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Yifan Hu

Publications and source records attributed to Yifan Hu.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources
arXiv2026

FinMamba: Market-Aware Graph Enhanced Multi-Level Mamba for Stock Movement Prediction

Recently, combining stock features with inter-stock correlations has become a common and effective approach for stock movement prediction. However, financial data presents significant challenges due to its low signal-to-noise ratio and the dynamic complexity of the market, which give rise to two key limitations in existing methods. First, the relationships between stocks are highly influenced by multifaceted factors including macroeconomic market dynamics, and current models fail to adaptively capture these evolving interactions under specific market conditions. Second, for the accuracy and timeliness required by real-world trading, existing financial data mining methods struggle to extract beneficial pattern-oriented dependencies from long historical data while maintaining high efficiency and low memory consumption. To address the limitations, we propose FinMamba, a Mamba-GNN-based framework for market-aware and multi-level hybrid stock movement prediction. Specifically, we devise a dynamic graph to learn the changing representations of inter-stock relationships by integrating a pruning module that adapts to market trends. Afterward, with a selective mechanism, the multi-level Mamba discards irrelevant information and resets states to skillfully recall historical patterns across multiple time scales with linear time costs, which are then jointly optimized for reliable prediction. Extensive experiments on U.S. and Chinese stock markets demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed FinMamba, achieving state-of-the-art prediction accuracy and trading profitability, while maintaining low computational complexity. The code is available at https://github.com/TROUBADOUR000/FinMamba.

cs.CE↗
arXiv2026

FineCombo-TTS: Collaborative and Precise Controllable Speech Synthesis Using Text Descriptions and Reference Speech

Controllable text-to-speech (TTS) has become a key research focus. However, methods based on either reference speech or text descriptions lack flexibility and precise control, and recent joint approaches remain loosely coupled, with speech modeling timbre and text controlling global style. We propose FineCombo-TTS, a unified framework for speech synthesis grounded in reference speech and guided by text descriptions, enabling flexible and precise control over acoustic attributes. Instead of explicit attribute disentanglement, we learn a unified acoustic representation and introduce a Conditional Flow Matching (CFM)-based Speech Variance Predictor to model fine-grained reference-to-target transformations guided by text descriptions. To support relative attribute control, we construct FineEdit, a structured paired dataset that explicitly encodes source-to-target attribute variations. Experiments demonstrate that our approach achieves flexible, precise, and expressive controllable TTS.

cs.SD↗
arXiv2026

Falcon-X: A Time Series Foundation Model for Heterogeneous Multivariate Modeling

Time series foundation models (TSFMs) are transforming the forecasting paradigm through large-scale cross-domain pretraining. However, most existing TSFMs remain univariate, and recent efforts to enable cross-variate modeling still operate directly within the raw variate space. This design introduces fundamental limitations in semantic alignment and relational expressivity. Specifically, raw-space group mixing lacks a dedicated mechanism to align heterogeneous physical quantities, while standard non-negative attention fails to capture the complex synergistic and antagonistic interactions ubiquitous in real-world systems. To address these challenges, we propose Falcon-X, decouples variates from the raw space and maps them into a unified latent prototype space. Falcon-X employs a Unified Prototype Diff-Attention mechanism that explicitly evaluates both positive and negative semantic affinities to explicitly align heterogeneous variates. Cross-variate interactions are then efficiently performed within this shared space via Latent Entity Attention, naturally facilitating zero-shot structural transfer. Finally, a Variate Reassembly Router robustly reconstructs variate-specific trajectories via a request-and-dispatch mechanism. Extensive evaluations on the GIFT-Eval and fev-bench benchmarks demonstrate that Falcon-X achieves excellent forecasting performance, offering a principled and scalable paradigm for complex multivariate environments. Falcon-X is publicly released to support future research.

cs.LG↗
arXiv2026

Forecasting as Rendering: A 2D Gaussian Splatting Framework for Time Series Forecasting

Time series forecasting remains a challenging problem due to the intricate entanglement of intra-period fluctuations and inter-period trends. While recent advances have attempted to reshape 1D sequences into 2D period-phase representations, they suffer from two principal limitations. Firstly, treating reshaped tensors as static images results in a topological mismatch, as standard spatial operators sever chronological continuity at grid boundaries. Secondly, relying on uniform fixed-size representations allocates modeling capacity inefficiently and fails to provide the adaptive resolution required for compressible, non-stationary temporal patterns. To address these limitations, we introduce TimeGS, a novel framework that fundamentally shifts the forecasting paradigm from regression to 2D generative rendering. By reconceptualizing the future sequence as a latent 2D temporal surface, TimeGS utilizes the inherent anisotropy of Gaussian kernels to adaptively model complex variations with flexible geometric alignment. To realize this, we introduce a Multi-Basis Gaussian Kernel Generation (MB-GKG) block that synthesizes kernels from a fixed dictionary to stabilize optimization, and a Multi-Period Chronologically Continuous Rasterization (MP-CCR) block that enforces strict temporal continuity across periodic boundaries. Comprehensive experiments on standard benchmark datasets demonstrate that TimeGS attains state-of-the-art or competitive performance. The code is at https://github.com/yixinwang1/TimeGS.

