arXiv subjects

Stephen Fairhurst

Publications and source records attributed to Stephen Fairhurst.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Mapping the star formation peak with LIGO A# and Next-Generation detectors

Measuring the redshift evolution of star formation rate density is crucial in understanding the origin and evolution of galaxies and large scale structure in the universe. It is currently measured with electromagnetic probes, however, these probes often track luminosity, which is then converted to star formation rate (SFR) depending on various factors such as initial mass function, dust extinction, etc. Gravitational waves provide an independent method to constrain SFR at high redshifts by tracking the redshift evolution obtained from analysis of binary black hole mergers. In this study we explore three population models for star-formation combined with an \textit{inverse} time-delay model and demonstrate that it is possible to obtain bounds on the peak of redshift distribution with a network of upgraded LIGO detectors (such as LIGO-A#). For a year of observation, using simulated signals with a merger rate peak at $z_\text{peak}=1.5$, a network of LIGO detectors at A# sensitivity is able to constrain the peak of merger rate with a precision of $\pm 0.1$. Further, we obtain the results with a next-generation network (of Cosmic Explorer and Einstein Telescope) and conclude that the redshift distribution will be extremely well measured, with a precision of $\pm 0.02$, with future detectors.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2025

Observability of eccentricity in a population of merging compact binaries

We investigate the prospects of observing residual eccentricity in a population of compact binaries by calculating the power in the eccentric harmonics, following the methodology in arXiv:2411.04187. Although most observed compact binary coalescences are expected to circularize before entering the sensitivity band of the ground-based gravitational-wave (GW) detectors, dynamical interactions in dense star clusters can lead to a fraction of these binaries with non-negligible eccentricity at the time of detection. To quantify the observability of eccentricity, we simulate a population of merging compact binaries and identify those which have sufficient power in sub-dominant eccentric harmonics to be clearly distinguishable from quasi-circular systems. We consider a binary black hole (BBH) population derived from globular cluster simulations with residual eccentricity distribution obtained from Cluster Monte Carlo (CMC) catalogs as well as a fiducial log-uniform model. Assuming the LIGO-Virgo network of GW detectors with their sensitivities achieved during LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA (LVK) Observing Run (O4), we find that the BBH population with measurable eccentricity will have a significantly higher median eccentricity $e_{\mathrm{10Hz}}\sim 0.3$ (with $90\%$ range: $0.1 - 0.5$) and signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) $\sim 20$ ($90\%$ range: $13 - 57$) compared to the observable population of BBHs. We compare our predictions of the regions of parameter space where eccentricity is detectable with the claimed observations of eccentricity in GW events from third Gravitational Wave Transient Catalog (GWTC-3).

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2025

The Science of the Einstein Telescope

Einstein Telescope (ET) is the European project for a gravitational-wave (GW) observatory of third-generation. In this paper we present a comprehensive discussion of its science objectives, providing state-of-the-art predictions for the capabilities of ET in both geometries currently under consideration, a single-site triangular configuration or two L-shaped detectors. We discuss the impact that ET will have on domains as broad and diverse as fundamental physics, cosmology, early Universe, astrophysics of compact objects, physics of matter in extreme conditions, and dynamics of stellar collapse. We discuss how the study of extreme astrophysical events will be enhanced by multi-messenger observations. We highlight the ET synergies with ground-based and space-borne GW observatories, including multi-band investigations of the same sources, improved parameter estimation, and complementary information on astrophysical or cosmological mechanisms obtained combining observations from different frequency bands. We present advancements in waveform modeling dedicated to third-generation observatories, along with open tools developed within the ET Collaboration for assessing the scientific potentials of different detector configurations. We finally discuss the data analysis challenges posed by third-generation observatories, which will enable access to large populations of sources and provide unprecedented precision.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2024

Terrestrial Very-Long-Baseline Atom Interferometry: Summary of the Second Workshop

This summary of the second Terrestrial Very-Long-Baseline Atom Interferometry (TVLBAI) Workshop provides a comprehensive overview of our meeting held in London in April 2024, building on the initial discussions during the inaugural workshop held at CERN in March 2023. Like the summary of the first workshop, this document records a critical milestone for the international atom interferometry community. It documents our concerted efforts to evaluate progress, address emerging challenges, and refine strategic directions for future large-scale atom interferometry projects. Our commitment to collaboration is manifested by the integration of diverse expertise and the coordination of international resources, all aimed at advancing the frontiers of atom interferometry physics and technology, as set out in a Memorandum of Understanding signed by over 50 institutions.

