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Tze Leung Lai

Publications and source records attributed to Tze Leung Lai.

21 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

Bias correction and confidence intervals following sequential tests

An important statistical inference problem in sequential analysis is the construction of confidence intervals following sequential tests, to which Michael Woodroofe has made fundamental contributions. This paper reviews Woodroofe's method and other approaches in the literature. In particular it shows how a bias-corrected pivot originally introduced by Woodroofe can be used as an improved root for sequential bootstrap confidence intervals.

math.ST↗

Maxima of asymptotically Gaussian random fields and moderate deviation approximations to boundary crossing probabilities of sums of random variables with multidimensional indices

Several classical results on boundary crossing probabilities of Brownian motion and random walks are extended to asymptotically Gaussian random fields, which include sums of i.i.d. random variables with multidimensional indices, multivariate empirical processes, and scan statistics in change-point and signal detection as special cases. Some key ingredients in these extensions are moderate deviation approximations to marginal tail probabilities and weak convergence of the conditional distributions of certain ``clumps'' around high-level crossings. We also discuss how these results are related to the Poisson clumping heuristic and tube formulas of Gaussian random fields, and describe their applications to laws of the iterated logarithm in the form of the Kolmogorov--Erdős--Feller integral tests.

math.PR↗

Self-normalized processes: exponential inequalities, moment bounds and iterated logarithm laws

Self-normalized processes arise naturally in statistical applications. Being unit free, they are not affected by scale changes. Moreover, self-normalization often eliminates or weakens moment assumptions. In this paper we present several exponential and moment inequalities, particularly those related to laws of the iterated logarithm, for self-normalized random variables including martingales. Tail probability bounds are also derived. For random variables B_t>0 and A_t, let Y_t(λ)=\exp{λA_t-λ^2B_t^2/2}. We develop inequalities for the moments of A_t/B_{t} or sup_{t\geq 0}A_t/{B_t(\log \log B_{t})^{1/2}} and variants thereof, when EY_t(λ)\leq 1 or when Y_t(λ) is a supermartingale, for all λbelonging to some interval. Our results are valid for a wide class of random processes including continuous martingales with A_t=M_t and B_t=\sqrt < M>_t, and sums of conditionally symmetric variables d_i with A_t=\sum_{i=1}^td_i and B_t=\sqrt\sum_{i=1}^td_i^2. A sharp maximal inequality for conditionally symmetric random variables and for continuous local martingales with values in R^m, m\ge 1, is also established. Another development in this paper is a bounded law of the iterated logarithm for general adapted sequences that are centered at certain truncated conditional expectations and self-normalized by the square root of the sum of squares. The key ingredient in this development is a new exponential supermartingale involving \sum_{i=1}^td_i and \sum_{i=1}^td_i^2.

math.PR↗