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Xingyu Ren

Publications and source records attributed to Xingyu Ren.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

AgonAlpha: Autonomous Alpha Discovery via Prompt Economy and Scalable Agentic Search

Language models can propose many plausible trading factors, but an autonomous research system must also allocate its evaluation budget, verify its own evidence, and preserve how each candidate was produced. We present AgonAlpha, an architecture that searches over frozen research artifacts---hypotheses, executable expressions, platform evidence, rationales, and review status---rather than formulas alone. To our knowledge, AgonAlpha is the first alpha-mining system to combine verified artifact search, a fresh-context adversarial reviewer with re-execution and veto authority, and pending-aware parallel budget allocation, together with a complete public evidence trail. Independent deployments on WorldQuant BRAIN produced SPECTACULAR-grade alphas across five users and six model backends, with Fitness reaching 9.50 and Sharpe reaching 3.48, while retaining prompt-to-expression provenance for every submission.

cs.AI

Understanding Sparse Attention Selectivity in Long-Context Foundation Models via Counterfactual Evaluation

Sparse attention is widely deployed in long-context serving stacks, yet no framework audits how discarding blocks changes the influence of specific content on model output. We first establish that the phenomenon is real and causal: Block Sparse Flash Attention (BSFA) route replay across four architectures changes output decisions in 13 of 16 cells, with zero identity-replay label flips. We then introduce a dense-calibrated counterfactual audit using matched probe cards---Gold (carrying the correct answer label), Poison (carrying a target wrong label), and Benign (filler only)---under six-layout position symmetry, isolating the sparsification-specific effect. Two patterns compete. Signal concentration: the selector preserves Gold and Poison blocks far above filler-matched Benign blocks (G$\approx$P$\gg$B across all model--task pairs). Integration loss: discarding blocks severs cross-block attention---confirmed by an ablation where isolating the probe block collapses its influence from 4.48 logits to zero. Compression ratio governs the balance: a full sweep from mild ($c=0.25$) to aggressive ($c=0.75$) compression across four model--task pairs reveals that three of four cells move toward stronger sparse amplification at higher compression, with two exhibiting sign reversals. Three independent arms---BSFA route replay, controlled block-top-$k$, and KV-cache eviction---converge: sparsification changes content influence in ways aggregate accuracy cannot detect. We provide an open measurement framework deployable on any model exposing block identities.

cs.CL

Effective Parameters, Real Behavior: Renormalization for Robotics -- From Infinite Electron Mass to Sim-to-Real Gap

Bridging the sim-to-real gap is a central problem in robotics, and the prevailing approach is to build increasingly accurate simulators. Here, we propose another approach based on renormalization: using effective, resolution-dependent parameters to absorb details omitted by the simulator and reproduce real behavior. These parameters may differ from measured physical values because they compensate for what the simulator leaves out. We demonstrate this mechanism analytically for proportional--derivative (PD) control at finite simulation frequency, where proportional feedback changes the effective derivative gain and derivative feedback changes the effective inertia. We then interpret dynamic rope manipulation and underwater swimming through the same perspective. Finally, we present a practical procedure for choosing observables, identifying omitted physics, and determining effective parameters. Renormalization offers robotics a complementary path across the sim-to-real gap: effective parameters, real behavior.

cs.RO

Conditional Leibniz Derivative Estimation with an Application to American Call Min-Options

Leibniz derivative estimation is a Monte Carlo technique for estimating derivatives of a discontinuous sample performance in stochastic models with respect to parameters of interest. By combining the push-out likelihood ratio (LR) method with Leibniz integral rules, it generalizes a broad class of existing LR-based derivative estimators. However, as an LR-based method, its variance is often higher than that of perturbation analysis-based methods and may grow linearly with the dimension of the stochastic input whose distribution depends on the parameter. In this paper, we propose a recursive conditioning approach and combine it with the Leibniz derivative estimation framework. The resulting conditional Leibniz estimator does not involve LR terms and therefore is not subject to variance growth with the input dimension. It also has a simple form and is easy to implement. We apply the method to an American call min-option model, and simulation results show its effectiveness and low-variance performance.

