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Uroš Seljak

Publications and source records attributed to Uroš Seljak.

At least 55 records · Page 3Linked to original sources

Kepler data analysis: non-Gaussian noise and Fourier Gaussian process analysis of star variability

We develop a statistical analysis model of Kepler star flux data in the presence of planet transits, non-Gaussian noise, and star variability. We first develop a model for Kepler noise probability distribution in the presence of outliers, which make the noise probability distribution non-Gaussian. We develop a signal likelihood analysis based on this probability distribution, in which we model the signal as a sum of the star variability and planetary transits. We argue these components need to be modeled together if optimal signal is to be extracted from the data. For the star variability model we develop an optimal Gaussian process analysis using a Fourier based Wiener filter approach, where the power spectrum is non-parametric and learned from the data. We develop high dimensional optimization of the objective function, where we jointly optimize all the model parameters, including thousands of star variability modes, and planet transit parameters. We apply the method to Kepler-90 data and show that it gives a better match to the star variability than the standard spline method, and robustly handles noise outliers. As a consequence, the planet radii have a higher value than the standard spline method.

astro-ph.EP↗

Galaxy power-spectrum responses and redshift-space super-sample effect

As a major source of cosmological information, galaxy clustering is susceptible to long-wavelength density and tidal fluctuations. These long modes modulate the growth and expansion rate of local structures, shifting them in both amplitude and scale. These effects are often named the growth and dilation effects, respectively. In particular the dilation shifts the baryon acoustic oscillation (BAO) peak and breaks the assumption of the Alcock-Paczynski (AP) test. This cannot be removed with reconstruction techniques because the effect originates from long modes outside the survey. In redshift space, the long modes generate a large-scale radial peculiar velocity that affects the redshift-space distortion (RSD) signal. We compute the redshift-space response functions of the galaxy power spectrum to long density and tidal modes at leading order in perturbation theory, including both the growth and dilation terms. We validate these response functions against measurements from simulated galaxy mock catalogs. As one application, long density and tidal modes beyond the scale of a survey correlate various observables leading to an excess error known as the super-sample covariance, and thus weaken their constraining power. We quantify the super-sample effect on BAO, AP, and RSD measurements, and study its impact on current and future surveys.

astro-ph.CO↗

Galaxy-galaxy lensing estimators and their covariance properties

We study the covariance properties of real space correlation function estimators -- primarily galaxy-shear correlations, or galaxy-galaxy lensing -- using SDSS data for both shear catalogs and lenses (specifically the BOSS LOWZ sample). Using mock catalogs of lenses and sources, we disentangle the various contributions to the covariance matrix and compare them with a simple analytical model. We show that not subtracting the lensing measurement around random points from the measurement around the lens sample is equivalent to performing the measurement using the lens density field instead of the lens over-density field. While the measurement using the lens density field is unbiased (in the absence of systematics), its error is significantly larger due to an additional term in the covariance. Therefore, this subtraction should be performed regardless of its beneficial effects on systematics. Comparing the error estimates from data and mocks for estimators that involve the over-density, we find that the errors are dominated by the shape noise and lens clustering, that empirically estimated covariances (jackknife and standard deviation across mocks) are consistent with theoretical estimates, and that both the connected parts of the 4-point function and the super-sample covariance can be neglected for the current levels of noise. While the trade-off between different terms in the covariance depends on the survey configuration (area, source number density), the diagnostics that we use in this work should be useful for future works to test their empirically-determined covariances.

astro-ph.CO↗

Weak lensing calibration of mass bias in the REFLEX+BCS X-ray galaxy cluster catalogue

The use of large, X-ray selected galaxy cluster catalogues for cosmological analyses requires a thorough understanding of the X-ray mass estimates. Weak gravitational lensing is an ideal method to shed light on such issues, due to its insensitivity to the cluster dynamical state. We perform a weak lensing calibration of 166 galaxy clusters from the REFLEX and BCS cluster catalogue and compare our results to the X-ray masses based on scaled luminosities from that catalogue. To interpret the weak lensing signal in terms of cluster masses, we compare the lensing signal to simple theoretical Navarro-Frenk-White models and to simulated cluster lensing profiles, including complications such as cluster substructure, projected large-scale structure, and Eddington bias. We find evidence of underestimation in the X-ray masses, as expected, with $\langle M_{\mathrm{X}}/M_{\mathrm{WL}}\rangle = 0.75 \pm 0.07$ stat. $\pm 0.05$ sys. for our best-fit model. The biases in cosmological parameters in a typical cluster abundance measurement that ignores this mass bias will typically exceed the statistical errors.

