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Tonio Buonassisi

Publications and source records attributed to Tonio Buonassisi.

At least 55 records · Page 3Linked to original sources

Embedding Physics Domain Knowledge into a Bayesian Network Enables Layer-by-Layer Process Innovation for Photovoltaics

Process optimization of photovoltaic devices is a time-intensive, trial and error endeavor, without full transparency of the underlying physics, and with user-imposed constraints that may or may not lead to a global optimum. Herein, we demonstrate that embedding physics domain knowledge into a Bayesian network enables an optimization approach that identifies the root cause(s) of underperformance with layer by-layer resolution and reveals alternative optimal process windows beyond global black-box optimization. Our Bayesian-network approach links process conditions to materials descriptors (bulk and interface properties, e.g., bulk lifetime, doping, and surface recombination) and device performance parameters (e.g., cell efficiency), using a Bayesian inference framework with an autoencoder-based surrogate device-physics model that is 100x faster than numerical solvers. With the trained surrogate model, our approach is robust and reduces significantly the time consuming experimentalist intervention, even with small numbers of fabricated samples. To demonstrate our method, we perform layer-by-layer optimization of GaAs solar cells. In a single cycle of learning, we find an improved growth temperature for the GaAs solar cells without any secondary measurements, and demonstrate a 6.5% relative AM1.5G efficiency improvement above baseline and traditional black-box optimization methods.

physics.app-ph↗

Revisiting Thin Silicon for Photovoltaics: A Technoeconomic Perspective

Adopting thin Si wafers for PV reduces capital expenditure (capex) and manufacturing cost, and accelerates the growth of PV manufacturing. There are two key questions about thin Si today: (a) how much can we still benefit economically from thinning wafers? (b) what are the technological challenges to transition to thin wafers? In this work, we re-evaluate the benefits and challenges of thin Si for current and future PV modules using a comprehensive techno-economic framework that couples device simulation, bottom-up cost modeling, and a cash-flow growth model. When adopting an advanced technology concept that features sufficiently good surface passivation, similarly high efficiencies are achievable for 50-um wafers as for 160-um ones. We then quantify the economic benefits for thin Si wafers in terms of poly-Si-to-module manufacturing capex, module cost, and levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) for utility PV systems. Particularly, LCOE favors thinner wafers for all investigated device architectures, and can potentially be reduced by more than 5% from the value of 160-um wafers. With further improvements in module efficiency, an advanced thin-wafer device concept with 50-um wafers could reduce manufacturing capex by 48%, module cost by 28%, and LCOE by 24%. Furthermore, we apply a sustainable growth model to investigate PV deployment scenarios in 2030. It is found that the state-of-the-art industry concept could not achieve the climate targets even with very aggressive financial scenarios, therefore the capex reduction benefit of thin wafers is needed to facilitate more rapid PV growth. Lastly, we discuss the remaining technological challenges and areas for innovation to enable high-yield manufacturing of high-efficiency PV modules with thin Si wafers.

physics.app-ph↗

Self-powered sensors enabled by wide-bandgap perovskite indoor photovoltaic cells

We present a new approach to ubiquitous sensing for indoor applications, using high-efficiency and low-cost indoor perovksite photovoltaic cells as external power sources for backscatter sensors. We demonstrate wide-bandgap perovskite photovoltaic cells for indoor light energy harvesting with the 1.63eV and 1.84 eV devices demonstrate efficiencies of 21% and 18.5% respectively under indoor compact fluorescent lighting, with a champion open-circuit voltage of 0.95 V in a 1.84 eV cell under a light intensity of 0.16 mW/cm2. Subsequently, we demonstrate a wireless temperature sensor self-powered by a perovskite indoor light-harvesting module. We connect three perovskite photovoltaic cells in series to create a module that produces 14.5 uW output power under 0.16 mW/cm2 of compact fluorescent illumination with an efficiency of 13.2%. We use this module as an external power source for a battery-assisted RFID temperature sensor and demonstrate a read range by of 5.1 meters while maintaining very high frequency measurements every 1.24 seconds. Our combined indoor perovskite photovoltaic modules and backscatter radio-frequency sensors are further discussed as a route to ubiquitous sensing in buildings given their potential to be manufactured in an integrated manner at very low-cost, their lack of a need for battery replacement and the high frequency data collection possible.

