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Yuliya Mishura

Publications and source records attributed to Yuliya Mishura.

At least 73 records · Page 4Linked to original sources

On (signed) Takagi-Landsberg functions: $p^{\text{th}}$ variation, maximum, and modulus of continuity

We study a class $\mathfrak X^H$ of signed Takagi-Landsberg functions with Hurst parameter $H\in(0,1)$. We first show that the functions in $\mathfrak X^H$ admit a linear $p^{\text{th}}$ variation along the sequence of dyadic partitions of $[0,1]$, where $p=1/H$. The slope of the linear increase can be represented as the $p^{\text{th}}$ absolute moment of the infinite Bernoulli convolution with parameter $2^{H-1}$. The existence of a continuous $p^{\text{th}}$ variation enables the use of the functions in $\mathfrak X^H$ as test integrators for higher-order pathwise Itô calculus. Our next results concern the maximum, the maximizers, and the modulus of continuity of the classical Takagi-Landsberg function for all $0<H<1$. Then we identify the uniform maximum, the uniform maximal oscillation, and a uniform modulus of continuity for the class $\mathfrak X^H$.

math.PR↗

Gaussian self-similar random fields with distinct stationary properties of their rectangular increments

We describe two classes of Gaussian self-similar random fields: with strictly stationary rectangular increments and with mild stationary rectangular increments. We find explicit spectral and moving average representations for the fields with strictly stationary rectangular increments and characterize fields with mild stationary rectangular increments by the properties of covariance functions of their Lamperti transformations as well as in terms of their spectral densities. We establish that both classes contain not only fractional Brownian sheets and we provide corresponding examples. As a by-product, we obtain a new spectral representation for the fractional Brownian motion.

math.PR↗

An Exponential Cox-Ingersoll-Ross Process as Discounting Factor

We consider an economic agent (a household or an insurance company) modelling its surplus process by a deterministic process or by a Brownian motion with drift. The goal is to maximise the expected discounted spendings/dividend payments, given that the discounting factor is given by an exponential CIR process. In the deterministic case, we are able to find explicit expressions for the optimal strategy and the value function. For the Brownian motion case, we offer a method allowing to show that for a small volatility the optimal strategy is a constant-barrier strategy.

q-fin.MF↗

Replication of Wiener-transformable stochastic processes with application to financial markets with memory

We investigate Wiener-transformable markets, where the driving process is given by an adapted transformation of a Wiener process. This includes processes with long memory, like fractional Brownian motion and related processes, and, in general, Gaussian processes satisfying certain regularity conditions on their covariance functions. Our choice of markets is motivated by the well-known phenomena of the so-called `constant' and `variable depth' memory observed in real world price processes, for which fractional and multifractional models are the most adequate descriptions. Motivated by integral representation results in general Gaussian setting, we study the conditions under which random variables can be represented as pathwise integrals with respect to the driving process. From financial point of view, it means that we give the conditions of replication of contingent claims on such markets. As an application of our results, we consider the utility maximization problem in our specific setting. Note that the markets under consideration can be both arbitrage and arbitrage-free, and moreover, we give the representation results in terms of bounded strategies.

math.PR↗

Parameter estimation for Gaussian processes with application to the model with two independent fractional Brownian motions

The purpose of the article is twofold. Firstly, we review some recent results on the maximum likelihood estimation in the regression model of the form $X_t = θG(t) + B_t$, where $B$ is a Gaussian process, $G(t)$ is a known function, and $θ$ is an unknown drift parameter. The estimation techniques for the cases of discrete-time and continuous-time observations are presented. As examples, models with fractional Brownian motion, mixed fractional Brownian motion, and sub-fractional Brownian motion are considered. Secondly, we study in detail the model with two independent fractional Brownian motions and apply the general results mentioned above to this model.

math.PR↗

Optimization of small deviation for mixed fractional Brownian motion with trend

In this paper, we investigate two-sided bounds for the small ball probability of a mixed fractional Brownian motion with a general deterministic trend function, in terms of respective small ball probability of a mixed fractional Brownian motion without trend. To maximize the lower bound, we consider various ways to split the trend function between the components of the mixed fractional Brownian motion for the application of Girsanov theorem, and we show that the optimal split is the solution of a Fredholm integral equation. We find that the upper bound for the probability is also a function of this optimal split. The asymptotic behaviour of the probability as the ball becomes small is analyzed for zero trend function and for the particular choice of the upper limiting function.