hep-ex↗

arXiv2024

Identifying Eccentricity in Binary Black Hole mergers using a Harmonic Decomposition of the Gravitational Waveform

We show that the gravitational waveform emitted by a binary on an eccentric orbit can be naturally decomposed into a series of harmonics. The frequencies of these harmonics depend upon the radial frequency, $f_{\mathrm{r}}$, determined by the time to return to apoapsis, and the azimuthal frequency, $f_{\phi}$, determined by the time to complete one orbit relative to a fixed axis. These frequencies differ due to periapsis advance. Restricting to the (2, 2) multipole, we find that the frequencies can be expressed as $f = 2 f_{\phi} + k f_{\mathrm{r}}$. We introduce a straightforward method of generating these harmonics and show that the majority of the signal power is contained in the $k= -1, 0, 1$ harmonics for moderate eccentricities. We demonstrate that by filtering these three leading harmonics, we are able to obtain a good estimate of the orbital eccentricity from their relative amplitudes.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2024

Rarity of precession and higher-order multipoles in gravitational waves from merging binary black holes

The latest binary black hole population estimates argue for a subpopulation of unequal component mass binaries with spins that are likely small but isotropically distributed. This implies a non-zero probability of detecting spin-induced orbital precession and higher order multipole moments in the observed gravitational-wave signals. In this work we directly calculate the probability for precession and higher-order multipoles in each significant gravitational-wave candidate observed by the LIGO--Virgo--KAGRA collaborations (LVK). We find that only one event shows substantial evidence for precession: GW200129_065458, and two events show substantial evidence for higher-order multipoles: GW190412 and GW190814; any evidence for precession and higher-order multipole moments in other gravitational-wave signals is consistent with random fluctuations caused by noise. We then compare our observations with expectations from population models, and confirm that current population estimates from the LVK accurately predict the number of observed events with significant evidence for precession and higher-order multipoles. In particular, we find that this population model predicts that a binary with significant evidence for precession will occur once in every $\sim 50$ detections, and a binary with significant evidence for higher-order multipoles will occur once in every $\sim 70$ observations. However, we emphasise that since substantial evidence for precession and higher-order multipoles have only been observed in three events, any population model that includes a subpopulation of binaries yielding $\sim 2\%$ of events with detectable precession and higher-order multipole moments will likely be consistent with the data.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2024

The Impact of Astrophysical Priors on Parameter Inference for GW230529

We investigate the effects of prior selection on the inferred mass and spin parameters of the neutron star-black hole merger GW230529\_181500. Specifically, we explore models motivated by astrophysical considerations, including massive binary and pulsar evolution. We examine mass and spin distributions of neutron stars constrained by radio pulsar observations, alongside black hole spin observations from previous gravitational wave detections. We show that the inferred mass distribution highly depends upon the spin prior. Specifically, under the most restrictive, binary stellar evolution models, we obtain narrower distributions of masses with a black hole mass of $4.3^{+0.1}_{-0.1}\,M_{\odot}$and neutron star mass of $1.3^{+0.03}_{-0.03}\,M_{\odot}$ where, somewhat surprisingly, it is the prior on component spins which has the greatest impact on the inferred mass distributions. Re-weighting using neutron star mass and spin priors from observations of radio pulsars, with black hole spins from observations of gravitational waves, yields the black hole and the neutron star masses to be $3.8^{+0.5}_{-0.6} \,M_\odot$ and $1.4^{+0.2}_{-0.1} \,M_\odot$ respectively. The sequence of compact object formation -- whether the neutron star or the black hole formed first -- cannot be determined at the observed signal-to-noise ratio. However, there is no evidence that the black hole was tidally spun up.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2023

Identifying heavy stellar black holes at cosmological distances with next generation gravitational-wave observatories

