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arXiv · 2512.06036

PoliFi Tokens and the Trump Effect

Ignacy Nieweglowski·Aviv Yaish·Fahad Saleh·Fan Zhang
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Abstract

Cryptoassets launched by political figures, e.g., political finance (PoliFi) tokens, have recently attracted attention. Chief among them are the eponymous tokens backed by the 47th president and first lady of the United States, TRUMPandMELANIA. We empirically analyze both, and study their impact on the broad decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem. Via a comparative longitudinal study, we uncover a "Trump Effect": the behavior of these tokens correlates positively with presidential approval ratings, whereas the same tight coupling does not extend to other cryptoassets and administrations. We additionally quantify the ecosystemic impact, finding that the fervor surrounding the two assets was accompanied by capital flows towards associated platforms like the Solana blockchain, which also enjoyed record volumes and fee expenditure.

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Ignacy Nieweglowski, Aviv Yaish, Fahad Saleh, Fan Zhang. 2025-12-04. PoliFi Tokens and the Trump Effect. https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.06036

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