcity is compounded by the large number of other FOTs that may initially resemble the characteristic rise of a KNe. While these objects can be ruled out as candidate KNe by taking spectroscopy, a method of confidently ruling out transients based on photometric analysis alone would be incredibly valuable. We describe the compilation of various "imposter" transients, including a plurality of IIb SNe, and investigate a number of comparative metrics by which one might be able to remove transients from consideration without the use of spectroscopy. We provide a list of these objects and their classifications as well as a glossary of the transient types included in the sample.

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WINTER on S250206dm: A near-infrared search for an electromagnetic counterpart to a gravitational-wave event

We present near-infrared follow-up observations of the International Gravitational Wave Network (IGWN) event S250206dm with the Wide-Field Infrared Transient Explorer (WINTER). WINTER is a near-infrared time-domain survey designed for electromagnetic follow-up of gravitational-wave sources localized to $\leq$300 deg$^{2}$. The instrument's wide field of view (1.2 deg$^2$), dedicated 1-m robotic telescope, and near-infrared coverage (0.9-1.7 microns) are optimized for searching for kilonovae, which are expected to exhibit a relatively long-lived near-infrared component. S250206dm is the only neutron star merger in the fourth observing run (to date) localized to $\leq$300 deg$^{2}$ with a False Alarm Rate below one per year. It has a $55\%$ probability of being a neutron star-black hole (NSBH) merger and a $37\%$ probability of being a binary neutron star (BNS) merger, with a $50\%$ credible region spanning 38 deg$^2$, an estimated distance of 373 Mpc, and an overall false alarm rate of approximately one in 25 years. WINTER covered $43\%$ of the probability area at least once and $35\%$ at least three times. Through automated and human candidate vetting, all transient candidates found in WINTER coverage were rejected as kilonova candidates. Unsurprisingly, given the large estimated distance of 373 Mpc, the WINTER upper limits do not constrain kilonova models. This study highlights the promise of systematic infrared searches and the need for future wider and deeper infrared surveys.

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The Luminous, Slow-Rising Orphan Afterglow AT2019pim as a Candidate Moderately Relativistic Outflow

Classical gamma-ray bursts (GRBs) have two distinct emission episodes: prompt emission from ultrarelativistic ejecta and afterglow from shocked circumstellar material. While both components are extremely luminous in known GRBs, a variety of scenarios predict the existence of luminous afterglow emission with little or no associated high-energy prompt emission. We present AT2019pim, the first spectroscopically confirmed afterglow with no observed high-energy emission to be identified. Serendipitously discovered during follow-up observations of a gravitational-wave trigger and located in a contemporaneous TESS sector, it is hallmarked by a fast-rising (t ~ 2 hr), luminous (M_UV,peak ~ -24.4 mag) optical transient with accompanying luminous X-ray and radio emission. No gamma-ray emission consistent with the time and location of the transient was detected by Fermi-GBM or by Konus, placing constraining limits on an accompanying GRB. We investigate several independent observational aspects of the afterglow in the context of constraints on relativistic motion and find all of them are consistent with an initial Lorentz factor of Gamma_0 ~ 10-30 for the on-axis material, significantly lower than in any well-observed GRB and consistent with the theoretically predicted "dirty fireball" scenario in which the high-energy prompt emission is stifled by pair production. However, we cannot rule out a structured jet model in which only the line-of-sight material was ejected at low-Gamma, off-axis from a classical high-Gamma jet core, and an on-axis GRB with below-average gamma-ray efficiency also remains a possibility. This event represents a milestone in orphan afterglow searches, demonstrating that luminous optical afterglows lacking detected GRB counterparts can be identified and spectroscopically confirmed in real time.

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Rubin ToO 2024: Envisioning the Vera C. Rubin Observatory LSST Target of Opportunity program

The Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) at Vera C. Rubin Observatory is planned to begin in the Fall of 2025. The LSST survey cadence has been designed via a community-driven process regulated by the Survey Cadence Optimization Committee (SCOC), which recommended up to 3% of the observing time to carry out Target of Opportunity (ToO) observations. Experts from the scientific community, Rubin Observatory personnel, and members of the SCOC were brought together to deliver a recommendation for the implementation of the ToO program during a workshop held in March 2024. Four main science cases were identified: gravitational wave multi-messenger astronomy, high energy neutrinos, Galactic supernovae, and small potentially hazardous asteroids possible impactors. Additional science cases were identified and briefly addressed in the documents, including lensed or poorly localized gamma-ray bursts and twilight discoveries. Trigger prioritization, automated response, and detailed strategies were discussed for each science case. This document represents the outcome of the Rubin ToO 2024 workshop, with additional contributions from members of the Rubin Science Collaborations. The implementation of the selection criteria and strategies presented in this document has been endorsed in the SCOC Phase 3 Recommendations document (PSTN-056). Although the ToO program is still to be finalized, this document serves as a baseline plan for ToO observations with the Rubin Observatory.