cs.LG↗
arXiv2026

FinTSB: A Comprehensive and Practical Benchmark for Financial Time Series Forecasting

Financial time series (FinTS) record the behavior of human-brain-augmented decision-making, capturing valuable historical information that can be leveraged for profitable investment strategies. Not surprisingly, this area has attracted considerable attention from researchers, who have proposed a wide range of methods based on various backbones. However, the evaluation of the area often exhibits three systemic limitations: 1. Failure to account for the full spectrum of stock movement patterns observed in dynamic financial markets. (Diversity Gap), 2. The absence of unified assessment protocols undermines the validity of cross-study performance comparisons. (Standardization Deficit), and 3. Neglect of critical market structure factors, resulting in inflated performance metrics that lack practical applicability. (Real-World Mismatch). Addressing these limitations, we propose FinTSB, a comprehensive and practical benchmark for financial time series forecasting (FinTSF). To increase the variety, we categorize movement patterns into four specific parts, tokenize and pre-process the data, and assess the data quality based on some sequence characteristics. To eliminate biases due to different evaluation settings, we standardize the metrics across three dimensions and build a user-friendly, lightweight pipeline incorporating methods from various backbones. To accurately simulate real-world trading scenarios and facilitate practical implementation, we extensively model various regulatory constraints, including transaction fees, among others. Finally, we conduct extensive experiments on FinTSB, highlighting key insights to guide model selection under varying market conditions. Overall, FinTSB provides researchers with a novel and comprehensive platform for improving and evaluating FinTSF methods. The code is available at https://github.com/TongjiFinLab/FinTSB.

cs.CE↗
arXiv2026

Robust Markov Decision Processes on Continuous State Spaces

We study infinite-horizon robust Markov decision processes (MDPs) on continuous state spaces with structured rectangular ambiguity set. The proposed ambiguity set falls within the convex hull of unknown generating kernels. We utilize the dynamic formulation of the corresponding robust MDPs, and subsequently introduce a stochastic first-order method for robust policy evaluation. We establish its high probability convergence to the robust value function, which in turn leads to an $\widetilde{\mathcal O}(1/ε^2)$ sample complexity. This high probability accuracy certificate is then used in an approximate policy iteration method that finds an $ε$-optimal policy with $\widetilde{\mathcal O}(1/ε^2)$ samples. The obtained sample complexities for both robust policy evaluation and optimization appear to be new for robust MDPs with continuous state spaces. Of independent interest, the proposed method is also directly applicable to zero-sum Markov games, which seems to strictly improve the existing sample complexities for continuous state spaces.

math.OC↗
arXiv2026

ISTASTrack: Bridging ANN and SNN via ISTA Adapter for RGB-Event Tracking

RGB-Event tracking has become a promising trend in visual object tracking to leverage the complementary strengths of both RGB images and dynamic spike events for improved performance. However, existing artificial neural networks (ANNs) struggle to fully exploit the sparse and asynchronous nature of event streams. Recent efforts toward hybrid architectures combining ANNs and spiking neural networks (SNNs) have emerged as a promising solution in RGB-Event perception, yet effectively fusing features across heterogeneous paradigms remains a challenge. In this work, we propose ISTASTrack, the first transformer-based \textbf{A}NN-\textbf{S}NN hybrid \textbf{Track}er equipped with \textbf{ISTA} adapters for RGB-Event tracking. The two-branch model employs a vision transformer to extract spatial context from RGB inputs and a spiking transformer to capture spatio-temporal dynamics from event streams. To bridge the modality and paradigm gap between ANN and SNN features, we systematically design a model-based ISTA adapter for bidirectional feature interaction between the two branches, derived from sparse representation theory by unfolding the iterative shrinkage thresholding algorithm. Additionally, we incorporate a temporal downsampling attention module within the adapter to align multi-step SNN features with single-step ANN features in the latent space, improving temporal fusion. Experimental results on RGB-Event tracking benchmarks, such as FE240hz, VisEvent, COESOT, and FELT, have demonstrated that ISTASTrack achieves state-of-the-art performance while maintaining high energy efficiency, highlighting the effectiveness and practicality of hybrid ANN-SNN designs for robust visual tracking. The code is publicly available at https://github.com/lsying009/ISTASTrack.git.