physics.app-ph↗

Long range battery-less PV-powered RFID tag sensors

Communication range in passive Radio-Frequency Identification (RFID) front-end devices is a critical barrier in the real-world implementation of this low-cost technology. Purely passive RFID tags power up by harvesting the limited RF energy transmitted by the interrogator, and communicate by backscattering the incident signal. This mode of communication keeps manufacturing costs below a few cents per tag, but the limited power available at the tag undermines long-range deployment. In this paper, we present an approach to use Photovoltaics (PV) to augment the available energy at the tag to improve read range and sensing capabilities. We provide this extra-energy to the RFID integrated circuit (IC) using minimum additional electronics yet enabling persistent sensor-data acquisition. Current and emerging thin-film PV technologies have significant potential for being very low-cost, hence eliminating the barrier for implementation and making of PV-RFID wireless sensors. We reduce the long-range PV-RFID idea to practice by creating functional prototypes of i) a wireless building environment sensor to monitor temperature, and ii) an embedded tracker to find lost golf balls. The read range of PV-RFID is enhanced 8 times compared to conventional passive devices. In addition, the PV-RFID tags persistently transmit large volumes of sensor data (>0.14 million measurements per day) without using batteries. For communication range and energy persistence, we observe good agreement between calculated estimates and experimental results. We have also identified avenues for future research to develop low-cost PV-RFID devices for wireless sensing in the midst of the other competitive wireless technologies such as Bluetooth, Zigbee, Long Range (LoRa) backscatter etc.

eess.SP↗

The Impact of Global Warming on Silicon PV Energy Yield in 2100

While the installed photovoltaic capacity grows to a terawatt scale, effects of global climate change unfold. The question arises, how a changing climate, and especially raising temperatures, will affect the performance of PV installations in the future. In this paper we present an estimate of the reduction in energy yield for silicon PV installations due to global warming in the year 2100. Using IPCC global warming scenarios and published temperature coefficients for todays silicon PV panels, we project median reductions in annual energy output of today's silicon solar panel of 15kWh per kWP, with reductions up to 50kWh per kWP in some areas. Higher efficiency cells and advanced cell and module architectures can significantly reduce these losses. Cell concepts with higher voltage are particularly effective in reducing temperature induced losses.

physics.soc-ph↗

On Climate Change and Photovoltaic Energy Production

As the 21st century progresses, photovoltaic technology is becoming a major provider of the worlds electricity, while effects of global climate change unfold. This development begs the question: is climate change affecting the energy production of solar cells? In this article, we attempt to answer this question looking backward and forward. We start by analyzing recent trends for global meteorological conditions and solar cell performance parameters, covering the ten-year period between 20016 and 2015. We leverage a field-verified performance model for two of the most well-established solar cell technologies that also feature very different sensitivities to changing operating conditions: silicon and cadmium telluride. We find that climate change has already left its mark: ten years ago, silicon solar panels -- on average -- generated 4 kWh per m2 more power than today. Correlating solar cell performance ratio changes and changes in operating conditions, we find that temperature globally is the leading factor for silicon (-0.52 pm 0.03% per K), accounting for approx. 85% of the observed effect. Water related light absorption in the atmosphere is most likely responsible for much of the remaining contribution. To predict how future solar cell performance is affected, we focus on the implications of raising temperatures. For the end of the 21st century, we project that silicon PV panels globally will suffer performance reductions of between 0.7% and 2.5% (8 to 30 kWh per kWp in North America), depending on the global warming scenario. These reductions will result in significant socioeconomic penalties, particularly in a world that produces a significant portion of its electricity from PV panels, and especially if additional effects of global warming, like accelerated panel degradation and extreme weather are considered.

physics.soc-ph↗

Fast and interpretable classification of small X-ray diffraction datasets using data augmentation and deep neural networks