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Machine-directed gravitational-wave counterpart discovery

Joint observations in electromagnetic and gravitational waves shed light on the physics of objects and surrounding environments with extreme gravity that are otherwise unreachable via siloed observations in each messenger. However, such detections remain challenging due to the rapid and faint nature of counterparts. Protocols for discovery and inference still rely on human experts manually inspecting survey alert streams and intuiting optimal usage of limited follow-up resources. Strategizing an optimal follow-up program requires adaptive sequential decision-making given evolving light curve data that (i) maximizes a global objective despite incomplete information and (ii) is robust to stochasticity introduced by detectors/observing conditions. Reinforcement learning (RL) approaches allow agents to implicitly learn the physics/detector dynamics and the behavior policy that maximize a designated objective through experience. To demonstrate the utility of such an approach for the kilonova follow-up problem, we train a toy RL agent for the goal of maximizing follow-up photometry for the true kilonova among several contaminant transient light curves. In a simulated environment where the agent learns online, it achieves 3x higher accuracy compared to a random strategy. However, it is surpassed by human agents by up to a factor of 2. This is likely because our hypothesis function (Q that is linear in state-action features) is an insufficient representation of the optimal behavior policy. More complex agents could perform at par or surpass human experts. Agents like these could pave the way for machine-directed software infrastructure to efficiently respond to next generation detectors, for conducting science inference and optimally planning expensive follow-up observations, scalably and with demonstrable performance guarantees.

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Neutrino follow-up with the Zwicky Transient Facility: Results from the first 24 campaigns

The Zwicky Transient Facility (ZTF) performs a systematic neutrino follow-up program, searching for optical counterparts to high-energy neutrinos with dedicated Target-of-Opportunity (ToO) observations. Since first light in March 2018, ZTF has taken prompt observations for 24 high-quality neutrino alerts from the IceCube Neutrino Observatory, with a median latency of 12.2 hours from initial neutrino detection. From two of these campaigns, we have already reported tidal disruption event (TDE) AT 2019dsg and likely TDE AT 2019fdr as probable counterparts, suggesting that TDEs contribute >7.8% of the astrophysical neutrino flux. We here present the full results of our program through to December 2021. No additional candidate neutrino sources were identified by our program, allowing us to place the first constraints on the underlying optical luminosity function of astrophysical neutrino sources. Transients with optical absolutes magnitudes brighter that $-21$ can contribute no more than 87% of the total, while transients brighter than $-22$ can contribute no more than 58% of the total, neglecting the effect of extinction and assuming they follow the star formation rate. These are the first observational constraints on the neutrino emission of bright populations such as superluminous supernovae. None of the neutrinos were coincident with bright optical AGN flares comparable to that observed for TXS 0506+056/IC170922A, with such optical blazar flares producing no more than 26% of the total neutrino flux. We highlight the outlook for electromagnetic neutrino follow-up programs, including the expected potential for the Rubin Observatory.

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Kilonova parameters estimation with LSST at Vera C. Rubin Observatory

The up-coming Vera Rubin Observatory's Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) opens a new opportunity to rapidly survey the southern Sky at optical wavelenghts (\ie ugrizy bands). In this study, we aim to test the possibility of using LSST observations to constrain the mass and velocity of different KN ejecta components from the observation of a combined set of light curves from GRB afterglows and KNæ. We used a sample of simulated light curves from the aforementioned events as they would have been seen during the LSST survey to study how observing strategies' choice impacts the parameters' estimation. We found that the observing strategy design to be the best compromise between light curves coverage, observed filters and fit reliability involves a high number of visits with long gap pairs of about 4 hours every 2 nights in the same or different filters. The features of the observing strategy will allow us to recognize the different stages of the light curve evolution and gather observations in at least 3 filters.

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Collapsars as Sites of r-process Nucleosynthesis: Systematic Near-Infrared Follow-up of Type Ic-BL Supernovae

One of the open questions following the discovery of GW170817 is whether neutron star mergers are the only astrophysical sites capable of producing $r$-process elements. Simulations have shown that 0.01-0.1M$_\odot$ of $r$-process material could be generated in the outflows originating from the accretion disk surrounding the rapidly rotating black hole that forms as a remnant to both neutron star mergers and collapsing massive stars associated with long-duration gamma-ray bursts (collapsars). The hallmark signature of $r$-process nucleosynthesis in the binary neutron star merger GW170817 was its long-lasting near-infrared emission, thus motivating a systematic photometric study of the light curves of broadlined stripped-envelope (Ic-BL) supernovae (SNe) associated with collapsars. We present the first systematic study of 25 SNe Ic-BL -- including 18 observed with the Zwicky Transient Facility and 7 from the literature -- in the optical/near-infrared bands to determine what quantity of $r$-process material, if any, is synthesized in these explosions. Using semi-analytic models designed to account for $r$-process production in SNe Ic-BL, we perform light curve fitting to derive constraints on the $r$-process mass for these SNe. We also perform independent light curve fits to models without $r$-process. We find that the $r$-process-free models are a better fit to the light curves of the objects in our sample. Thus we find no compelling evidence of $r$-process enrichment in any of our objects. Further high-cadence infrared photometric studies and nebular spectroscopic analysis would be sensitive to smaller quantities of $r$-process ejecta mass or indicate whether all collapsars are completely devoid of $r$-process nucleosynthesis.

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