arXiv subjects

Tomoyuki Ichiba

Publications and source records attributed to Tomoyuki Ichiba.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

arXiv2021

Degenerate Competing Three-Particle Systems

We study systems of three interacting particles, in which drifts and variances are assigned by rank. These systems are "degenerate": the variances corresponding to one or two ranks can vanish, so the corresponding ranked motions become ballistic rather than diffusive. Depending on which ranks are allowed to "go ballistic" the systems exhibit markedly different behavior which we study in some detail. Also studied are stability properties for the resulting planar process of gaps between successive ranks.

math.PR↗

arXiv2020

Path Properties of a Generalized Fractional Brownian Motion

The generalized fractional Brownian motion is a Gaussian self-similar process whose increments are not necessarily stationary. It appears in applications as the scaling limit of a shot noise process with a power law shape function and non-stationary noises with a power-law variance function. In this paper we study sample path properties of the generalized fractional Brownian motion, including Holder continuity, path differentiability/non-differentiability, and functional and local Law of the Iterated Logarithms.

math.PR↗

arXiv2020

Linear-Quadratic Stochastic Differential Games on Random Directed Networks

The study of linear-quadratic stochastic differential games on directed networks was initiated in Feng, Fouque \& Ichiba \cite{fengFouqueIchiba2020linearquadratic}. In that work, the game on a directed chain with finite or infinite players was defined as well as the game on a deterministic directed tree, and their Nash equilibria were computed. The current work continues the analysis by first developing a random directed chain structure by assuming the interaction between every two neighbors is random. We solve explicitly for an open-loop Nash equilibrium for the system and we find that the dynamics under equilibrium is an infinite-dimensional Gaussian process described by a Catalan Markov chain introduced in \cite{fengFouqueIchiba2020linearquadratic}. The discussion about stochastic differential games is extended to a random two-sided directed chain and a random directed tree structure.

math.PR↗

arXiv2020

Linear-Quadratic Stochastic Differential Games on Directed Chain Networks

We study linear-quadratic stochastic differential games on directed chains inspired by the directed chain stochastic differential equations introduced by Detering, Fouque, and Ichiba. We solve explicitly for Nash equilibria with a finite number of players and we study more general finite-player games with a mixture of both directed chain interaction and mean field interaction. We investigate and compare the corresponding games in the limit when the number of players tends to infinity. The limit is characterized by Catalan functions and the dynamics under equilibrium is an infinite-dimensional Gaussian process described by a Catalan Markov chain, with or without the presence of mean field interaction.

math.PR↗

arXiv2020

Large Banking Systems with Default and Recovery: A Mean Field Game Model

We consider a mean-field model for large banking systems, which takes into account default and recovery of the institutions. Building on models used for groups of interacting neurons, we first study a McKean-Vlasov dynamics and its evolutionary Fokker-Planck equation in which the mean-field interactions occur through a mean-reverting term and through a hitting time corresponding to a default level. The latter feature reflects the impact of a financial institution's default on the global distribution of reserves in the banking system. The systemic risk problem of financial institutions is understood as a blow-up phenomenon of the Fokker-Planck equation. Then, we incorporate in the model an optimization component by letting the institutions control part of their dynamics in order to minimize their expected risk. Phrasing this optimization problem as a mean-field game, we provide an explicit solution in a special case and, in the general case, we report numerical experiments based on a finite difference scheme.

math.OC↗

arXiv2019

Directed Chain Stochastic Differential Equations

We propose a particle system of diffusion processes coupled through a chain-like network structure described by an infinite-dimensional, nonlinear stochastic differential equation of McKean-Vlasov type. It has both (i) a local chain interaction and (ii) a mean-field interaction. It can be approximated by a limit of finite particle systems, as the number of particles goes to infinity. Due to the local chain interaction, propagation of chaos does not necessarily hold. Furthermore, we exhibit a dichotomy of presence or absence of mean-field interaction, and we discuss the problem of detecting its presence from the observation of a single component process.

math.PR↗

arXiv2019

Dynamic Contagion in a Banking System with Births and Defaults

We consider a dynamic model of interconnected banks. New banks can emerge, and existing banks can default, creating a birth-and-death setup. Microscopically, banks evolve as independent geometric Brownian motions. Systemic effects are captured through default contagion: as one bank defaults, reserves of other banks are reduced by a random proportion. After examining the long-term stability of this system, we investigate mean-field limits as the number of banks tends to infinity. Our main results concern the measure-valued scaling limit which is governed by a McKean-Vlasov jump-diffusion. The default impact creates a mean-field drift, while the births and defaults introduce jump terms tied to the current distribution of the process. Individual dynamics in the limit is described by the propagation of chaos phenomenon. In certain cases, we explicitly characterize the limiting average reserves.

math.PR↗

arXiv2018

Convergence and Stationary Distributions for Walsh Diffusions

A Walsh diffusion on Euclidean space moves along each ray from the origin, as a solution to a stochastic differential equation with certain drift and diffusion coefficients, as long as it stays away from the origin. As it hits the origin, it instantaneously chooses a new direction according to a given probability law, called the spinning measure. A special example is a real-valued diffusion with skew reflections at the origin. This process continuously (in the weak sense) depends on the spinning measure. We determine a stationary measure for such process, explore long-term convergence to this distribution and establish an explicit rate of exponential convergence.

math.PR↗

arXiv2017

Option Pricing with Delayed Information

We propose a model to study the effects of delayed information on option pricing. We first talk about the absence of arbitrage in our model, and then discuss super replication with delayed information in a binomial model, notably, we present a closed form formula for the price of convex contingent claims. Also, we address the convergence problem as the time-step and delay length tend to zero and introduce analogous results in the continuous time framework. Finally, we explore how delayed information exaggerates the volatility smile.