We investigate the detectability of single-event coalescing black hole binaries with total mass of $100-600 M_{\odot}$ at cosmological distances ($5 \lesssim z \lesssim 20$) with the next generation of terrestrial gravitational wave observatories, specifically Einstein Telescope and Cosmic Explorer. Our ability to observe these binaries is limited by the low-frequency performance of the detectors. Higher-order Multipoles of the gravitational wave signal are observable in these systems, and detection of such multipoles serves to both b the mass range over which black hole binaries are observable and improve the recovery of their individual masses and redshift. For high redshift systems of $\sim 200 M_{\odot}$ we will be able to confidently infer that the redshift is at least $z=12$, and for systems of $\sim 400 M_{\odot}$ we can infer a minimum redshift of at least $z=8$. We discuss the impact that these observations will have in narrowing uncertainties on the existence of the pair-instability mass-gap, and their implications on the formation of the first stellar black holes that could be seeds for the growth of supermassive black holes powering high-$z$ quasars.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2023

Cosmic Explorer: A Submission to the NSF MPSAC ngGW Subcommittee

Gravitational-wave astronomy has revolutionized humanity's view of the universe, a revolution driven by observations that no other field can make. This white paper describes an observatory that builds on decades of investment by the National Science Foundation and that will drive discovery for decades to come: Cosmic Explorer. Major discoveries in astronomy are driven by three related improvements: better sensitivity, higher precision, and opening new observational windows. Cosmic Explorer promises all three and will deliver an order-of-magnitude greater sensitivity than LIGO. Cosmic Explorer will push the gravitational-wave frontier to almost the edge of the observable universe using technologies that have been proven by LIGO during its development. With the unprecedented sensitivity that only a new facility can deliver, Cosmic Explorer will make discoveries that cannot yet be anticipated, especially since gravitational waves are both synergistic with electromagnetic observations and can reach into regions of the universe that electromagnetic observations cannot explore. With Cosmic Explorer, scientists can use the universe as a laboratory to test the laws of physics and study the nature of matter. Cosmic Explorer allows the United States to continue its leading role in gravitational-wave science and the international network of next-generation observatories. With its extraordinary discovery potential, Cosmic Explorer will deliver revolutionary observations across astronomy, physics, and cosmology including: Black Holes and Neutron Stars Throughout Cosmic Time, Multi-Messenger Astrophysics and Dynamics of Dense Matter, New Probes of Extreme Astrophysics, Fundamental Physics and Precision Cosmology, Dark Matter and the Early Universe.

astro-ph.IM↗

arXiv2023

Simple parameter estimation using observable features of gravitational-wave signals

Using simple, intuitive arguments, we discuss the expected accuracy with which astrophysical parameters can be extracted from an observed gravitational wave signal. The observation of a chirp like signal in the data allows for measurement of the component masses and aligned spins, while measurement in three or more detectors enables good localization. The ability to measure additional features in the observed signal -- the existence or absence of power in i) the second gravitational wave polarization, ii) higher gravitational wave multipoles or iii) spin-induced orbital precession -- provide new information which can be used to significantly improve the accuracy of parameter measurement. We introduce the simple-pe algorithm which uses these methods to generate rapid parameter estimation results for binary mergers. We present results from a set of simulations, to illustrate the method, and compare results from simple-pe with measurements from full parameter estimation routines. The simple-pe routine is able to provide initial parameter estimates in a matter of CPU minutes, which could be used in real-time alerts and also as input to significantly accelerate detailed parameter estimation routines.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2023

VARAHA: A Fast Non-Markovian sampler for estimating Gravitational-Wave posteriors

This article introduces VARAHA, an open-source, fast, non-Markovian sampler for estimating gravitational-wave posteriors. VARAHA differs from existing Nested sampling algorithms by gradually discarding regions of low likelihood, rather than gradually sampling regions of high likelihood. This alternative mindset enables VARAHA to freely draw samples from anywhere within the high-likelihood region of the parameter space, allowing for analyses to complete in significantly fewer cycles. This means that VARAHA can significantly reduce both the wall and CPU time of all analyses. VARAHA offers many benefits, particularly for gravitational-wave astronomy where Bayesian inference can take many days, if not weeks, to complete. For instance, VARAHA can be used to estimate accurate sky locations, astrophysical probabilities and source classifications within minutes, which is particularly useful for multi-messenger follow-up of binary neutron star observations; VARAHA localises GW170817 $\sim 30$ times faster than LALInference. Although only aligned-spin, dominant multipole waveform models can be used for gravitational-wave analyses, it is trivial to extend this algorithm to include additional physics without hindering performance. We envision VARAHA being used for gravitational-wave studies, particularly estimating parameters using expensive waveform models, analysing subthreshold gravitational-wave candidates, generating simulated data for population studies, and rapid posterior estimation for binary neutron star mergers.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2021