X-ray diffraction (XRD) data acquisition and analysis is among the most time-consuming steps in the development cycle of novel thin-film materials. We propose a machine-learning-enabled approach to predict crystallographic dimensionality and space group from a limited number of thin-film XRD patterns. We overcome the scarce-data problem intrinsic to novel materials development by coupling a supervised machine learning approach with a model agnostic, physics-informed data augmentation strategy using simulated data from the Inorganic Crystal Structure Database (ICSD) and experimental data. As a test case, 115 thin-film metal halides spanning 3 dimensionalities and 7 space-groups are synthesized and classified. After testing various algorithms, we develop and implement an all convolutional neural network, with cross validated accuracies for dimensionality and space-group classification of 93% and 89%, respectively. We propose average class activation maps, computed from a global average pooling layer, to allow high model interpretability by human experimentalists, elucidating the root causes of misclassification. Finally, we systematically evaluate the maximum XRD pattern step size (data acquisition rate) before loss of predictive accuracy occurs, and determine it to be 0.16°, which enables an XRD pattern to be obtained and classified in 5.5 minutes or less.

physics.data-an↗

Meeting Global Cooling Demand with Photovoltaics during the 21st Century

Space conditioning, and cooling in particular, is a key factor in human productivity and well-being across the globe. During the 21st century, global cooling demand is expected to grow significantly due to the increase in wealth and population in sunny nations across the globe and the advance of global warming. The same locations that see high demand for cooling are also ideal for electricity generation via photovoltaics (PV). Despite the apparent synergy between cooling demand and PV generation, the potential of the cooling sector to sustain PV generation has not been assessed on a global scale. Here, we perform a global assessment of increased PV electricity adoption enabled by the residential cooling sector during the 21st century. Already today, utilizing PV production for cooling could facilitate an additional installed PV capacity of approximately 540 GW, more than the global PV capacity of today. Using established scenarios of population and income growth, as well as accounting for future global warming, we further project that the global residential cooling sector could sustain an added PV capacity between 20-200 GW each year for most of the 21st century, on par with the current global manufacturing capacity of 100 GW. Furthermore, we find that without storage, PV could directly power approximately 50% of cooling demand, and that this fraction is set to increase from 49% to 56% during the 21st century, as cooling demand grows in locations where PV and cooling have a higher synergy. With this geographic shift in demand, the potential of distributed storage also grows. We simulate that with a 1 m$^3$ water-based latent thermal storage per household, the fraction of cooling demand met with PV would increase from 55% to 70% during the century. These results show that the synergy between cooling and PV is notable and could significantly accelerate the growth of the global PV industry.

econ.GN↗

Triplet-sensitization by lead halide perovskite thin films for near-infrared-to-visible upconversion

Lead halide-based perovskite thin films have attracted great attention due to the explosive increase in perovskite solar cell efficiencies. The same optoelectronic properties that make perovskites ideal absorber materials in solar cells are also beneficial in other light-harvesting applications and make them prime candidates as triplet sensitizers in upconversion via triplet-triplet annihilation in rubrene. In this contribution, we take advantage of long carrier lifetimes and carrier diffusion lengths in perovskite thin films, their high absorption cross sections throughout the visible spectrum, as well as the strong spin-orbit coupling owing to the abundance of heavy atoms to sensitize the upconverter rubrene. Employing bulk perovskite thin films as the absorber layer and spin-mixer in inorganic/organic heterojunction upconversion devices allows us to forego the additional tunneling barrier owing from the passivating ligands required for colloidal sensitizers. Our bilayer device exhibits an upconversion efficiency in excess of 3% under 785 nm illumination.

physics.app-ph↗

Machine Learning for Novel Thermal-Materials Discovery: Early Successes, Opportunities, and Challenges

High-throughput computational and experimental design of materials aided by machine learning have become an increasingly important field in material science. This area of research has emerged in leaps and bounds in the thermal sciences, in part due to the advances in computational and experimental methods in obtaining thermal properties of materials. In this paper, we provide a current overview of some of the recent work and highlight the challenges and opportunities that are ahead of us in this field. In particular, we focus on the use of machine learning and high-throughput methods for screening of thermal conductivity for compounds, composites and alloys as well as interfacial thermal conductance. These new tools have brought about a feedback mechanism for understanding new correlations and identifying new descriptors, speeding up the discovery of novel thermal functional materials.

