arXiv subjects

Sandro Meloni

Publications and source records attributed to Sandro Meloni.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

When one protocol fits none: Self-organized network routing through evolutionary game dynamics

Packet routing on scale-free networks faces a fundamental trade-off: shortest-path routing is efficient at low demand but funnels traffic through hubs and jams early, whereas congestion-aware routing postpones jamming at the price of a sharper collapse. Since neither paradigm dominates across the full range of traffic load, here we ask whether the appropriate balance can emerge endogenously rather than being imposed by design. To answer this, we recast adaptive packet routing on networks as an evolutionary game letting a heterogeneous population of strategies compete for prevalence under selection pressure generated by their own performance. We study this competition under two formalisms (strategy anchored to the packet or to the generating node), global and local update rules, and two payoff metrics. Across every implementation the evolutionary dynamics yield the same outcome: the jamming transition is delayed relative to shortest-path routing while the violent collapse of fixed congestion-aware routing is avoided. This improvement emerges spontaneously, without centralized coordination or global information. Crucially, under local update rules, the node-level volatility of strategy choices peaks sharply at the transition, furnishing a purely local early-warning signal of imminent jamming that requires no global monitoring.

physics.soc-ph↗

arXiv2026

On the Effects of Decentralized Moderation on Network Robustness and Information Diffusion in Mastodon

Decentralized online social networks such as Mastodon distribute moderation power across thousands of independently governed servers, raising fundamental questions about how local block decisions shape global structure and information flow. In this paper, we analyze Mastodon at the instance level by constructing a signed, directed, temporal network in which positive edges aggregate inter-instance follow relationships and negative edges encode daily block actions. Using one year of data, we show that despite continuous moderation activity and changing roles among instances, the network exhibits strong structural stability: signed dyadic motifs and degree distributions display highly persistent dynamics, and aggregated transition matrices satisfy Markovian equilibrium conditions over intermediate time scales. Building on the marked asymmetry between instances that predominantly issue bans and those that are mostly banned, we then study information diffusion on the positive network via a hybrid contagion model that combines simple contagion within groups and complex contagion across groups. We find that information originating in the minority of moderating instances spreads more efficiently, both internally and toward the majority, while the opposite direction is fragile and sensitive to contagion parameters. Echo-chamber effects emerge even in a globally balanced signed network and become stronger under stricter contagion conditions. Together, these results show that decentralized moderation in Mastodon generates a stable macroscopic configuration that both structures and constrains information exchange, effectively isolating norm-violating domains without centralized control.

physics.soc-ph↗

arXiv2026

Higher-order interactions in ecology can be hidden in plain sight

Higher-order interactions are increasingly recognized as a key component of ecological dynamics. However, we show that higher-order Lotka-Volterra dynamics can, in some scenarios, be accurately reproduced by effective pairwise models fitted to the same abundance time series. Consequently, higher-order interactions cannot, in general, be inferred from time-series data alone. We further identify a fundamental problem of mechanistic identifiability, whereby distinct interaction mechanisms generate nearly indistinguishable dynamics, potentially leading to accurate yet misleading ecological interpretations. Our results highlight the need to complement time-series data with additional ecological information to infer interaction structure reliably.

q-bio.PE↗

arXiv2026

The Synergistic Route to Stretched Criticality

Griffiths phases are typically associated with quenched disorder, while frustration gives rise to multistability and spin-glass behavior. Whether extended criticality can arise in other contexts remains an open question. Here, we show that synergistic interactions provide a distinct route to non-conventional critical phenomena. By combining spreading mechanisms that reinforce activity through complementary pathways, we uncover a broad distribution of relaxation rates, leading to Griffiths-like slow dynamics and extended criticality. We demonstrate that this mechanism is robust across networks and emerges both in systems with explicit higher-order interactions and in purely pairwise systems with nonlinear dynamical rules.

cond-mat.dis-nn↗

arXiv2026

Cross-order induced behaviors in contagion dynamics on higher-order networks

Recent studies have shown that novel collective behaviors emerge in complex systems due to higher-order interactions. However, the way in which the structural correlations of these interactions shape such behaviors remains a significant gap in current research. To address this, we use signatures of higher-order behaviors (HOBs) to identify the underlying dynamical rules, or higher-order mechanisms (HOMs). In this work, we compare several HOB measures derived from information theory. Utilizing a simplicial SIS contagion model, we demonstrate that simpler, computationally efficient measures can serve as robust indicators of HOMs. We uncover the novel phenomenon of cross-order induced behaviors, where behavioral signatures emerge at interaction orders where no direct mechanism is present. Crucially, these cross-order HOBs are not simply induced by structural correlations -- such as nestedness and hyperedge overlap -- but they appear in the neighborhood of any HOM. Among the information-theoretic measures we tested, synergy is the most reliable indicator of the true order where the underlying mechanism is at play. These findings offer new insights into the relationship between the network structure and observed dynamics of higher-order systems.