stat.ME

RouterVLA: Budgeted Commissioning and Expert Onboarding for Growing VLA Pools

Robotic teams often maintain several vision-language-action policies but still deploy one global winner. We study two recurring decisions: which expert to deploy for a new condition and which candidate to add to the pool. RouterVLA combines a split-clean prior and outcome-disjoint probes with onboarding that credits only failures the incumbent pool cannot handle. Under an exactly cost-matched probe budget, it reaches 60.53\% held-out success, a $+1.64\pp$ gain over a semantic shortlist. Both criteria independently converge on the same five experts, confirming that the candidates best positioned to cover the base pool's blind spots are also broadly capable.

cs.RO

Agon: An Autonomous Large-Scale Omnidisciplinary Research System Built on Prompt Economy

Large language models are making research production scalable, shifting the bottleneck from producing artifacts to judging claims. We present \textsc{Agon}, a research orchestrator that validates what can be checked inside the workflow and leaves the remaining judgments to human scientists. \textsc{Agon} is built on six design principles: Prompt Economy, Future-Facing, Minimal Prompts, OmniDisciplinary, Massive Parallelism, and Zero-Code. We ran \textsc{Agon} across domains for 444 iterations of Prompt Economy loops, using only small starting topics and no human-written experimental code. These deployments demonstrate scalability while exposing new classes of failure. We organize these failures into a taxonomy along severity, fixability, visibility, and capability locus. The taxonomy separates failures the loops can see and fix from those that require human judgment. Together, these results show that \textsc{Agon} is pushing research toward a new paradigm: machine scales, human steers.

cs.SE

PerspectiveGap: A Benchmark for Multi-Agent Orchestration Prompting

Real-world LLM applications are moving beyond single-agent workflows toward orchestrated multi-agent systems, yet current models still struggle to determine what each sub-agent needs to know. To measure this, we introduce PerspectiveGap, a benchmark for evaluating LLMs' ability to compose orchestration prompts for multi-agent systems. PerspectiveGap contains 110 scenarios, each evaluated through two distractor-mixed task formats: role-fragment assignment and free-form prompt writing. These scenarios are organized into 10 topologies, which are distilled from the authors' real-world engineering practice and framed by the Prompt Economy principle: building loop-centered orchestrations that maximize utility with minimal role and engineering overhead. In experiments with 33 commercial models from 10 companies, GPT-5.5 substantially outperforms all competitors, whereas Opus 4.8 shows a notable weakness in orchestration prompting despite its strong coding performance. Nevertheless, PerspectiveGap remains challenging: the evaluated models achieve an average combined pass rate of only 17.2\% (GPT-5.5 62.0\%) and an average overall leakage rate of 217.9\% (a per-scenario information leak-event count, not a proportion; GPT-5.5 49.1\%). These findings suggest that multi-agent orchestration prompting is a distinct and under-evaluated capability, and PerspectiveGap provides a foundation for measuring and improving it systematically.

cs.CL

Discovering Physical Directions in Weight Space: Composing Neural PDE Experts

Recent advances in neural operators have made partial differential equation (PDE) surrogate modeling increasingly scalable and transferable through large-scale pretraining and in-context adaptation. However, after a shared operator is fine-tuned to multiple regimes within a continuous physical family, it remains unclear whether the resulting weight-space updates merely form isolated regime experts or reveal reusable physical structure. Starting from a shared family anchor, we fine-tune low- and high-regime endpoint experts and show that their updates can be separated into a family-shared adaptation and a direction aligned with the underlying physical parameter. This separation reinterprets endpoint experts as finite-difference probes of a local physical direction in weight space, explaining why static averaging can interpolate between regimes but attenuates endpoint-specific physics. Building on this perspective, we propose Calibration-Conditioned Merge (CCM), a post-hoc coordinate readout method for composing neural PDE experts along this physical direction. Given physical metadata, a calibrated coordinate mapping, or a short observed rollout prefix, CCM infers the target composition coordinate and deploys a single merged checkpoint for the remaining rollout. We evaluate CCM on the reaction--diffusion system, viscosity-parameterized two-dimensional Navier--Stokes equations, and radial dam-break dynamics. Across these benchmarks, CCM achieves its strongest gains in extrapolative regimes, reducing out-of-distribution rollout error relative to the family anchor by 54.2%, 42.8%, and 13.8%, respectively. Further experiments across FNO scales, a DPOT-style backbone, and ablations confirm that endpoint fine-tuning is not arbitrary checkpoint drift, but reveals a calibratable physical direction for training-free transfer across PDE regimes.