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Cosmological constraints from thermal Sunyaev Zeldovich power spectrum revisited

Thermal Sunyaev-Zeldovich (tSZ) power spectrum is one of the most sensitive methods to constrain cosmological parameters, scaling as the amplitude $σ_8^8$. It is determined by the integral over the halo mass function multiplied by the total pressure content of clusters, and further convolved by the cluster gas pressure profile. It has been shown that various feedback effects can change significantly the pressure profile, possibly even pushing the gas out to the virial radius and beyond, strongly affecting the tSZ power spectrum at high $l$. Energetics arguments and SZ-halo mass scaling relations suggest feedback is unlikely to significantly change the total pressure content, making low $l$ tSZ power spectrum more robust against feedback effects. Furthermore, the separation between the cosmic infrared background (CIB) and tSZ is more reliable at low $l$. Low $l$ modes are however probing very small volumes, giving rise to very large non-gaussian sampling variance errors. By computing the trispectrum contribution we identify $90<l<350$ as the minimum variance scale where the combined error is minimized. Using the measurement at this $l$ provides constraints that are almost as strong as using the entire power spectrum. We extend the work by the Planck collaboration by including a full trispectrum and feedback effects in the analysis. We perform a Markov-Chain Monte Carlo analysis over the two dimensional parameter space and find constraints on $σ_8$ by marginalizing over the feedback nuisance parameter.We obtain $σ_8 =0.820^{+0.021}_{-0.009}\left(Ω_m/0.31\right)^{0.4}$, when fixing other parameters to Planck cosmology values. Our results suggest it is possible to obtain competitive cosmological constraints from tSZ without cluster redshift information, and that the current tSZ power spectrum shows no evidence for a low amplitude of $σ_8$.

astro-ph.CO↗

Cosmic Visions Dark Energy: Technology

A strong instrumentation and detector R&D program has enabled the current generation of cosmic frontier surveys. A small investment in R&D will continue to pay dividends and enable new probes to investigate the accelerated expansion of the universe. Instrumentation and detector R&D provide critical training opportunities for future generations of experimentalists, skills that are important across the entire Department of Energy High Energy Physics program.

astro-ph.IM↗

Perturbation theory, effective field theory, and oscillations in the power spectrum

We explore the relationship between the nonlinear matter power spectrum and the various Lagrangian and Standard Perturbation Theories (LPT and SPT). We first look at it in the context of one dimensional (1-d) dynamics, where 1LPT is exact at the perturbative level and one can exactly resum the SPT series into the 1LPT power spectrum. Shell crossings lead to non-perturbative effects, and the PT ignorance can be quantified in terms of their ratio, which is also the transfer function squared in the absence of stochasticity. At the order of PT we work, this parametrization is equivalent to the results of effective field theory (EFT), and can thus be expanded in terms of the same parameters. We find that its radius of convergence is larger than the SPT loop expansion. The same EFT parametrization applies to all SPT loop terms and, if stochasticity can be ignored, to all N-point correlators. In 3-d, the LPT structure is considerably more complicated, and we find that LPT models with parametrization motivated by the EFT exhibit running with $k$ and that SPT is generally a better choice. Since these transfer function expansions contain free parameters that change with cosmological model their usefulness for broadband power is unclear. For this reason we test the predictions of these models on baryonic acoustic oscillations (BAO) and other primordial oscillations, including string monodromy models, for which we ran a series of simulations with and without oscillations. Most models are successful in predicting oscillations beyond their corresponding PT versions, confirming the basic validity of the model.

astro-ph.CO↗

Cosmic Visions Dark Energy: Science

Cosmic surveys provide crucial information about high energy physics including strong evidence for dark energy, dark matter, and inflation. Ongoing and upcoming surveys will start to identify the underlying physics of these new phenomena, including tight constraints on the equation of state of dark energy, the viability of modified gravity, the existence of extra light species, the masses of the neutrinos, and the potential of the field that drove inflation. Even after the Stage IV experiments, DESI and LSST, complete their surveys, there will still be much information left in the sky. This additional information will enable us to understand the physics underlying the dark universe at an even deeper level and, in case Stage IV surveys find hints for physics beyond the current Standard Model of Cosmology, to revolutionize our current view of the universe. There are many ideas for how best to supplement and aid DESI and LSST in order to access some of this remaining information and how surveys beyond Stage IV can fully exploit this regime. These ideas flow to potential projects that could start construction in the 2020's.