cond-mat.mtrl-sci↗

Accelerating Photovoltaic Materials Development via High-Throughput Experiments and Machine-Learning-Assisted Diagnosis

Accelerating the experimental cycle for new materials development is vital for addressing the grand energy challenges of the 21st century. We fabricate and characterize 75 unique halide perovskite-inspired solution-based thin-film materials within a two-month period, with 87% exhibiting band gaps between 1.2 eV and 2.4 eV that are of interest for energy-harvesting applications. This increased throughput is enabled by streamlining experimental workflows, developing a set of precursors amenable to high-throughput synthesis, and developing machine-learning assisted diagnosis. We utilize a deep neural network to classify compounds based on experimental X-ray diffraction data into 0D, 2D, and 3D structures more than 10 times faster than human analysis and with 90% accuracy. We validate our methods using lead-halide perovskites and extend the application to novel lead-free compositions. The wider synthesis window and faster cycle of learning enables three noteworthy scientific findings: (1) we realize four inorganic layered perovskites, A3B2Br9 (A = Cs, Rb; B = Bi, Sb) in thin-film form via one-step liquid deposition; (2) we report a multi-site lead-free alloy series that was not previously described in literature, Cs3(Bi1-xSbx)2(I1-xBrx)9; and (3) we reveal the effect on bandgap (reduction to <2 eV) and structure upon simultaneous alloying on the B-site and X-site of Cs3Bi2I9 with Sb and Br. This study demonstrates that combining an accelerated experimental cycle of learning and machine-learning based diagnosis represents an important step toward realizing fully-automated laboratories for materials discovery and development.

physics.app-ph↗

Machine learning enables polymer cloud-point engineering via inverse design

Inverse design is an outstanding challenge in disordered systems with multiple length scales such as polymers, particularly when designing polymers with desired phase behavior. We demonstrate high-accuracy tuning of poly(2-oxazoline) cloud point via machine learning. With a design space of four repeating units and a range of molecular masses, we achieve an accuracy of 4 °C root mean squared error (RMSE) in a temperature range of 24-90 °C, employing gradient boosting with decision trees. The RMSE is >3x better than linear and polynomial regression. We perform inverse design via particle-swarm optimization, predicting and synthesizing 17 polymers with constrained design at 4 target cloud points from 37 to 80 °C. Our approach challenges the status quo in polymer design with a machine learning algorithm, that is capable of fast and systematic discovery of new polymers.

cond-mat.soft↗

Bayesim: a tool for adaptive grid model fitting with Bayesian inference

Bayesian inference is a widely used and powerful analytical technique in fields such as astronomy and particle physics but has historically been underutilized in some other disciplines including semiconductor devices. In this work, we introduce Bayesim, a Python package that utilizes adaptive grid sampling to efficiently generate a probability distribution over multiple input parameters to a forward model using a collection of experimental measurements. We discuss the implementation choices made in the code, showcase two examples in photovoltaics, and discuss general prerequisites for the approach to apply to other systems.

physics.data-an↗

Charge-carrier lifetime measurements in early-stage photovoltaic materials: intuition, uncertainties, and opportunities

Measurements of charge-carrier lifetime in many early-stage thin-film photovoltaic materials can be arduous due to the prevalence of defects and limited information about material properties. In this perspective, we give a brief overview of typical techniques for measuring lifetimes and discuss the intuition involved in estimating lifetimes from such techniques, focusing on time-resolved photoluminescence as an example. We then delve into the underlying assumptions and uncertainties involved in analyzing lifetime measurements. Finally, we outline opportunities for improving accuracy of lifetime measurements by utilizing two emerging techniques to decouple different recombination mechanisms: two-photon spectroscopy, which we demonstrate on BiI3 thin films, and temperature- and injection-dependent current-voltage measurements.

cond-mat.mtrl-sci↗

Homogenization of Halide Distribution and Carrier Dynamics in Alloyed Organic-Inorganic Perovskites