q-fin.MF↗

arXiv2017

Yet Another Condition for Absence of Collisions for Competing Brownian Particles

Consider a finite system of rank-based competing Brownian particles, where the drift and diffusion of each particle depend only on its current rank relative to other particles. We present a simple sufficient condition for absence of multiple collisions of a given order, continuing the earlier work by Bruggeman and Sarantsev (2015). Unlike in that paper, this new condition works even for infinite systems.

math.PR↗

arXiv2016

Stochastic Integral Equations for Walsh Semimartingales

We construct planar semimartingales that include the Walsh Brownian motion as a special case, and derive Harrison-Shepp-type equations and a change-of-variable formula in the spirit of Freidlin-Sheu for these so-called "Walsh semimartingales". We examine the solvability of the resulting system of stochastic integral equations. In appropriate Markovian settings we study two types of connections to martingale problems, questions of uniqueness in distribution for such processes, and a few examples.

math.PR↗

arXiv2014

Skew-Unfolding the Skorokhod Reflection of a Continuous Semimartingale

The Skorokhod reflection of a continuous semimartingale is unfolded, in a possibly skewed manner, into another continuous semimartingale on an enlarged probability space according to the excursion-theoretic methodology of Prokaj (2009). This is done in terms of a skew version of the Tanaka equation, whose properties are studied in some detail. The result is used to construct a system of two diffusive particles with rank-based characteristics and skew-elastic collisions. Unfoldings of conventional reflections are also discussed, as are examples involving skew Brownian Motions and skew Bessel processes.

math.PR↗

arXiv2014

Diffusions with rank-based characteristics and values in the nonnegative quadrant

We construct diffusions with values in the nonnegative orthant, normal reflection along each of the axes, and two pairs of local drift/variance characteristics assigned according to rank; one of the variances is allowed to vanish, but not both. The construction involves solving a system of coupled Skorokhod reflection equations, then ``unfolding'' the Skorokhod reflection of a suitable semimartingale in the manner of Prokaj (Statist. Probab. Lett. 79 (2009) 534-536). Questions of pathwise uniqueness and strength are also addressed, for systems of stochastic differential equations with reflection that realize these diffusions. When the variance of the laggard is at least as large as that of the leader, it is shown that the corner of the quadrant is never visited.

math.PR↗

arXiv2013

Large deviations for interacting Bessel-like processes and applications to systemic risk

We establish a process level large deviation principle for systems of interacting Bessel-like diffusion processes. By establishing weak uniqueness for the limiting non-local SDE of McKean-Vlasov type, we conclude that the latter describes the process level hydrodynamic limit of such systems and obtain a propagation of chaos result. This is the first instance of results of this type in the context of interacting diffusion processes under explicit assumptions on the coefficients, where the diffusion coefficients are allowed to be both non-Lipschitz and degenerate. In the second part of the paper, we explain how systems of this type naturally arise in the study of stability of the interbank lending system and describe some financial implications of our results.

math.PR↗

arXiv2013

A second-order stock market model

A first-order model for a stock market assigns to each stock a return parameter and a variance parameter that depend only on the rank of the stock. A second-order model assigns these parameters based on both the rank and the name of the stock. First- and second-order models exhibit stability properties that make them appropriate as a backdrop for the analysis of the idiosyncratic behavior of individual stocks. Methods for the estimation of the parameters of second-order models are developed in this paper.

q-fin.ST↗

arXiv2012

Two Brownian Particles with Rank-Based Characteristics and Skew-Elastic Collisions

We construct a two-dimensional diffusion process with rank-dependent local drift and dispersion coefficients, and with a full range of patterns of behavior upon collision that range from totally frictionless interaction, to elastic collision, to perfect reflection of one particle on the other. These interactions are governed by the left- and right-local times at the origin for the distance between the two particles. We realize this diffusion in terms of appropriate, apparently novel systems of stochastic differential equations involving local times, which we show are well posed. Questions of pathwise uniqueness and strength are also discussed for these systems. The analysis depends crucially on properties of a skew Brownian motion with two-valued drift of the bang-bang type, which we also study in some detail. These properties allow us to compute the transition probabilities of the original planar diffusion, and to study its behavior under time reversal.

math.PR↗

arXiv2012

Planar Diffusions with Rank-Based Characteristics: Transition Probabilities, Time Reversal, Maximality and Perturbed Tanaka equations

We construct a planar diffusion process whose infinitesimal generator depends only on the order of the components of the process. Speaking informally and a bit imprecisely for the moment, imagine you run two Brownian-like particles on the real line. At any given time, you assign positive drift g and diffusion σ to the laggard; and you assign negative drift -h and diffusion ρ to the leader. We compute the transition probabilities of this process, discuss its realization in terms of appropriate systems of stochastic differential equations, study its dynamics under a time reversal, and note that these involve singularly continuous components governed by local time. Crucial in our analysis are properties of Brownian and semimartingale local time; properties of the generalized perturbed Tanaka equation which we study here in detail; and those of a one-dimensional diffusion with bang-bang drift. We also show that our planar diffusion can be represented in terms of a process with bang-bang drift, its local time at the origin, and an independent standard Brownian motion, in a form which can be construed as a two-dimensional analogue of the stochastic equation satisfied by the so-called skew Brownian motion.

math.PR↗

arXiv2011

Strong solutions of stochastic equations with rank-based coefficients

We study finite and countably infinite systems of stochastic differential equations, in which the drift and diffusion coefficients of each component (particle) are determined by its rank in the vector of all components of the solution. We show that strong existence and uniqueness hold until the first time three particles collide. Motivated by this result, we improve significantly the existing conditions for the absence of such triple collisions in the case of finite-dimensional systems, and provide the first condition of this type for systems with a countable infinity of particles.

math.PR↗