physics.soc-ph↗

arXiv2026

Impact of behavioral heterogeneity on epidemic outcome and its mapping into effective network topologies

Human behavior plays a critical role in shaping epidemic trajectories. During health crises, people respond in diverse ways in terms of self-protection and adherence to recommended measures, largely reflecting differences in how individuals assess risk. This behavioral variability induces effective heterogeneity into key epidemic parameters, such as infectivity and susceptibility. We introduce a minimal extension of the susceptible-infected-removed~(SIR) model, denoted HeSIR, that captures these effects through a simple bimodal scheme, where individuals may have higher or lower transmission--related traits. We derive a closed-form expression for the epidemic threshold in terms of the model parameters, and the network's degree distribution and homophily, defined as the tendency of like--risk individuals to preferentially interact. We identify a resurgence regime just beyond the classical threshold, where the number of infected individuals may initially decline before surging into large-scale transmission. Through simulations on homogeneous and heterogeneous network topologies we corroborate the analytical results and highlight how variations in susceptibility and infectivity influence the epidemic dynamics. We further show that, under suitable assumptions, the HeSIR model maps onto a standard SIR process on an appropriately modified contact network, providing a unified interpretation in terms of structural connectivity. Our findings quantify the effect of heterogeneous behavioral responses, especially in the presence of homophily, and caution against underestimating epidemic potential in fragmented populations, which may undermine timely containment efforts. The results also extend to heterogeneity arising from biological or other non-behavioral sources.

physics.soc-ph↗

arXiv2025

Higher-order contagion processes in 3.99 dimensions

Higher-order interactions have recently emerged as a promising framework for describing new dynamical phenomena in heterogeneous contagion processes. However, a fundamental open question is how to understand their contribution from the perspective of the physics of critical phenomena. Based on a mesoscopic field-theoretic Langevin description, we show that: (i) pairwise mechanisms such as facilitation or thresholding are formally equivalent to higher-order ones, (ii) pairwise interactions at coarse-grained scales govern the higher-order contact process and, (iii) the interplay between noise and topology is determined by the network spectral dimension. In short, we demonstrate that classical field theories, rooted on model symmetries and/or network dimensionality, still capture the nature of the phase transition, also predicting finite-size effects in real and synthetic networks.

cond-mat.stat-mech↗

arXiv2025

Towards a less spherical cow: Species differences dilute the stabilizing effect of higher-order interactions

Ecological models traditionally explain stability and coexistence through pairwise interactions among species. However, interactions can also involve groups of three or more species, higher-order interactions, which recent theory suggests can stabilize communities. Yet, the conditions under which higher-order interactions are sufficient to stabilize coexistence in communities where pairwise and higher-order interactions occur simultaneously remain unknown. This work addresses this gap by analyzing a model of competitive communities that incorporates a proportion of pairwise and higher-order interactions. Using empirical data, numerical simulations, and analytical methods, we show that higher-order interactions alone cannot guarantee coexistence. We find that, while a small fraction of higher-order interactions can stabilize dynamics in communities of identical species, this effect weakens under more realistic conditions, such as variability in birth and mortality rates or explicit interaction structures. Our results challenge the prevailing view of higher-order interactions as a universal stabilizing mechanism, providing quantitative evidence of the joint importance of both pairwise and higher-order interactions, together with network structure and species parameters, for understanding ecological stability.

q-bio.PE↗

arXiv2024

Critical mobility in policy making for epidemic containment

When considering airborne epidemic spreading in social systems, a natural connection arises between mobility and epidemic contacts. As individuals travel, possibilities to encounter new people either at the final destination or during the transportation process appear. Such contacts can lead to new contagion events. In fact, mobility has been a crucial target for early non-pharmaceutical containment measures against the recent COVID-19 pandemic, with a degree of intensity ranging from public transportation line closures to regional, city or even home confinements. Nonetheless, quantitative knowledge on the relationship between mobility-contagions and, consequently, on the efficiency of containment measures remains elusive. Here we introduce an agent-based model with a simple interaction between mobility and contacts. Despite its simplicity our model shows the emergence of a critical mobility level, inducing major outbreaks when surpassed. We explore the interplay between mobility restrictions and the infection in recent intervention policies seen across many countries, and how interventions in the form of closures triggered by incidence rates can guide the epidemic into an oscillatory regime with recurrent waves. We consider how the different interventions impact societal well-being, the economy and the population. Finally, we propose a mitigation framework based on the critical nature of mobility in an epidemic, able to suppress incidence and oscillations at will, preventing extreme incidence peaks with potential to saturate health care resources.