astro-ph.CO↗

Eliminating the optical depth nuisance from the CMB with 21 cm cosmology

Amongst standard model parameters that are constrained by cosmic microwave background (CMB) observations, the optical depth $τ$ stands out as a nuisance parameter. While $τ$ provides some crude limits on reionization, it also degrades constraints on other cosmological parameters. Here we explore how 21 cm cosmology---as a direct probe of reionization---can be used to independently predict $τ$ in an effort to improve CMB parameter constraints. We develop two complementary schemes for doing so. The first uses 21 cm power spectrum observations in conjunction with semi-analytic simulations to predict $τ$. The other uses global 21 cm measurements to directly constrain low redshift (post-reheating) contributions to $τ$ in a relatively model-independent way. Forecasting the performance of the upcoming Hydrogen Epoch of Reionization Array, we find that significant reductions in the errors on $τ$ can be achieved. These results are particularly effective at breaking the CMB degeneracy between $τ$ and the amplitude of the primordial fluctuation spectrum $A_s$, with errors on $\ln (10^{10} A_s)$ reduced by up to a factor of four. Stage 4 CMB constraints on the neutrino mass sum are also improved, with errors potentially reduced to $12\,\textrm{meV}$ regardless of whether CMB experiments can precisely measure the reionization bump in polarization power spectra. Observations of the 21 cm line are therefore capable of improving not only our understanding of reionization astrophysics, but also of cosmology in general.

astro-ph.CO↗

Velocity bias in the distribution of dark matter halos

The standard formalism for the co-evolution of halos and dark matter predicts that any initial halo velocity bias rapidly decays to zero. We argue that, when the purpose is to compute statistics like power spectra etc., the coupling in the momentum conservation equation for the biased tracers must be modified. Our new formulation predicts the constancy in time of any statistical halo velocity bias present in the initial conditions, in agreement with peak theory. We test this prediction by studying the evolution of a conserved halo population in N-body simulations. We establish that the initial simulated halo density and velocity statistics show distinct features of the peak model and, thus, deviate from the simple local Lagrangian bias. We demonstrate, for the first time, that the time evolution of their velocity is in tension with the rapid decay expected in the standard approach.

astro-ph.CO↗

Linear response to long wavelength fluctuations using curvature simulations

We study the local response to long wavelength fluctuations in cosmological $N$-body simulations, focusing on the matter and halo power spectra, halo abundance and non-linear transformations of the density field. The long wavelength mode is implemented using an effective curved cosmology and a mapping of time and distances. The method provides an alternative, most probably more precise, way to measure the isotropic halo biases. Limiting ourselves to the linear case, we find generally good agreement between the biases obtained from the curvature method and the traditional power spectrum method at the level of a few percent. We also study the response of halo counts to changes in the variance of the field and find that the slope of the relation between the responses to density and variance differs from the naive derivation assuming a universal mass function by 18%. This has implications for measurements of the amplitude of local non-Gaussianity using scale dependent bias. We also analyze the halo power spectrum and halo-dark matter cross-spectrum response to long wavelength fluctuations and derive second order halo bias from it, as well as the super-sample variance contribution to the galaxy power spectrum covariance matrix.

astro-ph.CO↗

Halo Zeldovich model and perturbation theory: dark matter power spectrum and correlation function

Perturbation theory for dark matter clustering has received a lot of attention in recent years, but its convergence properties remain poorly justified and there is no successful model that works both for correlation function and for power spectrum. Here we present Halo Zeldovich approach combined with perturbation theory (HZPT), in which we use standard perturbation theory at one loop order (SPT) at very low $k$, and connect it to a version of the halo model, for which we adopt the Zeldovich approximation plus a Pade expansion of a compensated one halo term. This low $k$ matching allows us to determine the one halo term amplitude and redshift evolution, both of which are in an excellent agreement with simulations, and approximately agree with the expected value from the halo model. Our Pade expansion approach of the one halo term added to Zeldovich approximation identifies two typical halo scales averaged over the halo mass function, the halo radius scale of order of 1Mpc/h, and the halo mass compensation scale of order 26Mpc/h. The model gives better than one percent accurate predictions for the correlation function above 5Mpc/h at all redshifts, without any free parameters. With three fitted Pade expansion coefficients the agreement in power spectrum is good to a percent up to $k \sim 1$h/Mpc, which can be improved to arbitrary $k$ by adding higher order terms in Pade expansion.