General-relativistic precession in a black-hole binary

The general-relativistic phenomenon of spin-induced orbital precession has not yet been observed in strong-field gravity. Gravitational-wave observations of binary black holes (BBHs) are prime candidates, since we expect the astrophysical binary population to contain precessing binaries. Imprints of precession have been investigated in several signals, but no definitive identification of orbital precession has been reported in any one of the 84 BBH observations to date by the Advanced LIGO and Virgo detectors. Here we report the measurement of strong-field precession in the LIGO-Virgo-Kagra (LVK) gravitational-wave signal GW200129. The binary's orbit precesses at a rate ten orders of magnitude faster than previous weak-field measurements from binary pulsars. We also find that the primary black hole is likely highly spinning. According to current binary population estimates a GW200129-like signal is extremely unlikely, and therefore presents a direct challenge to many current binary formation models.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2021

Evidence for subdominant multipole moments and precession in merging black-hole-binaries from GWTC-2.1

The LIGO--Virgo--KAGRA collaborations (LVK) produced a catalogue containing gravitational-wave (GW) observations from the first half of the third GW observing run (O3a). This catalogue, GWTC-2.1, includes for the first time a number of \emph{exceptional} GW candidates produced from merging black-hole-binaries with unequivocally unequal component masses. Since subdominant multipole moments and spin-induced orbital precession are more likely to leave measurable imprints on the emitted GW from unequal component mass binaries, these general relativistic phenomena may now be measurable. Indeed, both GW190412 and GW190814 have already shown conclusive evidence for subdominant multipole moments. This provides valuable insights into the dynamics of the binary. We calculate the evidence for subdominant multipole moments and spin-induced orbital precession for all merging black-hole-binaries in GWTC-2.1 that were observed during O3a and show that (a) no gravitational-wave candidate has measurable higher order multipole content beyond $\ell = 3$, (b) in addition to the confident subdominant multipole measurements in GW190412 and GW190814, GW190519\_153544 and GW190929\_012149 show marginal evidence for the $(\ell, |m|) = (3, 3)$ subdominant multipole, (c) GW190521 may have measurable subdominant multipole content and (d) GW190412 may show evidence for spin-induced orbital precession.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2021

The Next Generation Global Gravitational Wave Observatory: The Science Book

The next generation of ground-based gravitational-wave detectors will observe coalescences of black holes and neutron stars throughout the cosmos, thousands of them with exceptional fidelity. The Science Book is the result of a 3-year effort to study the science capabilities of networks of next generation detectors. Such networks would make it possible to address unsolved problems in numerous areas of physics and astronomy, from Cosmology to Beyond the Standard Model of particle physics, and how they could provide insights into workings of strongly gravitating systems, astrophysics of compact objects and the nature of dense matter. It is inevitable that observatories of such depth and finesse will make new discoveries inaccessible to other windows of observation. In addition to laying out the rich science potential of the next generation of detectors, this report provides specific science targets in five different areas in physics and astronomy and the sensitivity requirements to accomplish those science goals. This report is the second in a six part series of reports by the GWIC 3G Subcommittee: i) Expanding the Reach of Gravitational Wave Observatories to the Edge of the Universe, ii) The Next Generation Global Gravitational Wave Observatory: The Science Book (this report), iii) 3G R&D: R&D for the Next Generation of Ground-based Gravitational Wave Detectors, iv) Gravitational Wave Data Analysis: Computing Challenges in the 3G Era, v) Future Ground-based Gravitational-wave Observatories: Synergies with Other Scientific Communities, and vi) An Exploration of Possible Governance Models for the Future Global Gravitational-Wave Observatory Network.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2021

Understanding how fast black holes spin by analysing data from the second gravitational-wave catalogue