physics.soc-ph↗

arXiv2024

Patterns in temporal networks with higher-order egocentric structures

The analysis of complex and time-evolving interactions like social dynamics represents a current challenge for the science of complex systems. Temporal networks stand as a suitable tool to schematise such systems, encoding all the appearing interactions between pairs of individuals in discrete time. Over the years, network science has developed many measures to analyse and compare temporal networks. Some of them imply a decomposition of the network into small pieces of interactions, i.e. only involving a few nodes for a short time range. Along this line, a possible way to decompose a network is to assume an egocentric perspective, i.e. to consider for each node the time evolution of its neighbourhood. This has been proposed by Longa et al. by defining the "egocentric temporal neighbourhood", which has proven a useful tool to characterise temporal networks relative to social interactions. However, this definition neglects group interactions (quite common in social domains) as they are always decomposed into pairwise connections.A more general framework that allows us to consider also larger interactions is represented by higher-order networks. Here, we generalise the description of social interactions by making use of hypergraphs, consequently, we generalise its decomposition into "hyper egocentric temporal neighbourhoods". This will allow us to analyse social interactions, to compare different datasets or different nodes inside a dataset, by taking into account the intrinsic complexity represented by higher-order interactions. Even if we limit the order of interactions to the second (triplets of nodes), our results reveal the importance of a higher-order representation. In fact, our analyses show second-order structures are responsible for the majority of the variability at all scales: between datasets, amongst nodes and over time.

physics.soc-ph↗

arXiv2023

Comparing temporal and aggregated network descriptions of fluid transport in the Mediterranean Sea

Ocean currents exhibit strong time dependence at all scales that influences physical and biochemical dynamics. Network approaches to fluid transport permit to address explicitly how connectivity across the seascape is affected by the spatiotemporal variability of currents. However, such temporal aspect is mostly neglected, relying on a static representation of the flow. We here investigate the role of current variability on networks describing physical transport across the Mediterranean basin. We first focus on degree distributions and community structure comparing ensembles of temporal networks that explicitly resolve time dependence and their aggregated, i.e. time-averaged, counterparts. Furthermore, we explore the implications of the two approaches in a simple reaction dispersal model for a generic tracer. Our analysis evidences that aggregation induces structural network changes that cannot be easily avoided, not even introducing a pruning of the aggregated adjacency matrix. We also highlight that, depending on the time scales considered, the importance of the temporal features of the networks can vary significantly. Finally, we find that the tracer evolution obtained from a temporal dispersal kernel cannot be always approximated by aggregated adjacency matrices, in particular during transients of the dynamics.

physics.soc-ph↗

arXiv2022

Endemic infectious states below the epidemic threshold and beyond herd immunity

In the recent COVID-19 pandemic we assisted at a sequence of epidemic waves intertwined by anomalous fade-outs with periods of low but persistent epidemic prevalence. These long-living epidemic states complicate epidemic control and challenge current modeling approaches as classical epidemic models fail to explain their emergence. Inspired by this phenomenon, we propose a simple mechanism able to reproduce several features observed in real data. Specifically, here we introduce a modification of the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model in a meta-population framework where a small inflow of infected individuals accounts for undetected internal or imported cases. Focusing on a regime where this external seeding is so small that cannot be detected from the analysis of epidemic curves, we find that outbreaks of finite duration percolate in time resulting in overall low but long-living epidemic states below and above the epidemic threshold. Using a two-state description of the local dynamics, we can extract analytical predictions for the phase space. The comparison with epidemic data demonstrates that our model is able to reproduce some critical signatures observed in COVID-19 spreading in England. Finally, our findings defy our understanding of the concept of epidemic threshold and its relationship with outbreaks survival for disease control.

physics.soc-ph↗

arXiv2022

Echo chambers and information transmission biases in homophilic and heterophilic networks

We study how information transmission biases arise by the interplay between the structural properties of the network and the dynamics of the information in synthetic scale-free homophilic/heterophilic networks. We provide simple mathematical tools to quantify these biases. Both Simple and Complex Contagion models are insufficient to predict significant biases. In contrast, a Hybrid Contagion model -- in which both Simple and Complex Contagion occur -- gives rise to three different homophily-dependent biases: emissivity and receptivity biases,and echo chambers. Simulations in an empirical network with high homophily confirm the existence of these biases. Our results shed light into the mechanisms that cause inequalities in the visibility of information sources, reduced access to information, and lack of communication among distinct groups.