cs.CV↗
arXiv2026

From Observations to States: Latent Time Series Forecasting

Deep learning has achieved strong performance in Time Series Forecasting (TSF). However, we identify a critical representation paradox, termed Latent Chaos: models with accurate predictions often learn latent representations that are temporally disordered and lack continuity. We attribute this to the dominant observation-space forecasting paradigm, where minimizing point-wise errors on noisy and partially observed data encourages shortcut solutions instead of the recovery of underlying system dynamics. To address this, we propose Latent Time Series Forecasting (LatentTSF), a paradigm that shifts TSF from observation regression to latent state prediction. LatentTSF employs an AutoEncoder to project each observation into a learned latent state space and performs forecasting entirely in this space, allowing the model to focus on learning structured temporal dynamics. We provide an information-theoretic analysis showing that the latent objectives can be motivated as surrogates for maximizing mutual information between predicted and ground-truth latent states and future observations. Extensive experiments on widely-used benchmarks confirm that LatentTSF effectively mitigates latent chaos, yielding consistent improvements in both forecasting accuracy and representation quality. Our code is available at https://github.com/Muyiiiii/LatentTSF.

cs.LG↗
arXiv2026

Tutti: Making SSD-Backed KV Cache Practical for Long-Context LLM Serving

LLM serving relies on prefix caching to improve inference performance. As growing contexts push key-value (KV) cache footprint far beyond GPU HBM and CPU DRAM capacity, KV cache is increasingly offloaded to NVMe SSDs. Unfortunately, restoring KV cache from SSDs suffers from poor I/O performance and incurs significant GPU stalls. This is primarily because the fragmented GPU memory layout results in a massive number of tiny random I/Os, rendering the low-parallelism CPU a severe bottleneck even with GPU Direct Storage (GDS), which still relies on CPU intervention to initiate each I/O and thus remains CPU-centric. This paper presents Tutti, an efficient SSD-backed KV caching solution that eliminates CPU intervention from the critical data and I/O control paths between HBM and SSDs. At the core of Tutti is a GPU-centric KV cache object store, in which the CPU is only responsible for asynchronously loading I/O kernels once per layer to the GPU. Tutti saturates NVMe SSD bandwidth and reduces GPU stalls to near zero through the following designs: (i) we provide a GPU-native object abstraction that enables bulk KV cache transfers and management; (ii) we re-architect the GPU storage stack by introducing GPU io_uring to support asynchronous GPU direct object I/O; and (iii) we propose slack-aware I/O scheduling to avoid GPU resource contention. We have implemented Tutti and integrated it to vLLM. Extensive evaluation shows that compared to the state-of-the-art GDS-enabled, SSD-backed LMCache, Tutti reduces TTFT by 78.3% under strict SLO constraints and improves the achievable request rate by 2x. The serving cost is reduced by 27%. Tutti achieves nearly the same inference performance as DRAM-backed LMCache, while providing almost infinite capacity.

cs.OS↗
arXiv2026

EmoTransCap: Dataset and Pipeline for Emotion Transition-Aware Speech Captioning in Discourses

Emotion perception and adaptive expression are fundamental capabilities in human-agent interaction. While recent advances in speech emotion captioning (SEC) have improved fine-grained emotional modeling, existing systems remain limited to static, single-emotion characterization within isolated sentences, neglecting dynamic emotional transitions at the discourse level. To address this gap, we propose Emotion Transition-Aware Speech Captioning (EmoTransCap), a paradigm that integrates temporal emotion dynamics with discourse-level speech description. To construct a dataset rich in emotion transitions while enabling scalable expansion, we design an automated pipeline for dataset creation. This is the first large-scale dataset explicitly designed to capture discourse-level emotion transitions. To generate semantically rich descriptions, we incorporate acoustic attributes and temporal cues from discourse-level speech. Our Multi-Task Emotion Transition Recognition (MTETR) model performs joint emotion transition detection and diarization. Leveraging the semantic analysis capabilities of LLMs, we produce two annotation versions: descriptive and instruction-oriented. These data and annotations offer a valuable resource for advancing emotion perception and emotional expressiveness. The dataset enables speech captions that capture emotional transitions, facilitating temporal-dynamic and fine-grained emotion understanding. We also introduce a controllable, transition-aware emotional speech synthesis system at the discourse level, enhancing anthropomorphic emotional expressiveness and supporting emotionally intelligent conversational agents.