Perovskite solar cells have shown remarkable efficiencies beyond 22%, through organic and inorganic cation alloying. However, the role of alkali-metal cations is not well-understood. By using synchrotron-based nano-X-ray fluorescence and complementary measurements, we show that when adding RbI and/or CsI the halide distribution becomes homogenous. This homogenization translates into long-lived charge carrier decays, spatially homogenous carrier dynamics visualized by ultrafast microscopy, as well as improved photovoltaic device performance. We find that Rb and K phase-segregate in highly concentrated aggregates. Synchrotron-based X-ray-beam-induced current and electron-beam-induced current of solar cells show that Rb clusters do not contribute to the current and are recombination active. Our findings bring light to the beneficial effects of alkali metal halides in perovskites, and point at areas of weakness in the elemental composition of these complex perovskites, paving the way to improved performance in this rapidly growing family of materials for solar cell applications.

cond-mat.mtrl-sci↗

Accelerating Materials Development via Automation, Machine Learning, and High-Performance Computing

Successful materials innovations can transform society. However, materials research often involves long timelines and low success probabilities, dissuading investors who have expectations of shorter times from bench to business. A combination of emergent technologies could accelerate the pace of novel materials development by 10x or more, aligning the timelines of stakeholders (investors and researchers), markets, and the environment, while increasing return-on-investment. First, tool automation enables rapid experimental testing of candidate materials. Second, high-throughput computing (HPC) concentrates experimental bandwidth on promising compounds by predicting and inferring bulk, interface, and defect-related properties. Third, machine learning connects the former two, where experimental outputs automatically refine theory and help define next experiments. We describe state-of-the-art attempts to realize this vision and identify resource gaps. We posit that over the coming decade, this combination of tools will transform the way we perform materials research. There are considerable first-mover advantages at stake, especially for grand challenges in energy and related fields, including computing, healthcare, urbanization, water, food, and the environment.

cs.CY↗

Best practices for the application of temperature- and illumination-dependent current density-voltage $J$($V$,$T$,$i$) and electron-beam induced current EBIC to novel thin film solar cells

As the photovoltaic community accelerates the development of new absorber candidate materials towards high-performing PV devices, it is essential to follow best practices and leverage deeper characterization tools. We have identified temperature- and illumination-dependent current density-voltage $J$($V$,$T$,$i$) and electron-beam induced current (EBIC) measurements as two powerful PV device characterization techniques to evaluate the potential of novel absorber candidate materials. Herein, we focus on the experimental methods and best practices for applying $J$($V$,$T$,$i$) and EBIC, addressing particular challenges in sample preparation and mounting. We demonstrate these on the example of tin monosulfide, a promising PV absorber candidate material that shares characteristics of many novel thin-film PV absorbers: mechanically soft, polycrystalline, and used in heterojunction thin-film PV devices.

cond-mat.mtrl-sci↗

Stress effects on the Raman spectrum of an amorphous material: theory and experiment on a-Si:H

Strain in a material induces shifts in vibrational frequencies, which is a probe of the nature of the vibrations and interatomic potentials, and can be used to map local stress/strain distributions via Raman microscopy. This method is standard for crystalline silicon devices, but due to lack of calibration relations, it has not been applied to amorphous materials such as hydrogenated amorphous silicon (a-Si:H), a widely studied material for thin-film photovoltaic and electronic devices. We calculated the Raman spectrum of a-Si:H \ab initio under different strains $ε$ and found peak shifts $Δω= \left( -460 \pm 10\ \mathrm{cm}^{-1} \right) {\rm Tr}\ ε$. This proportionality to the trace of the strain is the general form for isotropic amorphous vibrational modes, as we show by symmetry analysis and explicit computation. We also performed Raman measurements under strain and found a consistent coefficient of $-510 \pm 120\ \mathrm{cm}^{-1}$. These results demonstrate that a reliable calibration for the Raman/strain relation can be achieved even for the broad peaks of an amorphous material, with similar accuracy and precision as for crystalline materials.

cond-mat.mtrl-sci↗