math.PR↗

Fractional Cox--Ingersoll--Ross process with non-zero < >

In this paper we define the fractional Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process as $X_t:=Y_t^2\mathbf{1}_{\{t<\inf\{s>0:Y_s=0\}\}}$, where the process $Y=\{Y_t,t\ge0\}$ satisfies the SDE of the form $dY_t=\frac{1}{2}(\frac{k}{Y_t}-aY_t)dt+\fracσ{2}dB_t^H$, $\{B^H_t,t\ge0\}$ is a fractional Brownian motion with an arbitrary Hurst parameter $H\in(0,1)$. We prove that $X_t$ satisfies the stochastic differential equation of the form $dX_t=(k-aX_t)dt+σ\sqrt{X_t}\circ dB_t^H$, where the integral with respect to fractional Brownian motion is considered as the pathwise Stratonovich integral. We also show that for $k>0$, $H>1/2$ the process is strictly positive and never hits zero, so that actually $X_t=Y_t^2$. Finally, we prove that in the case of $H<1/2$ the probability of not hitting zero on any fixed finite interval by the fractional Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process tends to 1 as $k\rightarrow\infty$.

math.PR↗

Existence and uniqueness of mild solution to stochastic heat equation with white and fractional noises

We prove the existence and uniqueness of a mild solution for a class of non-autonomous parabolic mixed stochastic partial differential equations defined on a bounded open subset $D \subset \mathbb{R}^d$ and involving standard and fractional $L^2(D)$-valued Brownian motions. We assume that the coefficients are homogeneous, Lipschitz continuous and the coefficient at the fractional Brownian motion is an affine function.

math.PR↗

New and refined bounds for expected maxima of fractional Brownian motion

For the fractional Brownian motion $B^H$ with the Hurst parameter value $H$ in (0,1/2), we derive new upper and lower bounds for the difference between the expectations of the maximum of $B^H$ over [0,1] and the maximum of $B^H$ over the discrete set of values $ in^{-1},$ $i=1,\ldots, n.$ We use these results to improve our earlier upper bounds for the expectation of the maximum of $B^H$ over $[0,1]$ and derive new upper bounds for Pickands' constant.

math.PR↗

Stochastic representation and pathwise properties of fractional Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process

We consider the fractional Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process satisfying the stochastic differential equation (SDE) $dX_t = aX_t\,dt + σ\sqrt{X_t}\,dB^H_t$ driven by a fractional Brownian motion (fBm) with Hurst parameter exceeding $\frac{2}{3}$. The integral $\int_0^t\sqrt{X_s}dB^H_s$ is considered as a pathwise integral and is equal to the limit of Riemann-Stieltjes integral sums. It is shown that the fractional Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process is a square of the fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process until the first zero hitting. Based on that, we consider the square of the fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with an arbitrary Hurst index and prove that until its first zero hitting it satisfies the specified SDE if the integral $\int_0^t\sqrt{X_s}\,dB^H_s$ is defined as a pathwise Stratonovich integral. Therefore, the question about the first zero hitting time of the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process, which matches the first zero hitting moment of the fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, is natural. Since the latter is a Gaussian process, it is proved by the estimates for distributions of Gaussian processes that for $a<0$ the probability of hitting zero in finite time is equal to 1, and in case of $a>0$ it is positive but less than 1. The upper bound for this probability is given.

math.PR↗

On mean-variance hedging under partial observations and terminal wealth constraints

In the paper, a mean-square minimization problem under terminal wealth constraint with partial observations is studied. The problem is naturally connected to the mean-variance hedging problem under incomplete information. A new approach to solving this problem is proposed. The paper provides a solution when the underlying pricing process is a square-integrable semimartingale. The proposed method for the study is based on the martingale representation. In special cases, the Clark-Ocone representation can be used to obtain explicit solutions. The results and the method are illustrated and supported by example with two correlated geometric Brownian motions.

q-fin.MF↗

Drift parameter estimation in stochastic differential equation with multiplicative stochastic volatility

We consider a stochastic differential equation of the form \[dX_t=θa(t,X_t)\,dt+σ_1(t,X_t)σ_2(t,Y_t)\,dW_t\] with multiplicative stochastic volatility, where $Y$ is some adapted stochastic process. We prove existence--uniqueness results for weak and strong solutions of this equation under various conditions on the process $Y$ and the coefficients $a$, $σ_1$, and $σ_2$. Also, we study the strong consistency of the maximum likelihood estimator for the unknown parameter $θ$. We suppose that $Y$ is in turn a solution of some diffusion SDE. Several examples of the main equation and of the process $Y$ are provided supplying the strong consistency.