astro-ph.CO↗

Large-scale structure and the intrinsic alignment of galaxies

Coherent alignments of galaxy shapes, often called "intrinsic alignments" (IA), are the most significant source of astrophysical uncertainty in weak lensing measurements. We develop the tidal alignment model of IA and demonstrate its success in describing observational data. We also describe a technique to separate IA from galaxy-galaxy lensing measurements. Applying this technique to luminous red galaxy lenses in the Sloan Digital Sky Survey, we constrain potential IA contamination from associated sources to be below a few percent.

astro-ph.CO↗

Tidal alignment of galaxies

We develop an analytic model for galaxy intrinsic alignments (IA) based on the theory of tidal alignment. We calculate all relevant nonlinear corrections at one-loop order, including effects from nonlinear density evolution, galaxy biasing, and source density weighting. Contributions from density weighting are found to be particularly important and lead to bias dependence of the IA amplitude, even on large scales. This effect may be responsible for much of the luminosity dependence in IA observations. The increase in IA amplitude for more highly biased galaxies reflects their locations in regions with large tidal fields. We also consider the impact of smoothing the tidal field on halo scales. We compare the performance of this consistent nonlinear model in describing the observed alignment of luminous red galaxies with the linear model as well as the frequently used "nonlinear alignment model," finding a significant improvement on small and intermediate scales. We also show that the cross-correlation between density and IA (the "GI" term) can be effectively separated into source alignment and source clustering, and we accurately model the observed alignment down to the one-halo regime using the tidal field from the fully nonlinear halo-matter cross correlation. Inside the one-halo regime, the average alignment of galaxies with density tracers no longer follows the tidal alignment prediction, likely reflecting nonlinear processes that must be considered when modeling IA on these scales. Finally, we discuss tidal alignment in the context of cosmic shear measurements.

astro-ph.CO↗

Near optimal bispectrum estimators for large-scale structure

Clustering of large-scale structure provides significant cosmological information through the power spectrum of density perturbations. Additional information can be gained from higher-order statistics like the bispectrum, especially to break the degeneracy between the linear halo bias $b_1$ and the amplitude of fluctuations $σ_8$. We propose new simple, computationally inexpensive bispectrum statistics that are near optimal for the specific applications like bias determination. Corresponding to the Legendre decomposition of nonlinear halo bias and gravitational coupling at second order, these statistics are given by the cross-spectra of the density with three quadratic fields: the squared density, a tidal term, and a shift term. For halos and galaxies the first two have associated nonlinear bias terms $b_2$ and $b_{s^2}$, respectively, while the shift term has none in the absence of velocity bias (valid in the $k \rightarrow 0$ limit). Thus the linear bias $b_1$ is best determined by the shift cross-spectrum, while the squared density and tidal cross-spectra mostly tighten constraints on $b_2$ and $b_{s^2}$ once $b_1$ is known. Since the form of the cross-spectra is derived from optimal maximum-likelihood estimation, they contain the full bispectrum information on bias parameters. Perturbative analytical predictions for their expectation values and covariances agree with simulations on large scales, $k\lesssim 0.09h/\mathrm{Mpc}$ at $z=0.55$ with Gaussian $R=20h^{-1}\mathrm{Mpc}$ smoothing, for matter-matter-matter, and matter-matter-halo combinations. For halo-halo-halo cross-spectra the model also needs to include corrections to the Poisson stochasticity.

astro-ph.CO↗

Understanding higher-order nonlocal halo bias at large scales by combining the power spectrum with the bispectrum