cs.CL↗
arXiv2026

Transferable Physical-World Adversarial Patches Against Pedestrian Detection Models

Physical adversarial patch attacks critically threaten pedestrian detection, causing surveillance and autonomous driving systems to miss pedestrians and creating severe safety risks. Despite their effectiveness in controlled settings, existing physical attacks face two major limitations in practice: they lack systematic disruption of the multi-stage decision pipeline, enabling residual modules to offset perturbations, and they fail to model complex physical variations, leading to poor robustness. To overcome these limitations, we propose a novel pedestrian adversarial patch generation method that combines multi-stage collaborative attacks with robustness enhancement under physical diversity, called TriPatch. Specifically, we design a triplet loss consisting of detection confidence suppression, bounding-box offset amplification, and non-maximum suppression (NMS) disruption, which jointly act across different stages of the detection pipeline. In addition, we introduce an appearance consistency loss to constrain the color distribution of the patch, thereby improving its adaptability under diverse imaging conditions, and incorporate data augmentation to further enhance robustness against complex physical perturbations. Extensive experiments demonstrate that TriPatch achieves a higher attack success rate across multiple detector models compared to existing approaches.

cs.CV↗
arXiv2026

NameBERT: Scaling Name-Based Nationality Classification with LLM-Augmented Open Academic Data

Inferring nationality from personal names is a critical capability for equity and bias monitoring, personalization, and a valuable tool in biomedical and sociological research. However, existing name-based nationality classifiers are typically trained on relatively small or source-specific labeled datasets, which can introduce coverage gaps and limit performance for underrepresented countries. While large language models (LLMs) demonstrate strong zero-shot performance for name-based nationality prediction, their computational cost and latency make them impractical for real-time, large-scale deployment. In this work, we created a large-scale name-nationality dataset from the Open Academic Graph (OAG) and introduce a framework that leverages LLMs as dataset enrichers rather than inference engines. We augment low-resource countries with LLM-generated names and evaluate on real and synthetic-tail test sets. We find that augmentation produces large gains when evaluation includes synthetic tail names and still offers a modest lift on tail-country metrics otherwise. Overall, NameBERT models achieve significantly higher accuracy than state-of-the-art baselines across both in- and out-of-domain tasks, while remaining efficient for large-scale inference compared to LLMs.

cs.CL↗
arXiv2026

Multistage Conditional Compositional Optimization

We introduce Multistage Conditional Compositional Optimization (MCCO) as a new paradigm for decision-making under uncertainty that combines aspects of multistage stochastic programming and conditional stochastic optimization. MCCO minimizes a nest of conditional expectations and nonlinear cost functions. It has numerous applications and arises, for example, in optimal stopping, linear-quadratic regulator problems, distributionally robust contextual bandits, as well as in problems involving dynamic risk measures. The naïve nested sampling approach for MCCO suffers from the curse of dimensionality familiar from scenario tree-based multistage stochastic programming, that is, its scenario complexity grows exponentially with the number of nests. We develop new multilevel Monte Carlo techniques for MCCO whose scenario complexity grows only polynomially with the desired accuracy.

math.OC↗
arXiv2026

TellWhisper: Tell Whisper Who Speaks When

Multi-speaker automatic speech recognition (MASR) aims to predict ''who spoke when and what'' from multi-speaker speech, a key technology for multi-party dialogue understanding. However, most existing approaches decouple temporal modeling and speaker modeling when addressing ''when'' and ''who'': some inject speaker cues before encoding (e.g., speaker masking), which can cause irreversible information loss; others fuse identity by mixing speaker posteriors after encoding, which may entangle acoustic content with speaker identity. This separation is brittle under rapid turn-taking and overlapping speech, often leading to degraded performance. To address these limitations, we propose TellWhisper, a unified framework that jointly models speaker identity and temporal within the speech encoder. Specifically, we design TS-RoPE, a time-speaker rotary positional encoding: time coordinates are derived from frame indices, while speaker coordinates are derived from speaker activity and pause cues. By applying region-specific rotation angles, the model explicitly captures per-speaker continuity, speaker-turn transitions, and state dynamics, enabling the attention mechanism to simultaneously attend to ''when'' and ''who''. Moreover, to estimate frame-level speaker activity, we develop Hyper-SD, which casts speaker classification in hyperbolic space to enhance inter-class separation and refine speaker-activity estimates. Extensive experiments demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach.

eess.AS↗
arXiv2026

Temporal Flattening in LLM-Generated Text: Comparing Human and LLM Writing Trajectories