cs.LG

PDEAgent-Bench: A Multi-Metric, Multi-Library Benchmark for PDE Solver Generation

PDE-to-solver code generation aims to automatically synthesize executable numerical solvers from partial differential equation (PDE) specifications. This task requires not only understanding the mathematical structure of PDEs, but also selecting appropriate discretization schemes and solver configurations, and correctly implementing the resulting formulations in finite-element method (FEM) libraries. Existing code generation benchmarks mainly evaluate syntactic correctness, or success on predefined test cases. To our knowledge, there is currently no publicly available benchmark specifically for PDE-to-solver code generation, and general-purpose code benchmarks do not fully capture the unique challenges of numerical PDE solution, such as ensuring solver accuracy, efficiency, and compatibility with professional FEM libraries. We introduce PDEAgent-Bench, to the best of our knowledge, the first multi-metric, multi-library benchmark for PDE-to-solver code generation. PDEAgent-Bench contains 645 instances across 6 mathematical categories and 11 PDE families, with common FEM libraries for DOLFINx, Firedrake, and deal.II. Each instance provides an agent-facing problem specification, a reference solution on a prescribed evaluation grid, and case-specific accuracy and runtime targets. PDEAgent-Bench adopts a staged evaluation framework in which generated solvers must sequentially pass executability, numerical accuracy, and computational efficiency checks. Experiments with representative LLMs and code agents show that models can often produce runnable code, but their pass rate drops substantially once accuracy and efficiency requirements are enforced. These results indicate that current agents remain limited in producing numerically reliable and efficient PDE solvers, and that PDEAgent-Bench provides a reproducible testbed grounded in the practical requirements of numerical PDE solving.

cs.AI

Stochastic Control for Organ Donations: A Review

We review the literature on individual patient organ acceptance decision making by presenting a Markov Decision Process (MDP) model to formulate the organ acceptance decision process as a stochastic control problem. Under the umbrella of the MDP framework, we classify and summarize the major research streams and contributions. In particular, we focus on control limit-type policies, which are shown to be optimal under certain conditions and easy to implement in practice. Finally, we briefly discuss open problems and directions for future research.

eess.SY

Sensitivity analysis for stopping criteria with application to organ transplantations

We consider a stopping problem and its application to the decision-making process regarding the optimal timing of organ transplantation for individual patients. At each decision period, the patient state is inspected and a decision is made whether to transplant. If the organ is transplanted, the process terminates; otherwise, the process continues until a transplant happens or the patient dies. Under suitable conditions, we show that there exists a control limit optimal policy. We propose a smoothed perturbation analysis (SPA) estimator for the gradient of the total expected discounted reward with respect to the control limit. Moreover, we show that the SPA estimator is asymptotically unbiased.

eess.SY

Decoupling Strategy and Execution in Task-Focused Dialogue via Goal-Oriented Preference Optimization

