JWST telemetry combined with active coronagraphy: raw contrast predictions for exoplanet imaging with the Habitable Worlds Observatory

Abstract

We provide a quantification of the technological gap between the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST) and the Habitable Worlds Observatory (HWO) for the goal of exo-Earth imaging around Sun-like stars at the $10^{-10}$ raw contrast level. We use JWST's in-flight telemetry of the primary segmented mirror to simulate a JWST-like telescope equipped with a modern coronagraph instrument, inspired by the Roman Space Telescope (RST) Coronagraphic Instrument (CGI), featuring an Apodized Pupil Lyot Coronagraph and active deformable mirror wavefront control on a segmented, unobstructed, off-axis telescope. We show that it can achieve around $10^{-10}$ raw contrast for very bright stars (brighter than magnitude 4) for fast control frequencies of 100 Hz, but that this level of control still lacks sufficient signal to correct JWST-amplitude errors for fainter stars. We show that an improvement of a factor of ten in wavefront stability is sufficient to extend this capability to a $10^{-10}$ raw contrast across all considered control frequencies (1 Hz to 100 Hz), assuming no reaction wheel vibrations, for stars up to a magnitude of 11. These results establish a new quantitative benchmark linking JWST's demonstrated thermo-mechanical stability to HWO's requirements, showing that active wavefront control relaxes the structural stability demands on the observatory, and identifying wavefront stability as the critical technological gap that must be closed for HWO to achieve its exo-Earth imaging goals.