math.PR↗

Maximum likelihood drift estimation for Gaussian process with stationary increments

The paper deals with the regression model $X_t = θt + B_t$, $t\in[0, T ]$, where $B=\{B_t, t\geq 0\}$ is a centered Gaussian process with stationary increments. We study the estimation of the unknown parameter $θ$ and establish the formula for the likelihood function in terms of a solution to an integral equation. Then we find the maximum likelihood estimator and prove its strong consistency. The results obtained generalize the known results for fractional and mixed fractional Brownian motion.

math.PR↗

Fractional calculus and path-wise integration for Volterra processes driven by Lévy and martingale noise

We introduce a pathwise integration for Volterra processes driven by Lévy noise or martingale noise. These processes are widely used in applications to turbulence, signal processes, biology, and in environmental finance. Indeed they constitute a very flexible class of models, which include fractional Brownian and Lévy motions and it is part of the so-called ambit fields. A pathwise integration with respect of such Volterra processes aims at producing a framework where modelling is easily understandable from an information perspective. The techniques used are based on fractional calculus and in this there is a bridging of the stochastic and deterministic techniques. The present paper aims at setting the basis for a framework in which further computational rules can be devised. Our results are general in the choice of driving noise. Additionally we propose some further details in the relevant context subordinated Wiener processes.

math.PR↗

Option pricing with fractional stochastic volatility and discontinuous payoff function of polynomial growth

We consider the pricing problem related to payoffs that can have discontinuities of polynomial growth. The asset price dynamic is modeled within the Black and Scholes framework characterized by a stochastic volatility term driven by a fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. In order to solve the aforementioned problem, we consider three approaches. The first one consists in a suitable transformation of the initial value of the asset price, in order to eliminate possible discontinuities. Then we discretize both the Wiener process and the fractional Brownian motion and estimate the rate of convergence of the related discretized price to its real value, the latter one being impossible to be evaluated analytically. The second approach consists in considering the conditional expectation with respect to the entire trajectory of the fractional Brownian motion (fBm). Then we derive a closed formula which involves only integral functional depending on the fBm trajectory, to evaluate the price; finally we discretize the fBm and estimate the rate of convergence of the associated numerical scheme to the option price. In both cases the rate of convergence is the same and equals $n^{-rH}$, where $n$ is a number of the points of discretization, $H$ is the Hurst index of fBm, and $r$ is the Hölder exponent of volatility function. The third method consists in calculating the density of the integral functional depending on the trajectory of the fBm via Malliavin calculus also providing the option price in terms of the associated probability density.

math.PR↗

Hypothesis testing of the drift parameter sign for fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process

We consider the fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with an unknown drift parameter and known Hurst parameter $H$. We propose a new method to test the hypothesis of the sign of the parameter and prove the consistency of the test. Contrary to the previous works, our approach is applicable for all $H\in(0,1)$. We also study the estimators for drift parameter for continuous and discrete observations and prove their strong consistency for all $H\in(0,1)$.

math.PR↗

Asymptotic growth of trajectories of multifractional Brownian motion, with statistical applications to drift parameter estimation

We construct the least-square estimator for the unknown drift parameter in the multifractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck model and establish its strong consistency in the non-ergodic case. The proofs are based on the asymptotic bounds with probability 1 for the rate of the growth of the trajectories of multifractional Brownian motion (mBm) and of some other functionals of mBm, including increments and fractional derivatives. As the auxiliary results having independent interest, we produce the asymptotic bounds with probability 1 for the rate of the growth of the trajectories of the general Gaussian process and some functionals of it, in terms of the covariance function of its increments.

math.PR↗

Option pricing in the model with stochastic volatility driven by Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process. Simulation

We consider a discrete-time approximation of paths of an Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process as a mean for estimation of a price of European call option in the model of financial market with stochastic volatility. The Euler--Maruyama approximation scheme is implemented. We determine the estimates for the option price for predetermined sets of parameters. The rate of convergence of the price and an average volatility when discretization intervals tighten are determined. Discretization precision is analyzed for the case where the exact value of the price can be derived.

q-fin.CP↗