physics.soc-ph↗

arXiv2020

Structured interactions as a stabilizing mechanism for competitive ecosystems

How large ecosystems can create and maintain the remarkable biodiversity we see in nature is probably one of the biggest open questions in science, attracting attention from different fields, from Theoretical Ecology to Mathematics and Physics. In this context, modeling the stable coexistence of species competing for limited resources is a particularly challenging task. From a mathematical point of view, coexistence in competitive dynamics can be achieved when dominance among species forms intransitive loops. However, these relationships usually lead to species' relative abundances neutrally cycling without converging to a stable equilibrium. Although in recent years several mechanisms have been proposed, models able to explain species coexistence in competitive communities are still limited. Here we identify locality in the interactions as one of the simplest mechanisms leading to stable species coexistence. We consider a simplified ecosystem where individuals of each species lay on a spatial network and interactions are possible only between nodes within a certain distance. Varying such distance allows to interpolate between local and global competition. Our results demonstrate, within the scope of our model, that species coexist reaching a stable equilibrium when two conditions are met: individuals are embedded in space and can only interact with other individuals within a short distance. On the contrary, when one of these ingredients is missing, large oscillations and neutral cycles emerge.

q-bio.PE↗

arXiv2020

Impact of urban structure on infectious disease spreading

The ongoing SARS-CoV-2 pandemic has been holding the world hostage for more than a year now. Mobility is key to viral spreading and its restriction is the main non-pharmaceutical interventions to fight the virus expansion. Previous works have shown a connection between the structural organization of cities and the movement patterns of their residents. This puts urban centers in the focus of epidemic surveillance and interventions. Here we show that the organization of urban flows has a tremendous impact on disease spreading and on the amenability of different mitigation strategies. By studying anonymous and aggregated intra-urban flows in a variety of cities in the United States and other countries, and a combination of empirical analysis and analytical methods, we demonstrate that the response of cities to epidemic spreading can be roughly classified in two major types according to the overall organization of those flows. Hierarchical cities, where flows are concentrated primarily between mobility hotspots, are particularly vulnerable to the rapid spread of epidemics. Nevertheless, mobility restrictions in such types of cities are very effective in mitigating the spread of a virus. Conversely, in sprawled cities which present many centers of activity, the spread of an epidemic is much slower, but the response to mobility restrictions is much weaker and less effective. Investing resources on early monitoring and prompt ad-hoc interventions in more vulnerable cities may prove helpful in containing and reducing the impact of future pandemics.

physics.soc-ph↗

arXiv2020

Neutral Theory for competing attention in social networks

We used an ecological approach based on a neutral model to study the competition for attention in an online social network. This novel approach allow us to analyze some ecological patterns that has also an insightful meaning in the context of information ecosystem. Specifically, we focus on the study of patterns related with the persistence of a meme within the network and the capacity of the system to sustain coexisting memes. Not only are we able of doing such analysis in an approximated continuum limit, but also we get exact results of the finite-size discrete system.

physics.soc-ph↗

arXiv2020

Resilience and elasticity of co-evolving information ecosystems

Human perceptual and cognitive abilities are limited resources. Today, in the age of cheap information --cheap to produce, to manipulate, to disseminate--, this cognitive bottleneck translates into hypercompetition for visibility among actors (individuals, institutions, etc). The same social communication incentive --visibility-- pushes actors to mutualistically interact with specific memes, seeking the virality of their messages. In turn, contents are driven by selective pressure, i.e. the chances to persist and reach widely are tightly subject to changes in the communication environment. In spite of all this complexity, here we show that the underlying architecture of the users-memes interaction in information ecosystems, apparently chaotic and noisy, actually evolves towards emergent patterns, reminiscent of those found in natural ecosystems. In particular we show, through the analysis of empirical, large data streams, that communication networks are structurally elastic, i.e. fluctuating from modular to nested architecture as a response to environmental perturbations (e.g. extraordinary events). We then propose an ecology-inspired modelling framework, bringing to light the precise mechanisms causing the observed dynamical reorganisation. Finally, from numerical simulations, the model predicts --and the data confirm-- that the users' struggle for visibility induces a re-equilibration of the network towards a very constrained organisation: the emergence of self-similar nested arrangements.

physics.soc-ph↗

arXiv2019

Vector-borne epidemics driven by human mobility

Vector-borne epidemics are the result of the combination of different factors such as the crossed contagions between humans and vectors, their demographic distribution and human mobility among others. The current availability of information about the former ingredients demands their incorporation to current mathematical models for vector-borne disease transmission. Here, relying on metapopulation dynamics, we propose a framework whose results are in fair agreement with those obtained from mechanistic simulations. This framework allows us to derive an expression of the epidemic threshold capturing with high accuracy the conditions leading to the onset of epidemics. Driven by these insights, we obtain a prevalence indicator to rank the patches according to the risk of being affected by a vector-borne disease. We illustrate the utility of this epidemic risk indicator by reproducing the spatial distribution Dengue cases reported in the city of Santiago de Cali (Colombia) from 2015 to 2016.

physics.soc-ph↗