Large language models show potential in task-oriented dialogue systems, yet existing training methods often rely on token-level likelihood or preference optimization, which poorly align with long-horizon task success. To address this, we propose Goal-Oriented Preference Optimization (GOPO), a hierarchical reinforcement learning framework that decouples strategy planning from response generation via an Expert Agent and a Customer Service Agent. The Expert Agent optimizes multi-turn goal preferences at the dialogue-trajectory level, while the Customer Service Agent generates responses strictly aligned with the selected strategy. We evaluate GOPO on public benchmarks and e-commerce customer service datasets, and introduce Task-focused Sequential Engagement (TSE), a sequence-level metric derived from real e-commerce interaction data. On the Mgshop dataset, GOPO improves TSE by 7.7% and 10.3% over PPO and Memento, with consistent gains in sequence-level reward and generation quality. Furthermore, a 14B model trained with GOPO achieves 2.7% and 1.5% higher TSE than Qwen-235B and GPT-5.2, respectively. Ablation studies confirm the Expert Agent's critical role in long-horizon optimization. GOPO demonstrates consistent improvements across other datasets as well. This work establishes a new paradigm for task-oriented dialogue systems in commercial scenarios, with code and datasets to be made public.

cs.CL

An Efficient Graph-Transformer Operator for Learning Physical Dynamics with Manifolds Embedding

Accurate and efficient physical simulations are essential in science and engineering, yet traditional numerical solvers face significant challenges in computational cost when handling simulations across dynamic scenarios involving complex geometries, varying boundary/initial conditions, and diverse physical parameters. While deep learning offers promising alternatives, existing methods often struggle with flexibility and generalization, particularly on unstructured meshes, which significantly limits their practical applicability. To address these challenges, we propose PhysGTO, an efficient Graph-Transformer Operator for learning physical dynamics through explicit manifold embeddings in both physical and latent spaces. In the physical space, the proposed Unified Graph Embedding module aligns node-level conditions and constructs sparse yet structure-preserving graph connectivity to process heterogeneous inputs. In the latent space, PhysGTO integrates a lightweight flux-oriented message-passing scheme with projection-inspired attention to capture local and global dependencies, facilitating multilevel interactions among complex physical correlations. This design ensures linear complexity relative to the number of mesh points, reducing both the number of trainable parameters and computational costs in terms of floating-point operations (FLOPs), and thereby allowing efficient inference in real-time applications. We introduce a comprehensive benchmark spanning eleven datasets, covering problems with unstructured meshes, transient flow dynamics, and large-scale 3D geometries. PhysGTO consistently achieves state-of-the-art accuracy while significantly reducing computational costs, demonstrating superior flexibility, scalability, and generalization in a wide range of simulation tasks.

cs.CE

Correcting Mean Bias in Text Embeddings: A Refined Renormalization with Training-Free Improvements on MMTEB

We find that current sentence-embedding models produce outputs with a consistent bias: every embedding $e$ decomposes as $\tilde e + \mu$, where the mean $\mu$ is near-identical across all sentences. We study two training-free corrections -- subtracting $\mu$ directly (R1), or projecting each embedding off the mean direction (R2) -- and show, via a first-order error-propagation argument, that R2 cancels the parallel component of mean-estimation error that R1 retains. Across 38 models on the Massive Multilingual Text Embedding Benchmark (MMTEB)~\citep{MMTEB}, R2 yields consistent classification gains (paired $\bar t = 3.31$, 29 of 38 models with $t>2$, zero losses), and the per-model mean norm $\Vert\mu\Vert$ correlates with which models benefit most. A nine-method dose-response ablation on five models further reveals that mild single-direction removal helps, but full principal component analysis (PCA) whitening hurts every model we test, and that R2 and All-but-the-Top with depth one agree within $0.18$ pp downstream despite weak geometric alignment between $\hat\mu$ and the centered top principal component.

cs.CL

On Structural Properties of Risk-Averse Optimal Stopping Problems

We establish structural properties of optimal stopping problems under time-consistent dynamic (coherent) risk measures, focusing on value function monotonicity and the existence of control limit (threshold) optimal policies. While such results are well developed for risk-neutral (expected-value) models, they remain underexplored in risk-averse settings. Coherent risk measures typically lack the tower property and are subadditive rather than additive, complicating structural analysis. We show that value function monotonicity mirrors the risk-neutral case. Moreover, if the risk envelope associated with each coherent risk measure admits a minimal element, the risk-averse optimal stopping problem reduces to an equivalent risk-neutral formulation. We also develop a general procedure for identifying control limit optimal policies and use it to derive practical, verifiable conditions on the risk measures and MDP structure that guarantee their existence. We illustrate the theory and verify these conditions through optimal stopping problems arising in operations, marketing, and finance.