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used in daily applications, from content generation to code writing, where each interaction treats the model as stateless, generating responses independently without memory. Yet human writing is inherently longitudinal: authors' styles and cognitive states evolve across months and years. This raises a central question: can LLMs reproduce such temporal structure across extended time periods? We construct and publicly release a longitudinal dataset of 412 human authors and 6,086 documents spanning 2012--2024 across three domains (academic abstracts, blogs, news) and compare them to trajectories generated by three representative LLMs under standard and history-conditioned generation settings. Using drift and variance-based metrics over semantic, lexical, and cognitive-emotional representations, we find temporal flattening in LLM-generated text. LLMs produce greater lexical diversity but exhibit substantially reduced semantic and cognitive-emotional drift relative to humans. These differences are highly predictive: temporal variability patterns alone achieve 94% accuracy and 98% ROC-AUC in distinguishing human from LLM trajectories. Our results demonstrate that temporal flattening persists regardless of whether LLMs generate independently or with access to incremental history, revealing a fundamental property of current deployment paradigms. This gap has direct implications for applications requiring authentic temporal structure, such as synthetic training data and longitudinal text modeling.

cs.CL↗
arXiv2026

Beauty in the Eye of AI: Aligning LLMs and Vision Models with Human Aesthetics in Network Visualization

Network visualization has traditionally relied on heuristic metrics, such as stress, under the assumption that optimizing them leads to aesthetic and informative layouts. However, no single metric consistently produces the most effective results. A data-driven alternative is to learn from human preferences, where annotators select their favored visualization among multiple layouts of the same graphs. These human-preference labels can then be used to train a generative model that approximates human aesthetic preferences. However, obtaining human labels at scale is costly and time-consuming. As a result, this generative approach has so far been tested only with machine-labeled data. In this paper, we explore the use of large language models (LLMs) and vision models (VMs) as proxies for human judgment. Through a carefully designed user study involving 27 participants, we curated a large set of human preference labels. We used this data both to better understand human preferences and to bootstrap LLM/VM labelers. We show that prompt engineering that combines few-shot examples and diverse input formats, such as image embeddings, significantly improves LLM-human alignment, and additional filtering by the confidence score of the LLM pushes the alignment to human-human levels. Furthermore, we demonstrate that carefully trained VMs can achieve VM-human alignment at a level comparable to that between human annotators. Our results suggest that AI can feasibly serve as a scalable proxy for human labelers.

cs.LG↗
arXiv2026

Bridging Past and Future: Distribution-Aware Alignment for Time Series Forecasting

Although contrastive and other representation-learning methods have long been explored in vision and NLP, their adoption in modern time series forecasters remains limited. We believe they hold strong promise for this domain. To unlock this potential, we explicitly align past and future representations, thereby bridging the distributional gap between input histories and future targets. To this end, we introduce TimeAlign, a lightweight, plug-and-play framework that establishes a new representation paradigm, distinct from contrastive learning, by aligning auxiliary features via a simple reconstruction task and feeding them back into any base forecaster. Extensive experiments across eight benchmarks verify its superior performance. Further studies indicate that the gains arise primarily from correcting frequency mismatches between historical inputs and future outputs. Additionally, we provide two theoretical justifications for how reconstruction improves forecasting generalization and how alignment increases the mutual information between learned representations and predicted targets. The code is available at https://github.com/TROUBADOUR000/TimeAlign.

cs.LG↗
arXiv2026

Landscape of Policy Optimization for Finite Horizon MDPs with General State and Action

Policy gradient methods are widely used in reinforcement learning. Yet, the nonconvexity of policy optimization poses significant challenges in understanding the global convergence of policy gradient methods. For a class of finite-horizon Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) with general state and action spaces, we identify a set of structural properties to establish a benign nonconvex landscape, the Polyak-Łojasiewicz-Kurdyka (PŁK) condition of the policy optimization. Leveraging the PŁK condition, policy gradient methods converge to the globally optimal policy with a non-asymptotic rate despite nonconvexity. Our results apply to various control and operations models, including entropy-regularized tabular MDPs, Linear Quadratic Regulator problems, and both stochastic inventory models and stochastic cash balance problems with strongly convex costs. In these models, stochastic policy gradient methods obtain an $ε$-optimal policy using a sample size of $\tilde{\mathcal{O}}(ε^{-1})$ and polynomial in terms of the planning horizon. To the best of our knowledge, we provide the first sample-complexity guarantees for multi-period inventory systems with Markov-modulated demand and for stochastic cash balance problems. We complement the theory with numerical experiments showing that policy gradient methods outperform several benchmark algorithms from the literature across these operations models.

math.OC↗