The Advanced LIGO and Virgo detectors have now observed approximately 50 black-hole-binary mergers, from which we can begin to infer how rapidly astrophysical black holes spin. The LIGO-Virgo Collaboration (LVC) analysis of detections up to the end of the first half of the third observing run (O3a) appeared to uncover a distribution of spin magnitudes that peaks at $\sim$0.2. This is surprising: is there a black-hole formation mechanism that prefers a particular, non-zero spin magnitude, or could this be the cumulative effect of multiple formation processes? We perform an independent analysis of the most recent gravitational-wave catalogue, and find that (a) the support for the LVC spin-magnitude is tenuous; in particular, adding or removing just one signal from the catalogue can remove the statistical preference for this distribution, and (b) we find potential evidence for two spin sub-populations in the observed black holes; one with extremely low spins and one with larger spin magnitudes. We make the connection that these spin sub-populations could be correlated with the mass of the binary, with more massive binaries preferring larger spin magnitudes, and argue that this may provide evidence for hierarchical mergers in the second gravitational-wave catalogue.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2020

The Emergence of Structure in the Binary Black Hole Mass Distribution

We use the gravitational wave signals from binary black hole merger events observed by LIGO and Virgo to reconstruct the underlying mass and spin distributions of the population of merging black holes. We reconstruct the population using the mixture model framework VAMANA (Tiwari 2020) using observations in GWTC-2 occurring during the first two observing runs and the first half of the third run (O1, O2, and O3a). Our analysis identifies a structure in the chirp mass distribution of the observed population. Specifically, we identify peaks in the chirp mass distribution at 8, 14, 26, and 45 M and a complementary structure in the component mass distribution with an excess of black holes at masses of 9, 16, 30 and 57 M_. Intriguingly, for both the distributions, the location of subsequent peaks are separated by a factor of around two and there is a lack of mergers with chirp masses of 10-12 M. The appearance of multiple peaks is a feature of a hierarchical merger scenario when, due to a gap in the black-hole mass spectrum, a pile-up occurs at the first peak followed by mergers of lower mass black-holes to hierarchically produce higher mass black-holes. However, cross-generation merger peaks and observations with high spins are also predicted to occur in such a scenario that we are not currently observing. The results presented are limited in measurement accuracy due to small numbers of observations but if corroborated by future gravitational wave observations these features have far-reaching implications.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2020

Unveiling early black hole growth with multi-frequency gravitational wave observations

Third Generation ground based Gravitational Wave Interferometers, like the Einstein Telescope (ET), Cosmic Explorer (CE), and the Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA) will detectcoalescing binary black holes over a wide mass spectrum and across all cosmic epochs. We track the cosmological growth of the earliest light and heavy seeds that swiftly transit into the supermassive domain using a semi analytical model for the formation of quasars at $z=6.4$, 2 and $0.2$, in which we follow black hole coalescences driven by triple interactions. We find that light seed binaries of several $10^2$ M$_\odot$ are accessible to ET with a signal-to-noise ratio ($S/N$) of $10-20$ at $6 20$). Mergers involving heavy seeds ($\sim 10^5 M_\odot - 10^6 M_\odot$) would be within reach up to $z=20$ in the LISA frequency domain. The lower-z model predicts $11.25(18.7)$ ET(LISA) events per year, overall.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2020

Identifying when Precession can be Measured in Gravitational Waveforms

In binary-black-hole systems where the black-hole spins are misaligned with the orbital angular momentum, precession effects leave characteristic modulations in the emitted gravitational waveform. Here, we investigate where in the parameter space we will be able to accurately identify precession, for likely observations over coming LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA observing runs. Despite the large number of parameters that characterise a precessing binary, we perform a large scale systematic study to identify the impact of each source parameter on the measurement of precession. We simulate a fiducial binary at moderate mass-ratio, signal-to-noise ratio (SNR), and spins, such that precession will be clearly identifiable, then successively vary each parameter while holding the remaining parameters fixed. As expected, evidence for precession increases with signal-to noise-ratio (SNR), higher in-plane spins, more unequal component masses, and higher inclination, but our study provides a quantitative illustration of each of these effects, and informs our intuition on parameter dependencies that have not yet been studied in detail, for example, the effect of varying the relative strength of the two polarisations, the total mass, and the aligned-spin components. We also measure the "precession SNR" $\rho_p$, which was introduced in Refs[1,2] to quantify the signal power associated with precession. By comparing $\rho_p$ with both Bayes factors and the recovered posterior distributions, we find it is a reliable metric for measurability that accurately predicts when the detected signal contains evidence for precession.

gr-qc↗