eess.SY

MoRE: 3D Visual Geometry Reconstruction Meets Mixture-of-Experts

Recent advances in language and vision have demonstrated that scaling up model capacity consistently improves performance across diverse tasks. In 3D visual geometry reconstruction, large-scale training has likewise proven effective for learning versatile representations. However, further scaling of 3D models is challenging due to the complexity of geometric supervision and the diversity of 3D data. To overcome these limitations, we propose MoRE, a dense 3D visual foundation model based on a Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) architecture that dynamically routes features to task-specific experts, allowing them to specialize in complementary data aspects and enhance both scalability and adaptability. Aiming to improve robustness under real-world conditions, MoRE incorporates a confidence-based depth refinement module that stabilizes and refines geometric estimation. In addition, it integrates dense semantic features with globally aligned 3D backbone representations for high-fidelity surface normal prediction. MoRE is further optimized with tailored loss functions to ensure robust learning across diverse inputs and multiple geometric tasks. Extensive experiments demonstrate that MoRE achieves state-of-the-art performance across multiple benchmarks and supports effective downstream applications without extra computation.

cs.CV

Stochastic Derivative Estimation for Discontinuous Sample Performances: A Leibniz Integration Perspective

We develop a novel stochastic derivative estimation framework for sample performance functions that are discontinuous in the parameter of interest, based on the multidimensional Leibniz integral rule. When discontinuities arise from indicator functions, we embed the indicator functions into the sample space, yielding a continuous performance function over a parameter-dependent domain. Applying the Leibniz integral rule in this case produces a single-run, unbiased derivative estimator. For general discontinuous functions, we apply a change of variables to shift parameter dependence into the sample space and the underlying probability measure. Applying the Leibniz integral rule leads to two terms: a standard likelihood ratio (LR) term from differentiating the underlying probability measure and a surface integral from differentiating the boundary of the domain. Evaluating the surface integral may require simulating multiple sample paths. Our proposed Leibniz integration framework generalizes the generalized LR (GLR) method and provides intuition as to when the surface integral vanishes, thereby enabling single-run, easily implementable estimators. Numerical experiments demonstrate the effectiveness and robustness of our methods.

stat.ME

Dens3R: A Foundation Model for 3D Geometry Prediction

Recent advances in dense 3D reconstruction have led to significant progress, yet achieving accurate unified geometric prediction remains a major challenge. Most existing methods are limited to predicting a single geometry quantity from input images. However, geometric quantities such as depth, surface normals, and point maps are inherently correlated, and estimating them in isolation often fails to ensure consistency, thereby limiting both accuracy and practical applicability. This motivates us to explore a unified framework that explicitly models the structural coupling among different geometric properties to enable joint regression. In this paper, we present Dens3R, a 3D foundation model designed for joint geometric dense prediction and adaptable to a wide range of downstream tasks. Dens3R adopts a two-stage training framework to progressively build a pointmap representation that is both generalizable and intrinsically invariant. Specifically, we design a lightweight shared encoder-decoder backbone and introduce position-interpolated rotary positional encoding to maintain expressive power while enhancing robustness to high-resolution inputs. By integrating image-pair matching features with intrinsic invariance modeling, Dens3R accurately regresses multiple geometric quantities such as surface normals and depth, achieving consistent geometry perception from single-view to multi-view inputs. Additionally, we propose a post-processing pipeline that supports geometrically consistent multi-view inference. Extensive experiments demonstrate the superior performance of Dens3R across various dense 3D prediction tasks and highlight its potential for broader applications.

cs.CV