Understanding the relation between underlying matter distribution and biased tracers such as galaxy or dark matter halo is essential to extract cosmological information from ongoing or future galaxy redshift surveys. At sufficiently large scales such as the BAO scale, a standard approach for the bias problem on the basis of the perturbation theory (PT) is to assume the `local bias' model in which the density field of biased tracers is deterministically expanded in terms of matter density field at the same position. The higher-order bias parameters are then determined by combining the power spectrum with higher-order statistics such as the bispectrum. As is pointed out by recent studies, however, nonlinear gravitational evolution naturally induces nonlocal bias terms even if initially starting only with purely local bias. As a matter of fact, previous works showed that the second-order nonlocal bias term, which corresponds to the gravitational tidal field, is important to explain the characteristic scale-dependence of the bispectrum. In this paper we extend the nonlocal bias term up to third order, and investigate whether the PT-based model including nonlocal bias terms can simultaneously explain the power spectrum and the bispectrum of simulated halos in $N$-body simulations. We show that the power spectrum, including density and momentum, and the bispectrum between halo and matter in $N$-body simulations can be simultaneously well explained by the model including up to third-order nonlocal bias terms up to k~0.1h/Mpc. Also, the results seem in a good agreement with theoretical predictions of a simple coevolution picture, although the agreement is not perfect. These demonstration clearly shows a failure of the local bias model even at such large scales, and we conclude that nonlocal bias terms should be consistently included in order to model statistics of halos. [abridged]

astro-ph.CO↗

Lagrangian perturbation theory at one loop order: successes, failures, and improvements

We apply the convolved Lagrangian perturbation theory (CLPT) formalism, in which one can express the matter density power spectrum in terms of integrals over a function of cumulants of the displacement field, allowing for a resummation of the terms, to evaluate the full one loop power spectrum. We keep the cumulants up to third order, extending the Zel'dovich approximation and providing the power spectrum analogous to the calculations recently performed for the correlation function. We compare the results to the N-body simulations and to the Lagrangian perturbation simulations up to the second order. We find that the analytic calculations are in a good agreement with the LPT simulations, but when compared to full N-body simulations, we find that while one loop calculations improve upon the Zel'dovich approximation in the power spectrum, they still significantly lack power. As found previously in the correlation function one loop CLPT improves slightly against Zel'dovich above 30Mpc/h, but is actually worse than Zel'dovich below that. We investigate the deficiencies of the CLPT approach and argue that main problem of CLPT is its inability to trap particles inside dark matter halos, which leads to an overestimate of the small scale power of the displacement field and to an underestimate of the small scale power from one halo term effects. We model this using the displacement field damped at a nonlinear scale (CLPTs). To explore this in more detail we decompose the power spectrum and correlation function into three additive components: Zel'dovich, residual BAO wiggle, and residual broad band. One loop CLPT predicts small modifications to BAO wiggles that are enhanced in CLPTs, with up to 5\% corrections to correlation function around BAO scale.

astro-ph.CO↗

A joint analysis of Planck and BICEP2 B modes including dust polarization uncertainty

We analyze BICEP2 and Planck data using a model that includes CMB lensing, gravity waves, and polarized dust. Planck dust polarization maps have highlighted the difficulty of estimating the dust polarization in low intensity regions, suggesting that the polarization fractions have considerable uncertainties and may be significantly higher than previous predictions. In this paper, we start by assuming nothing about the dust polarization except for the power spectrum shape, which we take to be $C_{l}^{BB} \propto l^{-2.42}$. The resulting joint BICEP2+Planck analysis favors solutions without gravity waves, and the upper limit on the tensor-to-scalar ratio is $r<0.11$, a slight improvement relative to the Planck analysis alone which gives $r<0.13$ (95% c.l.). The estimated amplitude of the dust polarization power spectrum agrees with expectations for this field based on both HI column density and Planck polarization measurements at 353 GHz in the BICEP2 field. Including the latter constraint in our analysis improves the limit further to $r < 0.09$, placing strong constraints on inflation (e.g., models with $r>0.14$ are excluded with 99.5% confidence). We address the cross-correlation analysis of BICEP2 at 150 GHz with BICEP1 at 100 GHz as a test of foreground contamination. We find that the null hypothesis of dust and lensing with $r=0$ gives $Δχ^2<2$ relative to the hypothesis of no dust, so the frequency analysis does not strongly favor either model over the other. We also discuss how more accurate dust polarization maps may improve our constraints. If the dust polarization is measured perfectly, the limit can reach $r<0.05$, but this degrades quickly to almost no improvement if the dust calibration error is 20% or larger or if the dust maps are not processed through the BICEP2 pipeline, inducing sampling variance noise. (Abridged.)

astro-ph.CO↗